St. Louis Blues at Dallas Stars
Recap
written from the game dataThe St. Louis Blues beat the Dallas Stars 4-3. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Patrick Maroon's goal at 18:22 of the third period, which took the Blues' chances from 48% to 93%. Expected goals were close — STL 3.0, DAL 3.2; shots on goal were STL 34, DAL 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 28 of 31 (.903); Ben Bishop stopped 30 of 34 (.882), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jaden Schwartz (1 G, 1 A), 2. Patrick Maroon (1 G), 3. Tyler Seguin (1 G).
Three stars
- ★J. Schwartz1 G, 1 A

- ★★P. Maroon1 G

- ★★★T. Seguin1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
1-01:27
1-117:12
2nd period
2-18:30
3rd period
2-213:06
3-214:24
3-315:52
4-318:22
Penalties
1st
- 13:11
Jamie Benn · Trippingdrawn by Colton Parayko2 min
- 15:36
Jay Bouwmeester · Trippingdrawn by Tyler Seguin2 min
2nd
- 0:57
Jay Bouwmeester · Delaying game2 min
- 16:10
Carl Gunnarsson · High stickingdrawn by Roman Polak2 min
- 16:29
Robert Bortuzzo · Cross checkingdrawn by Esa Lindell2 min
- 16:29
Esa Lindell · Embellishmentdrawn by Robert Bortuzzo2 min
3rd
- 12:07
Roman Polak · High stickingdrawn by Robert Thomas2 min
- 19:16
Colton Parayko · Delaying game2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Patrick Maroon, 3rd 18:22 — 48% → 93%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.04 G
- All situations
- 3 G3.2
- 2.54 G
- Even strength
- 1 G2.6
- 0.50 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.2
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 1 G0.4
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.96 – 3.19
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 34
- Shots on goal
- 31
- 38%
- Faceoffs
- 63%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 1/4
- 10
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 28
- Hits
- 29
- 28
- Blocked shots
- 16
- 9
- Giveaways
- 13
- 5
- Takeaways
- 5
Box score
every player line
Series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
