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Avalanche at Flames
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
▸3
Calgary Flames
2
Final/OTTV NBCSN, ALT·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Calgary Flames 3-2 in overtime, Nathan MacKinnon scoring at 8:27. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nathan MacKinnon's goal at 8:27 of overtime, which took the Avalanche's chances from 48% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.0 to 1.9; shots on goal were COL 39, CGY 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Philipp Grubauer stopped 35 of 37 (.946); Mike Smith stopped 36 of 39 (.923). Three stars: 1. Mike Smith (36 saves, .923), 2. Nathan MacKinnon (1 G), 3. Sam Bennett (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    M. Smith36 saves, .923
  2. ★★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon1 G
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    S. Bennett2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
COLCOL01511211012339
CGYCGY01011011007237

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. COL
    M. Nieto(1)SHG
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.17win prob +19 pts
    1-0
    7:16
  2. CGY
    R. Andersson(1)PPG
    S. Bennett (2), M. Backlund (1)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    12:26

3rd period

  1. CGY
    S. Monahan(1)
    S. Bennett (3), J. Gaudreau (1)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +34 pts
    1-2
    12:27
  2. COL
    J. Compher(1)
    G. Landeskog (1), M. Rantanen (1)
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +40 pts
    2-2
    17:21

Overtime

  1. COL
    N. MacKinnon(1)
    M. Rantanen (2), I. Cole (1)
    xG 0.05win prob +52 pts
    3-2
    8:27

Penalties

COL 14 PIM·CGY 12 PIM

1st

  • 4:34CGYMike Smith · Roughingdrawn by Derick Brassard2 min
  • 4:34COLDerick Brassard · Roughingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 10:26COLDerick Brassard · Slashingdrawn by Oscar Fantenberg2 min
  • 13:45CGYDerek Ryan · Holdingdrawn by Carl Soderberg2 min
  • 20:00CGYSam Bennett · Roughingdrawn by Tyson Jost2 min

2nd

  • 5:30COLGabriel Bourque · Hookingdrawn by Sam Bennett2 min
  • 9:31CGYMike Smith · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 11:38COLDerick Brassard · Trippingdrawn by Mark Giordano2 min
  • 17:28CGYRasmus Andersson · Holdingdrawn by Colin Wilson2 min

3rd

  • 6:40COLPatrik Nemeth · Holdingdrawn by Johnny Gaudreau2 min
  • 6:40CGYJohnny Gaudreau · Embellishmentdrawn by Patrik Nemeth2 min
  • 9:21COLNikita Zadorov · Interferencedrawn by Michael Frolik2 min

OT

  • 2:09COLIan Cole · Cross checkingdrawn by James Neal2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalCOL goalFinal: CGY 0%

Biggest swing: Nathan MacKinnon, OT 8:27 — COL 48% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Monahan · Goal · xG 0.14A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.12M. Frolik · On goal · xG 0.11R. Andersson · Goal · xG 0.10S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.10M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.10A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.09J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.07J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.07E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.05M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.05S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.05E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.05E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.05M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.04G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.04R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.04S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.04J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.04M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.04G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.04M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.04J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.03S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.03M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.03T. Hamonic · Missed · xG 0.03N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.03N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.02G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.02E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.02R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.02R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.02M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.02M. Frolik · On goal · xG 0.02J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.02T. Hamonic · Missed · xG 0.02E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.01M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.01T. Brodie · On goal · xG 0.01M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.01J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.01M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.01M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.01R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.00J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.00M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.00T. Hamonic · Missed · xG 0.00T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY2 G · 1.9 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsCGY
3.03 G
All situations
2 G1.9
2.12 G
Even strength
1 G1.4
0.60 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 104 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL69%31%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.96 – 1.88

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsCGY
39
Shots on goal
37
35%
Faceoffs
65%
0/4
Power play
1/5
14
Penalty minutes
12
20
Hits
24
12
Blocked shots
29
13
Giveaways
20
5
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4T. BarrieD000+240.11100—28:13
29N. MacKinnonC101+270.761004826:26
92G. LandeskogL011+240.462002525:54
96M. RantanenR022+220.07100—22:53
6E. JohnsonD000-170.40210—22:40
34C. SoderbergC000000.040002122:37
49S. GirardD000020.06100—22:05
28I. ColeD011+200.02042—20:52
13A. KerfootC000010.2112010020:19
16N. ZadorovD000-100.00322—19:55
12P. NemethD000+120.15012—15:46
83M. NietoL101+130.20110—15:13
11M. CalvertL000010.05300—14:53
18D. BrassardC000030.230063813:48
22C. WilsonC000-110.0900010013:19
37J. CompherL101+110.102106012:09
17T. JostC000010.01100006:43
57G. BourqueL000000.00102—06:12
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31P. Grubauer(W)37352.9461.88-0.1267:57

Series

COL leads 4-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).