Skip to content

Dallas Stars at St. Louis Blues

FinalTV NBCSN, SN·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Dallas Stars 3-2. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jason Spezza's goal at 10:25 of the second period, which took the Stars' chances from 28% to 47%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 2.9 to 1.4; shots on goal were DAL 29, STL 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Ben Bishop stopped 17 of 20 (.850), 1.6 goals below expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 27 of 29 (.931), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Vladimir Tarasenko (2 G), 2. Jordan Binnington (27 saves, .931), 3. Robby Fabbri (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    V. Tarasenko2 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    J. Binnington27 saves, .931
  3. ★★★
    STL
    R. Fabbri1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL0814117229
STLSTL171716320

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.03win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    5:57

2nd period

  1. DAL
    slapxG 0.21win prob +19 pts
    1-1
    10:25
  2. STL
    wristxG 0.05win prob +17 pts
    1-2
    18:03

3rd period

  1. STL
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.10win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    3:51
  2. DAL
    J. Benn(2)PPG
    wristxG 0.20win prob +4 pts
    2-3
    17:43

Penalties

DAL 10 PIM·STL 10 PIM

2nd

  • 6:37DALJamie Benn · Trippingdrawn by Vince Dunn2 min
  • 17:55DALRoman Polak · Hookingdrawn by Vladimir Tarasenko2 min

3rd

  • 1:09STLCarl Gunnarsson · Trippingdrawn by Jamie Benn2 min
  • 12:22STLAlex Pietrangelo · Roughingdrawn by Esa Lindell2 min
  • 12:22STLVince Dunn · Roughingdrawn by Blake Comeau2 min
  • 12:22STLVince Dunn · Roughingdrawn by Blake Comeau2 min
  • 12:22DALBlake Comeau · Roughingdrawn by Vince Dunn2 min
  • 12:22DALBlake Comeau · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Jordan Binnington2 min
  • 12:22DALEsa Lindell · Roughingdrawn by Alex Pietrangelo2 min
  • 17:02STLAlex Pietrangelo · High stickingdrawn by Jamie Benn2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalDAL goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Jason Spezza, 2nd 10:25 — DAL 28% → 47%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.18R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.12V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.12C. Gunnarsson · Missed · xG 0.12V. Tarasenko · Goal · xG 0.10T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.08B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.07D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.07O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.07C. Gunnarsson · On goal · xG 0.06O. Sundqvist · Missed · xG 0.06V. Tarasenko · Goal · xG 0.05B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.04B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.04R. Fabbri · Goal · xG 0.03C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.03J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.03O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.03C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02P. Maroon · Missed · xG 0.02D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.02J. Bouwmeester · Missed · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.01V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.01J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.01R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.00
STL3 G · 1.4 xG · 28 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsSTL
2.92 G
All situations
3 G1.4
1.91 G
Even strength
2 G1.4
1.01 G
Power play
1 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 71 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL75%25%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.78 – 1.42

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsSTL
29
Shots on goal
20
49%
Faceoffs
51%
1/2
Power play
1/2
10
Penalty minutes
10
24
Hits
22
13
Blocked shots
16
8
Giveaways
6
5
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3J. KlingbergD011+120.22140—29:08
4M. HeiskanenD000-120.04220—25:00
23E. LindellD000040.16412—23:24
91T. SeguinC000050.581005821:48
47A. RadulovR000020.06100—21:03
36M. ZuccarelloR011+110.14100—20:04
14J. BennL101010.293025819:46
45R. PolakD000000.02312—16:38
24R. HintzC011020.251003314:02
21B. LovejoyD000-200.02100—13:32
12R. FaksaC000-110.200005013:26
15B. ComeauL000-100.01214—12:51
17A. CoglianoC000-100.00200012:11
37J. DowlingC000010.05100011:44
13M. JanmarkC000-110.06000011:39
16J. DickinsonC000030.2110010011:14
42T. FedunD000010.03020—10:50
90J. SpezzaC101030.560202210:41
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30B. Bishop(L)20173.8501.42-1.5858:51

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).