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Wild at Senators
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
▸2
Ottawa Senators
0
FinalTV FS-N, FS-WI·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Ottawa Senators 2-0. The Wild scored first and never trailed. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Victor Rask's goal at 9:23 of the third period, which took the Wild's chances from 48% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.7 to 1.9; shots on goal were MIN 35, OTT 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Alex Stalock stopped 26 of 26 (1.000), 1.9 goals saved above expected; Craig Anderson stopped 33 of 34 (.971), 1.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Alex Stalock (26 saves, 1.000), 2. Victor Rask (1 G), 3. Craig Anderson (33 saves, .971).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    A. Stalock26 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    MIN
    V. Rask1 G
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    C. Anderson33 saves, .971

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN011012212235
OTTOTT0701207026

Scoring

2 goals

3rd period

  1. MIN
    V. Rask(1)
    J. Greenway (1)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +32 pts
    1-0
    9:23
  2. MIN
    Z. Parise(2)EN
    M. Koivu (2)
    wristxG 0.90win prob +11 pts
    2-0
    17:41

Penalties

MIN 12 PIM·OTT 14 PIM

1st

  • 7:14OTTVladislav Namestnikov · Trippingdrawn by Zach Parise2 min
  • 19:17OTTErik Brannstrom · Interferencedrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min

2nd

  • 2:22MINJoel Eriksson Ek · Holdingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
  • 9:17OTTBobby Ryan · Roughingdrawn by Luke Kunin2 min
  • 9:17OTTChris Tierney · Slashingdrawn by Marcus Foligno2 min
  • 9:17MINLuke Kunin · Roughingdrawn by Bobby Ryan2 min
  • 9:28MINKevin Fiala · Hookingdrawn by Ron Hainsey2 min
  • 13:33OTTThomas Chabot · Hookingdrawn by Jason Zucker2 min
  • 16:09OTTTyler Ennis · Interferencedrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min
  • 19:17MINLuke Kunin · Slashingdrawn by Erik Brannstrom2 min

3rd

  • 3:18OTTErik Brannstrom · Hookingdrawn by Zach Parise2 min
  • 6:15MINMarcus Foligno · Boardingdrawn by Thomas Chabot2 min
  • 15:28MINLuke Kunin · Hookingdrawn by Chris Tierney2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalMIN goalFinal: OTT 0%

Biggest swing: Victor Rask, 3rd 9:23 — MIN 48% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.30B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.23C. Tierney · Missed · xG 0.21V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.11T. Ennis · Missed · xG 0.10A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.08V. Namestnikov · Missed · xG 0.07E. Brannstrom · On goal · xG 0.07N. Zaitsev · Missed · xG 0.06B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.06B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.05N. Zaitsev · On goal · xG 0.05A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.05J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.05B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.04T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.04C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.04J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.03C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.03B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.03R. Hainsey · Missed · xG 0.03E. Brannstrom · On goal · xG 0.03A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.03V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.02J. Szwarz · On goal · xG 0.02T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.02A. Duclair · Missed · xG 0.01M. Borowiecki · On goal · xG 0.01T. Ennis · Missed · xG 0.01E. Brannstrom · Missed · xG 0.01R. Hainsey · Missed · xG 0.01J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.01B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.01R. Hainsey · On goal · xG 0.01E. Brannstrom · On goal · xG 0.01A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.00C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.00D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT0 G · 1.9 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsOTT
3.71 G
All situations
0 G1.9
1.91 G
Even strength
0 G1.3
0.90 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN66%34%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.79 – 1.91

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsOTT
35
Shots on goal
26
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/6
Power play
0/5
12
Penalty minutes
14
24
Hits
16
12
Blocked shots
21
12
Giveaways
19
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
20R. SuterD000+110.01010—25:32
46J. SpurgeonD000000.00310—23:26
24M. DumbaD000050.29210—22:53
25J. BrodinD000+140.09010—20:19
9M. KoivuC011+120.250006519:03
12E. StaalC000050.230003218:21
11Z. PariseL101+131.102005016:29
16J. ZuckerL000+130.1800010015:57
17M. FolignoL000010.20412—15:05
22K. FialaL000020.11102—14:48
14J. Eriksson EkC000010.023125014:29
77B. HuntD000+110.16000—14:11
19L. KuninC000030.692364314:06
21C. SoucyD000+100.00120—13:39
38R. HartmanR000010.051105013:01
6R. DonatoC000+120.22000011:36
18J. GreenwayL011+100.05300—10:52
49V. RaskC101+110.102008006:06
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32A. Stalock(W)262601.0001.93+1.9360:00

Season series

MIN leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).