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Senators at Wild
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
2
Minnesota Wild
▸7
FinalTV FS-N, FS-WI·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Ottawa Senators 7-2. The Senators scored first; the Wild answered. The Wild led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Zach Parise's goal at 13:56 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 53% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 2.7 to 2.3; shots on goal were OTT 35, MIN 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Anders Nilsson stopped 28 of 35 (.800), 4.3 goals below expected; Alex Stalock stopped 33 of 35 (.943). Three stars: 1. Jared Spurgeon (1 G, 2 A), 2. Eric Staal (1 G, 1 A), 3. Alex Stalock (33 saves, .943).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    J. Spurgeon1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    E. Staal1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    A. Stalock33 saves, .943

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT19113013235
MINMIN01031748735

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    N. Paul(3)
    N. Zaitsev (7), M. Borowiecki (8)
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
    1-0
    15:37

2nd period

  1. MIN
    R. Donato(3)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +19 pts
    1-1
    9:43
  2. OTT
    B. Tkachuk(9)
    C. Brown (13), L. Brown (5)
    slapxG 0.08win prob +19 pts
    2-1
    10:37
  3. MIN
    J. Spurgeon(3)
    M. Zuccarello (8), E. Staal (11)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +20 pts
    2-2
    11:05
  4. MIN
    Z. Parise(11)
    K. Fiala (7)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +20 pts
    2-3
    13:56

3rd period

  1. MIN
    L. Kunin(5)
    J. Eriksson Ek (9), J. Spurgeon (11)
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +15 pts
    2-4
    4:34
  2. MIN
    R. Hartman(3)
    J. Brodin (6)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +5 pts
    2-5
    6:32
  3. MIN
    E. Staal(8)PPG
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.37win prob +1 pts
    2-6
    10:50
  4. MIN
    J. Zucker(9)
    J. Spurgeon (12), J. Brodin (7)
    backhandxG 0.20
    2-7
    11:38

Penalties

OTT 8 PIM·MIN 4 PIM

1st

  • 5:37OTTFilip Chlapik · Trippingdrawn by Mathew Dumba2 min

2nd

  • 5:39OTTVladislav Namestnikov · High stickingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min
  • 18:56MINJonas Brodin · Trippingdrawn by Anthony Duclair2 min

3rd

  • 10:18MINMathew Dumba · Roughingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
  • 10:18OTTBrady Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Mathew Dumba2 min
  • 10:33OTTColin White · Slashingdrawn by Jared Spurgeon2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalOTT goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Zach Parise, 2nd 13:56 — MIN 53% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Staal · Goal · xG 0.37V. Rask · On goal · xG 0.26J. Zucker · Goal · xG 0.20R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.18L. Kunin · Missed · xG 0.15L. Kunin · Goal · xG 0.13J. Spurgeon · Goal · xG 0.12R. Donato · Goal · xG 0.11V. Rask · On goal · xG 0.11Z. Parise · Goal · xG 0.11J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.11K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.10E. Staal · Missed · xG 0.08J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.05R. Hartman · Goal · xG 0.05J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.05M. Koivu · On goal · xG 0.05B. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.04M. Koivu · On goal · xG 0.04M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.04E. Staal · Missed · xG 0.03R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.03R. Donato · Missed · xG 0.03J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.02M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.02M. Koivu · On goal · xG 0.02V. Rask · On goal · xG 0.02M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.02B. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.01M. Dumba · Missed · xG 0.01C. Soucy · Missed · xG 0.01M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.01C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.01R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.01M. Dumba · Missed · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.01K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.01J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.01M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.01R. Donato · Missed · xG 0.01M. Dumba · Missed · xG 0.00
MIN7 G · 2.7 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsMIN
2.32 G
All situations
7 G2.7
2.12 G
Even strength
6 G2.2
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT42%58%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.23 – 2.68

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsMIN
35
Shots on goal
35
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/1
Power play
1/3
8
Penalty minutes
4
12
Hits
9
15
Blocked shots
10
3
Giveaways
6
4
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72T. ChabotD000-230.03010—22:56
81R. HainseyD000-120.01020—21:34
2D. DeMeloD000-110.13150—21:04
74M. BorowieckiD011-100.05120—20:26
36C. WhiteC000000.000125519:09
22N. ZaitsevD011-220.21200—19:05
44J. PageauC000010.080005017:58
7B. TkachukL101-130.33602—17:29
28C. BrownR011-210.05000—16:57
13N. PaulL101+150.210108615:24
10A. DuclairL000-130.11000—14:45
71C. TierneyC000020.120007114:36
26E. BrannstromD000-120.03010—13:51
51A. AnisimovC000-220.200204413:05
63T. EnnisR000-140.10000—12:26
90V. NamestnikovC000030.4410210012:01
21L. BrownC011-200.000003110:46
78F. ChlapikC000-310.15102010:00
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31A. Nilsson(L)35287.8002.68-4.3260:00

Season series

MIN leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).