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Senators at Hurricanes
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
2
Carolina Hurricanes
▸8
FinalTV ESPN+, FS-CR·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Ottawa Senators 8-2. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Martin Necas's goal at 17:55 of the first period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 70% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.6 to 1.9; shots on goal were OTT 29, CAR 43. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 79% of the time. Anders Nilsson stopped 15 of 19 (.789), 2.3 goals below expected; Petr Mrazek stopped 27 of 29 (.931). Three stars: 1. Joel Edmundson (1 G, 2 A), 2. Sebastian Aho (2 G), 3. Warren Foegele (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    J. Edmundson1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    S. Aho2 G
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    W. Foegele1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT0718114229
CARCAR212312319843

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    W. Foegele(2)
    R. Dzingel (9), B. Pesce (3)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:44
  2. CAR
    M. Necas(4)PPG
    J. Gardiner (5), L. Wallmark (3)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    0-2
    17:55

2nd period

  1. CAR
    S. Aho(7)SHG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.25win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    4:06
  2. CAR
    H. Fleury(2)
    E. Luostarinen (1), A. Svechnikov (10)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +3 pts
    0-4
    12:45
  3. CAR
    D. Hamilton(8)
    T. Teravainen (11), A. Svechnikov (11)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +1 pts
    0-5
    16:25
  4. OTT
    C. White(2)
    T. Ennis (4), M. Borowiecki (5)
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +1 pts
    1-5
    18:25

3rd period

  1. CAR
    S. Aho(8)
    J. Edmundson (1), B. Pesce (4)
    deflectedxG 0.28
    1-6
    1:07
  2. OTT
    B. Tkachuk(6)
    T. Chabot (9), C. Tierney (5)
    wristxG 0.08
    2-6
    9:54
  3. CAR
    R. Dzingel(4)
    J. Edmundson (2), W. Foegele (5)
    wristxG 0.15
    2-7
    13:16
  4. CAR
    J. Edmundson(1)
    M. Necas (8), N. Niederreiter (5)
    slapxG 0.03
    2-8
    17:47

Penalties

OTT 13 PIM·CAR 13 PIM

1st

  • 8:38OTTBobby Ryan · Fightingdrawn by Brock McGinn5 min
  • 8:38CARBrock McGinn · Fightingdrawn by Bobby Ryan5 min
  • 16:10OTTJean-Gabriel Pageau · Interferencedrawn by Warren Foegele2 min
  • 19:13CARTeuvo Teravainen · Holdingdrawn by Jean-Gabriel Pageau2 min

2nd

  • 2:24CARJake Gardiner · Holdingdrawn by Chris Tierney2 min
  • 9:28OTTNick Paul · Trippingdrawn by Brett Pesce2 min

3rd

  • 3:25OTTErik Brannstrom · Hookingdrawn by Joel Edmundson2 min
  • 6:14CARserved by R. Dzingel · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 15:55CARRyan Dzingel · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Nick Paul2 min
  • 15:55OTTNick Paul · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Dzingel2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalOTT goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Martin Necas, 1st 17:55 — CAR 70% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Aho · Goal · xG 0.29S. Aho · Goal · xG 0.25J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.16L. Wallmark · On goal · xG 0.16M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.16N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.15R. Dzingel · Goal · xG 0.15J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.13A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.12W. Foegele · Goal · xG 0.12W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.11R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.10R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.09E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.09S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.09D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.09R. Dzingel · Missed · xG 0.08H. Fleury · Goal · xG 0.08E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.08W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.07M. Necas · Goal · xG 0.07T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.07J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.06W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.06B. Gibbons · On goal · xG 0.06L. Wallmark · Missed · xG 0.06B. McGinn · Missed · xG 0.06R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.05D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.04D. Hamilton · Goal · xG 0.04B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.04B. McGinn · Missed · xG 0.04J. Edmundson · Goal · xG 0.03L. Wallmark · Missed · xG 0.03B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.03J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.03B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.03J. Gardiner · Missed · xG 0.02J. Gardiner · On goal · xG 0.02J. Gardiner · On goal · xG 0.02B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.02J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Gardiner · On goal · xG 0.02B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.02J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.01W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01H. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.01H. Fleury · On goal · xG 0.01J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.01J. Edmundson · Missed · xG 0.00
CAR8 G · 3.6 xG · 56 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsCAR
1.92 G
All situations
8 G3.6
1.52 G
Even strength
6 G3.0
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT21%79%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.84 – 3.60

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsCAR
29
Shots on goal
43
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/3
Power play
1/3
13
Penalty minutes
13
30
Hits
17
19
Blocked shots
13
10
Giveaways
16
9
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72T. ChabotD011-320.08330—23:40
22N. ZaitsevD000-100.00040—21:55
28C. BrownR000-210.01100—20:33
2D. DeMeloD000-130.04110—19:42
74M. BorowieckiD011-140.04710—18:23
81R. HainseyD000-110.02110—18:07
13N. PaulL000-230.641248017:09
63T. EnnisR011+100.00020—15:37
44J. PageauC000-120.013024715:32
36C. WhiteC101010.070004615:22
7B. TkachukL101-350.460105014:41
26E. BrannstromD000-300.00012—14:22
10A. DuclairL000-420.19000—14:06
64J. BeaudinC000000.004106014:04
71C. TierneyC011-310.122006413:56
9B. RyanR000010.13405—12:46
78F. ChlapikC000-130.05100012:27
90V. NamestnikovC000+100.00220009:56
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31A. Nilsson(L)19154.7891.73-2.2732:41
41C. Anderson24204.8331.88-2.1227:15

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).