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Wild at Hurricanes
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
2
Carolina Hurricanes
▸6
FinalTV FS-CR, FS-N·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Minnesota Wild 6-2. The Wild scored first; the Hurricanes answered. The Hurricanes led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mats Zuccarello's goal at 9:08 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 14% to 29%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 4.0 to 2.7; shots on goal were MIN 24, CAR 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Alex Stalock stopped 34 of 39 (.872), 1.9 goals below expected; Petr Mrazek stopped 22 of 24 (.917), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Sebastian Aho (3 G, 2 A), 2. Teuvo Teravainen (3 A), 3. Lucas Wallmark (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    S. Aho3 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    T. Teravainen3 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    L. Wallmark1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN1711007224
CARCAR212215213640

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    R. Donato(4)
    M. Foligno (5), J. Brodin (11)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    2:21
  2. CAR
    L. Wallmark(4)
    R. Dzingel (12), T. van Riemsdyk (3)
    wristxG 0.33win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    9:00
  3. CAR
    A. Svechnikov(13)PPG
    T. Teravainen (20), S. Aho (10)
    tip-inxG 0.16win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    15:02

2nd period

  1. CAR
    S. Aho(14)
    T. Teravainen (21), N. Niederreiter (8)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    4:43
  2. MIN
    M. Zuccarello(7)
    E. Staal (13)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    9:08
  3. CAR
    S. Aho(15)PPG
    T. Teravainen (22), J. Staal (6)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +12 pts
    2-4
    15:15

3rd period

  1. CAR
    J. Edmundson(3)
    S. Aho (11)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +3 pts
    2-5
    12:24
  2. CAR
    S. Aho(16)EN
    J. Slavin (14)
    wristxG 0.46
    2-6
    18:39

Penalties

MIN 6 PIM·CAR 8 PIM

1st

  • 14:10MINJoel Eriksson Ek · Holdingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min
  • 14:10MINJordan Greenway · Trippingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min
  • 16:25CARJaccob Slavin · Interferencedrawn by Eric Staal2 min

2nd

  • 9:30CARLucas Wallmark · Holding the stickdrawn by Victor Rask2 min
  • 14:30MINKevin Fiala · High stickingdrawn by Ryan Dzingel2 min
  • 15:54CARLucas Wallmark · Interferencedrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min

3rd

  • 17:09CARClark Bishop · Trippingdrawn by Victor Rask2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalMIN goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Mats Zuccarello, 2nd 9:08 — MIN 14% → 29%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. McGinn · Missed · xG 0.51S. Aho · Goal · xG 0.46L. Wallmark · Goal · xG 0.33T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.19S. Aho · Goal · xG 0.17W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.17A. Svechnikov · Goal · xG 0.16J. Edmundson · Missed · xG 0.15C. Bishop · On goal · xG 0.14N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.13S. Aho · Goal · xG 0.11J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.11B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.10W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.09J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.09D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.08R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.07S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.07D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.07J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.07A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.06T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.06B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.06R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.06W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.05S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.04D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.04T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.04B. Gibbons · On goal · xG 0.03J. Edmundson · Goal · xG 0.03T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.03J. Gardiner · On goal · xG 0.03S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.03W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.02J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.02B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.02J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.02B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.02B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.01J. Gardiner · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.01J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR6 G · 4.0 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsCAR
2.72 G
All situations
5 G4.0
2.22 G
Even strength
3 G2.5
0.50 G
Power play
2 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN43%57%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.64 – 3.05

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsCAR
24
Shots on goal
40
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/4
Power play
2/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
21
Hits
13
10
Blocked shots
12
13
Giveaways
19
12
Takeaways
17

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
24M. DumbaD000-140.16100—26:17
20R. SuterD000-110.01140—25:43
25J. BrodinD011+130.16000—20:04
21C. SoucyD000+100.00100—19:31
12E. StaalC011-200.171106518:05
36M. ZuccarelloR101-230.52000—17:49
11Z. PariseL000-200.07200—17:37
77B. HuntD000-210.03100—16:51
16J. ZuckerL000-230.34000—16:24
22K. FialaL000-110.04302—15:36
6R. DonatoC101+150.582105015:14
14J. Eriksson EkC000010.101026414:50
18J. GreenwayL000000.00202—13:42
19L. KuninC000010.12110013:35
38R. HartmanR000+100.001005012:01
17M. FolignoL011+100.0041010011:51
49V. RaskC000-110.390005511:29
55N. SeelerD000-200.00020—11:14
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32A. Stalock(L)39345.8723.07-1.9358:30

Season series

CAR leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).