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Islanders at Senators
NHL

New York Islanders at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
▸4
Ottawa Senators
2
FinalTV MSG+ 2, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Ottawa Senators 4-2. The Senators scored first; the Islanders answered. The Islanders led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matt Martin's goal at 4:58 of the second period, which took the Islanders' chances from 64% to 81%. Expected goals were close — NYI 2.7, OTT 2.6; shots on goal were NYI 24, OTT 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Thomas Greiss stopped 30 of 32 (.938), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Craig Anderson stopped 8 of 8 (1.000), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Nick Leddy (2 G, 1 A), 2. Tyler Ennis (2 G), 3. Matt Martin (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    N. Leddy2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    OTT
    T. Ennis2 G
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    M. Martin1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI2132704424
OTTOTT18014110232

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    T. Ennis(1)
    T. Chabot (7), C. Brown (8)
    deflectedxG 0.08win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    7:59
  2. NYI
    N. Leddy(1)
    M. Martin (1), J. Boychuk (4)
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    13:00
  3. NYI
    N. Leddy(2)Penalty shot
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.27win prob +13 pts
    2-1
    17:19

2nd period

  1. NYI
    M. Martin(2)
    N. Leddy (3), C. Clutterbuck (1)
    slapxG 0.14win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    4:58
  2. NYI
    D. Brassard(2)
    M. Barzal (4), D. Toews (5)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +10 pts
    4-1
    6:08

3rd period

  1. OTT
    T. Ennis(2)PPG
    L. Brown (1), A. Duclair (1)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +6 pts
    4-2
    7:08

Penalties

NYI 31 PIM·OTT 25 PIM

1st

  • 5:58NYIAnders Lee · Hookingdrawn by Vladislav Namestnikov2 min
  • 13:16NYIDerick Brassard · High stickingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
  • 15:53OTTNick Paul · Hookingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min
  • 17:19OTTNikita Zaitsev · Ps tripping on breakawaydrawn by Nick Leddy0 min
  • 19:41NYICole Bardreau · Roughingdrawn by Thomas Chabot2 min

2nd

  • 8:53OTTMark Borowiecki · Roughingdrawn by Cal Clutterbuck2 min
  • 8:53NYICal Clutterbuck · Roughingdrawn by Mark Borowiecki2 min
  • 8:53OTTMark Borowiecki · Roughingdrawn by Cal Clutterbuck2 min
  • 8:53NYICal Clutterbuck · Misconduct10 min
  • 8:53OTTMark Borowiecki · Misconductdrawn by Cal Clutterbuck10 min
  • 10:10NYINick Leddy · Slashingdrawn by Jean-Gabriel Pageau2 min
  • 10:28NYIAnders Lee · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Craig Anderson2 min
  • 18:20OTTVladislav Namestnikov · Trippingdrawn by Brock Nelson2 min

3rd

  • 3:10OTTBrady Tkachuk · Fightingdrawn by Casey Cizikas5 min
  • 3:10NYICasey Cizikas · Fightingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk5 min
  • 6:37NYIBrock Nelson · Trippingdrawn by Erik Brannstrom2 min
  • 19:00NYICal Clutterbuck · Roughingdrawn by Tyler Ennis2 min
  • 19:00OTTTyler Ennis · Slashingdrawn by Thomas Greiss2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalNYI goalFinal: OTT 0%

Biggest swing: Matt Martin, 2nd 4:58 — NYI 64% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Brown · On goal · xG 0.31A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.17J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.14V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.11B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.11T. Ennis · Goal · xG 0.10C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.10N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.09C. Tierney · Missed · xG 0.09A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.09V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.09A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.09T. Ennis · Goal · xG 0.08B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.08J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.07B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.07C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.07N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.07T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.06T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.05T. Ennis · Missed · xG 0.05J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.04A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.04T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.04A. Duclair · Missed · xG 0.04T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.04T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.03J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.03C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.02A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.02C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.02N. Zaitsev · Missed · xG 0.02B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.02E. Brannstrom · Missed · xG 0.01S. Sabourin · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.01E. Brannstrom · Missed · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01S. Sabourin · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.00L. Brown · On goal · xG 0.00M. Borowiecki · Missed · xG 0.00N. Zaitsev · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT2 G · 2.6 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsOTT
2.74 G
All situations
2 G2.6
1.74 G
Even strength
1 G1.7
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI44%56%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.23 – 2.56

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsOTT
24
Shots on goal
32
39%
Faceoffs
61%
1/3
Power play
1/6
31
Penalty minutes
25
27
Hits
26
19
Blocked shots
10
3
Giveaways
15
5
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3A. PelechD000-100.01430—22:43
13M. BarzalC011+150.480105021:07
29B. NelsonC000-130.060223921:00
12J. BaileyR000010.510003320:58
2N. LeddyD213+330.34102—20:52
27A. LeeL000-100.20324—20:09
18A. BeauvillierR000000.19410—19:24
10D. BrassardC101+130.252021418:53
6R. PulockD000010.04210—17:26
24S. MayfieldD000-120.01100—17:24
25D. ToewsD011000.00030—15:05
53C. CizikasC000+210.152153614:40
55J. BoychukD011+110.02020—13:58
15C. ClutterbuckR011+200.013214—12:34
8N. DobsonD000+200.00200—12:26
34C. BardreauC000020.121025011:44
17M. MartinL112+220.30200—05:17
14T. KuhnhacklR000000.01010—02:57
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1T. Greiss(W)32302.9382.59+0.5959:53

Season series

NYI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).