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St. Louis Blues at Dallas Stars

FinalTV NBCSN, SN·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Dallas Stars 4-3. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Patrick Maroon's goal at 18:22 of the third period, which took the Blues' chances from 48% to 93%. Expected goals were close — STL 3.0, DAL 3.2; shots on goal were STL 34, DAL 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 28 of 31 (.903); Ben Bishop stopped 30 of 34 (.882), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jaden Schwartz (1 G, 1 A), 2. Patrick Maroon (1 G), 3. Tyler Seguin (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    J. Schwartz1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    P. Maroon1 G
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    T. Seguin1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL11011529434
DALDAL111010210331

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    1:27
  2. DAL
    wristxG 0.10win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    17:12

2nd period

  1. STL
    snapxG 0.15win prob +19 pts
    2-1
    8:30

3rd period

  1. DAL
    backhandxG 0.26win prob +35 pts
    2-2
    13:06
  2. STL
    slapxG 0.01win prob +38 pts
    3-2
    14:24
  3. DAL
    snapxG 0.14win prob +40 pts
    3-3
    15:52
  4. STL
    wristxG 0.06win prob +45 pts
    4-3
    18:22

Penalties

STL 10 PIM·DAL 6 PIM

1st

  • 13:11DALJamie Benn · Trippingdrawn by Colton Parayko2 min
  • 15:36STLJay Bouwmeester · Trippingdrawn by Tyler Seguin2 min

2nd

  • 0:57STLJay Bouwmeester · Delaying game2 min
  • 16:10STLCarl Gunnarsson · High stickingdrawn by Roman Polak2 min
  • 16:29STLRobert Bortuzzo · Cross checkingdrawn by Esa Lindell2 min
  • 16:29DALEsa Lindell · Embellishmentdrawn by Robert Bortuzzo2 min

3rd

  • 12:07DALRoman Polak · High stickingdrawn by Robert Thomas2 min
  • 19:16STLColton Parayko · Delaying game2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalSTL goalFinal: DAL 0%

Biggest swing: Patrick Maroon, 3rd 18:22 — STL 48% → 93%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.30A. Cogliano · Goal · xG 0.26T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.16M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.14J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.14T. Seguin · Goal · xG 0.14A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.13A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.13A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.12M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.11R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.11J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.10J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.10A. Radulov · Goal · xG 0.10T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.10M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.09R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.09J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.09M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.08J. Dowling · On goal · xG 0.08M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.08B. Comeau · On goal · xG 0.07A. Radulov · Missed · xG 0.06J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.06B. Comeau · On goal · xG 0.06J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.05M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.05M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.04A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.03M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.03J. Dowling · Missed · xG 0.03J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.02J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.02T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.02M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.02T. Fedun · On goal · xG 0.01J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.01B. Lovejoy · On goal · xG 0.01M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL3 G · 3.2 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsDAL
3.04 G
All situations
3 G3.2
2.54 G
Even strength
1 G2.6
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL46%54%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.96 – 3.19

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsDAL
34
Shots on goal
31
38%
Faceoffs
63%
0/2
Power play
1/4
10
Penalty minutes
6
28
Hits
29
28
Blocked shots
16
9
Giveaways
13
5
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55C. ParaykoD011+220.07042—26:27
27A. PietrangeloD101+140.09020—24:32
19J. BouwmeesterD022+330.21184—23:48
90R. O'ReillyC011-130.351104122:02
70O. SundqvistC000+110.073104021:33
10B. SchennC000-110.022202219:29
57D. PerronL000-130.22110—18:32
91V. TarasenkoR000-140.29200—17:38
17J. SchwartzL112+120.28600—17:30
29V. DunnD011010.01110—17:07
4C. GunnarssonD000-110.19112—15:01
18R. ThomasC011+310.120005012:21
21T. BozakC112+230.580003611:43
20A. SteenL000000.00130—11:10
41R. BortuzzoD000000.00212—10:36
7P. MaroonL101+220.14420—10:08
49I. BarbashevL000000.062104008:21
15R. FabbriC000030.30100005:58
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(W)31283.9033.22+0.2259:44

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).