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Hurricanes at Wild
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
▸4
Minnesota Wild
3
Final/OTTV FS-CR, FS-N·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Minnesota Wild 4-3 in overtime, Andrei Svechnikov scoring at 1:33. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Andrei Svechnikov's goal at 1:33 of overtime, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 2.8 to 1.9; shots on goal were CAR 28, MIN 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. James Reimer stopped 32 of 35 (.914); Devan Dubnyk stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 2.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Andrei Svechnikov (1 G), 2. Warren Foegele (1 G), 3. Carson Soucy (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    A. Svechnikov1 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    W. Foegele1 G
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    C. Soucy1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
CARCAR291701111428
MINMIN0103150901335

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    J. Edmundson(2)
    M. Necas (10), N. Niederreiter (6)
    slapxG 0.01win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    3:56
  2. CAR
    B. McGinn(2)
    T. Teravainen (14), J. Martinook (2)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    5:57

2nd period

  1. MIN
    L. Kunin(4)
    J. Brodin (5), J. Greenway (6)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    4:27
  2. CAR
    W. Foegele(3)
    R. Dzingel (10), J. Staal (4)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    8:50
  3. MIN
    Z. Parise(6)SHG
    M. Dumba (6), M. Koivu (7)
    backhandxG 0.41win prob +18 pts
    3-2
    15:43
  4. MIN
    C. Soucy(1)
    V. Rask (2)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +22 pts
    3-3
    17:04

Overtime

  1. CAR
    A. Svechnikov(9)
    D. Hamilton (13)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +51 pts
    4-3
    1:33

Penalties

CAR 8 PIM·MIN 6 PIM

1st

  • 11:34CARErik Haula · Trippingdrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min
  • 16:05MINMathew Dumba · Roughingdrawn by Joel Edmundson2 min
  • 16:05CARJoel Edmundson · Roughingdrawn by Mathew Dumba2 min

2nd

  • 1:50CARTrevor van Riemsdyk · Interferencedrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min
  • 11:29CARDougie Hamilton · Trippingdrawn by Jordan Greenway2 min
  • 13:51MINKevin Fiala · Trippingdrawn by Martin Necas2 min

3rd

  • 7:58MINRyan Hartman · Interferencedrawn by Lucas Wallmark2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalCAR goalFinal: MIN 0%

Biggest swing: Andrei Svechnikov, OT 1:33 — CAR 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Z. Parise · Goal · xG 0.41B. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.22K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.17J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.17J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.16J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.14Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.10L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.10E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.09C. Soucy · Goal · xG 0.09L. Kunin · Goal · xG 0.09J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.09E. Staal · Missed · xG 0.09Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.08Z. Parise · Missed · xG 0.06R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.06J. Greenway · Missed · xG 0.05J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.05J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.05M. Koivu · On goal · xG 0.04L. Kunin · Missed · xG 0.04M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.04J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.03R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.03J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.03M. Koivu · Missed · xG 0.03R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.03M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.02R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.02L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.02M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.02J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.02J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.02C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.02M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.02J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.01E. Staal · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Parise · Missed · xG 0.01M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.01J. Greenway · Missed · xG 0.01C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.01L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN3 G · 2.8 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsMIN
1.94 G
All situations
3 G2.8
1.44 G
Even strength
2 G2.0
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR33%67%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.85 – 2.76

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsMIN
28
Shots on goal
35
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/2
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
6
11
Hits
10
12
Blocked shots
10
4
Giveaways
1
5
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
19D. HamiltonD011+340.25232—24:41
74J. SlavinD000+200.01010—23:15
22B. PesceD000020.06220—22:58
86T. TeravainenC011070.44000021:41
6J. EdmundsonD101010.01012—20:49
20S. AhoC000+100.001003820:31
37A. SvechnikovR101-110.14200—18:58
11J. StaalC011010.290106717:52
18R. DzingelC011+210.07000015:09
56E. HaulaL000000.000125314:44
51J. GardinerD000-210.01010—14:03
13W. FoegeleL101+140.30000—13:24
88M. NecasC011000.01010013:04
57T. van RiemsdykD000-110.00002—12:17
21N. NiederreiterR011000.00210—12:05
23B. McGinnL101030.15100—11:08
48J. MartinookL011-110.0410010010:56
71L. WallmarkC000-110.060006009:04
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
47J. Reimer(W)35323.9142.82-0.1861:33

Season series

CAR leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).