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Blues at Maple Leafs
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Toronto Maple Leafs

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
▸3
Toronto Maple Leafs
2
FinalTV NHLN, FS-MW·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 3-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Pietrangelo's goal at 7:51 of the third period, which took the Blues' chances from 48% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 4.0 to 2.6; shots on goal were STL 30, TOR 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 32 of 34 (.941), 2.0 goals saved above expected; Frederik Andersen stopped 27 of 30 (.900), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Alex Pietrangelo (1 G), 2. Jordan Binnington (32 saves, .941), 3. William Nylander (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    A. Pietrangelo1 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    J. Binnington32 saves, .941
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    W. Nylander1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL0721518330
TORTOR01521108234

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. STL
    O. Sundqvist(1)
    I. Barbashev (1), J. Binnington (1)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +19 pts
    1-0
    8:30
  2. TOR
    F. Gauthier(2)
    J. Spezza (1), N. Petan (1)
    wristxG 0.22win prob +20 pts
    1-1
    11:34
  3. TOR
    W. Nylander(2)
    C. Ceci (2), A. Johnsson (1)
    wristxG 0.38win prob +19 pts
    1-2
    11:58
  4. STL
    B. Schenn(2)
    J. Schwartz (2), V. Tarasenko (2)
    slapxG 0.13win prob +23 pts
    2-2
    19:12

3rd period

  1. STL
    A. Pietrangelo(2)
    D. Perron (2), S. Blais (2)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +30 pts
    3-2
    7:51

Penalties

STL 6 PIM·TOR 8 PIM

1st

  • 14:22STLDavid Perron · Interferencedrawn by Jake Muzzin2 min

2nd

  • 2:36TORRasmus Sandin · Hookingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min
  • 12:22TORJustin Holl · Interferencedrawn by Oskar Sundqvist2 min
  • 16:22STLCarl Gunnarsson · High stickingdrawn by John Tavares2 min

3rd

  • 1:39TORTrevor Moore · Cross checkingdrawn by Carl Gunnarsson2 min
  • 1:39STLCarl Gunnarsson · Holdingdrawn by Trevor Moore2 min
  • 15:03TORJake Muzzin · Slashingdrawn by David Perron2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalSTL goalFinal: TOR 0%

Biggest swing: Alex Pietrangelo, 3rd 7:51 — STL 48% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
W. Nylander · Goal · xG 0.38J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.36W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.32I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.26F. Gauthier · Goal · xG 0.22K. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.19A. Kerfoot · Missed · xG 0.17A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.16M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.15A. Johnsson · On goal · xG 0.12A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.10K. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.10A. Johnsson · On goal · xG 0.10M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.09M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.09J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.09A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.09M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.08J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.08F. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.06K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.06A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.06M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.05T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.04J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.04F. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.04M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.03M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.03K. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.03W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.03W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.03I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.02M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.02J. Muzzin · On goal · xG 0.02T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.02J. Holl · On goal · xG 0.02A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.02I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.02A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.02J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.02M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.02A. Kerfoot · Missed · xG 0.02K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.01J. Muzzin · On goal · xG 0.01R. Sandin · On goal · xG 0.01I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.01J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.01W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.01J. Holl · Missed · xG 0.01C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.01J. Holl · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.01N. Petan · Missed · xG 0.01T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.01A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.00J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.00
TOR2 G · 4.0 xG · 59 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsTOR
2.63 G
All situations
2 G4.0
1.93 G
Even strength
2 G3.3
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 101 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL24%76%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.23 – 3.86

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsTOR
30
Shots on goal
34
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/3
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
8
26
Hits
15
18
Blocked shots
9
15
Giveaways
15
5
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27A. PietrangeloD101-150.16020—24:33
55C. ParaykoD000+110.06040—22:16
72J. FaulkD000+220.05100—21:17
19J. BouwmeesterD000+100.08410—21:07
90R. O'ReillyC000+110.090105720:20
91V. TarasenkoR011030.29310—18:06
57D. PerronL011+140.25202—17:58
10B. SchennC101-130.321102517:12
17J. SchwartzL011010.40000—16:39
29V. DunnD000+120.11010—16:23
70O. SundqvistC101+110.032205015:40
20A. SteenL000+130.23020—14:06
21T. BozakC000010.011007513:48
4C. GunnarssonD000-210.02114—12:39
49I. BarbashevL011+110.283005712:37
9S. BlaisL011+100.20310—11:02
15R. FabbriC000-110.05000010:14
12Z. SanfordL000-100.01510—08:25
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(W)34322.9414.01+2.0159:38

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).