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Hurricanes at Senators
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
1
Ottawa Senators
▸4
FinalTV FS-CR, SN1·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Carolina Hurricanes 4-1. The Senators scored first and never trailed. The Senators led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Vladislav Namestnikov's goal at 16:47 of the first period, which took the Senators' chances from 68% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 2.0 to 1.7; shots on goal were CAR 39, OTT 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. James Reimer stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 2.3 goals below expected; Anders Nilsson stopped 38 of 39 (.974), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Anders Nilsson (38 saves, .974), 2. Jean-Gabriel Pageau (1 G), 3. Filip Chlapik (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    A. Nilsson38 saves, .974
  2. ★★
    OTT
    J. Pageau1 G
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    F. Chlapik1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR015111013139
OTTOTT3140719430

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    F. Chlapik(1)
    J. Davidsson (1), J. Beaudin (1)
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    9:34
  2. OTT
    V. Namestnikov(6)
    T. Ennis (3), C. White (2)
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    16:47
  3. OTT
    J. Pageau(8)
    N. Paul (5)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    16:51

2nd period

  1. CAR
    A. Svechnikov(7)PPG
    D. Hamilton (11), T. Teravainen (10)
    snapxG 0.03win prob +6 pts
    1-3
    10:58

3rd period

  1. OTT
    B. Tkachuk(5)
    A. Duclair (3), R. Hainsey (2)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +2 pts
    1-4
    15:53

Penalties

CAR 13 PIM·OTT 13 PIM

1st

  • 0:09CARJordan Staal · Slashingdrawn by Anthony Duclair2 min
  • 1:03OTTThomas Chabot · Slashingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min
  • 3:33OTTDylan DeMelo · Trippingdrawn by Nino Niederreiter2 min
  • 4:20CARRyan Dzingel · Fightingdrawn by Vladislav Namestnikov5 min
  • 4:20OTTVladislav Namestnikov · Fightingdrawn by Ryan Dzingel5 min
  • 11:43CARWarren Foegele · Slashingdrawn by Colin White2 min

2nd

  • 3:57OTTErik Brannstrom · Trippingdrawn by Warren Foegele2 min
  • 10:15OTTChris Tierney · High stickingdrawn by Jordan Staal2 min
  • 19:44CARWarren Foegele · Trippingdrawn by Nick Paul2 min

3rd

  • 18:26CARJoel Edmundson · Cross checkingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalCAR goalFinal: OTT 100%

Biggest swing: Vladislav Namestnikov, 1st 16:47 — OTT 68% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.16A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.14N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.14N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.10C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.10J. Beaudin · Missed · xG 0.09J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.09B. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.07J. Pageau · Goal · xG 0.05A. Duclair · Missed · xG 0.05T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.05A. Duclair · Missed · xG 0.05J. Davidsson · Missed · xG 0.05J. Davidsson · On goal · xG 0.04F. Chlapik · Goal · xG 0.04V. Namestnikov · Goal · xG 0.04C. White · Missed · xG 0.03B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.03J. Beaudin · On goal · xG 0.03F. Chlapik · On goal · xG 0.03T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.02C. White · On goal · xG 0.02T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.02J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.02C. White · Missed · xG 0.02N. Zaitsev · On goal · xG 0.02A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.02T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · Missed · xG 0.01M. Borowiecki · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zaitsev · Missed · xG 0.01T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zaitsev · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · Missed · xG 0.01N. Zaitsev · On goal · xG 0.01M. Borowiecki · Missed · xG 0.01N. Zaitsev · Missed · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT4 G · 1.7 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsOTT
2.01 G
All situations
4 G1.7
1.80 G
Even strength
4 G1.5
0.21 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR57%43%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.03 – 1.68

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsOTT
39
Shots on goal
30
56%
Faceoffs
44%
1/4
Power play
0/4
13
Penalty minutes
13
31
Hits
35
11
Blocked shots
18
8
Giveaways
31
6
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
19D. HamiltonD011-260.12410—23:26
74J. SlavinD000-220.04000—22:16
22B. PesceD000-110.02110—19:27
51J. GardinerD000-100.00010—18:32
11J. StaalC000030.274125017:46
20S. AhoC000-430.121006417:04
86T. TeravainenC011-130.131105017:04
71L. WallmarkC000010.102006716:20
6J. EdmundsonD000-110.02422—16:12
18R. DzingelC000-120.16015015:55
37A. SvechnikovR101050.22210—15:54
88M. NecasC000-110.07400014:53
57T. van RiemsdykD000-130.06210—14:28
13W. FoegeleL000-110.090045014:07
21N. NiederreiterR000-210.23110—13:36
23B. McGinnL000-130.06300—12:54
29B. GibbonsC000-120.26000011:57
43E. LuostarinenC000010.062005510:35
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
47J. Reimer(L)30264.8671.69-2.3160:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).