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Islanders at Penguins
NHL

New York Islanders at Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
▸4
Pittsburgh Penguins
1
FinalTV NBC, CBC·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 4-1. The Penguins scored first; the Islanders answered. The Islanders led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Leo Komarov's goal at 10:27 of the third period, which took the Islanders' chances from 80% to 95%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 3.1 to 1.9; shots on goal were NYI 36, PIT 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Robin Lehner stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Matt Murray stopped 32 of 35 (.914). Three stars: 1. Robin Lehner (25 saves, .962), 2. Brock Nelson (1 G), 3. Jordan Eberle (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    R. Lehner25 saves, .962
  2. ★★
    NYI
    B. Nelson1 G
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    J. Eberle1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI28016212436
PITPIT180909126

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    G. Wilson(1)
    M. Pettersson (1), J. Schultz (2)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    12:54
  2. NYI
    J. Eberle(3)
    R. Pulock (1), M. Barzal (4)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    13:22
  3. NYI
    B. Nelson(2)
    T. Kuhnhackl (1)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +14 pts
    2-1
    14:24

3rd period

  1. NYI
    L. Komarov(1)
    A. Beauvillier (1), V. Filppula (2)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    3-1
    10:27
  2. NYI
    A. Lee(1)EN
    V. Filppula (3), A. Pelech (2)
    wristxG 0.40win prob +1 pts
    4-1
    18:32

Penalties

NYI 8 PIM·PIT 6 PIM

1st

  • 10:35NYIAdam Pelech · Hookingdrawn by Dominik Simon2 min

2nd

  • 8:17NYIValtteri Filppula · Hookingdrawn by Zachary Aston-Reese2 min
  • 11:13PITBryan Rust · Holdingdrawn by Nick Leddy2 min
  • 12:20PITJack Johnson · Holding the stickdrawn by Anders Lee2 min
  • 13:36NYIMathew Barzal · Trippingdrawn by Marcus Pettersson2 min

3rd

  • 13:06PITPatric Hornqvist · Roughingdrawn by Adam Pelech2 min
  • 13:06NYIAdam Pelech · Roughingdrawn by Patric Hornqvist2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalNYI goalFinal: PIT 0%

Biggest swing: Leo Komarov, 3rd 10:27 — NYI 80% → 95%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.15E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.13M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.13J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.12D. Simon · On goal · xG 0.11G. Wilson · Goal · xG 0.10J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.09J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.09J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.09J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.09D. Simon · Missed · xG 0.08P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.08Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.07P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.07S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.07S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.06K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.05G. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.04K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.03K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.03J. Schultz · Missed · xG 0.03S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.03K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.03G. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.02J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.02P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.02P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.02B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.02M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.02E. Gudbranson · Missed · xG 0.01E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.01N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.01P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.01K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT1 G · 1.9 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsPIT
3.13 G
All situations
1 G1.9
1.93 G
Even strength
1 G1.4
0.80 G
Power play
0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI65%35%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.70 – 1.91

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsPIT
36
Shots on goal
26
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/2
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
6
47
Hits
58
23
Blocked shots
13
8
Giveaways
16
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6R. PulockD011+220.12120—22:17
2N. LeddyD000000.00340—22:06
3A. PelechD011+200.00214—19:47
55J. BoychukD000010.01230—19:26
15C. ClutterbuckR000010.07420—19:10
53C. CizikasC000010.082205918:17
25D. ToewsD000+140.27110—17:20
24S. MayfieldD000010.02130—17:12
29B. NelsonC101040.512002716:58
7J. EberleR101+140.39200—15:46
12J. BaileyR000+110.25200—15:09
27A. LeeL101+230.680105014:56
17M. MartinL000020.041010—14:15
13M. BarzalC011+150.242125013:53
51V. FilppulaC022+210.151126013:15
14T. KuhnhacklR011030.09610—12:12
47L. KomarovR101+230.12300—10:43
18A. BeauvillierR011+100.09300—09:18
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40R. Lehner(W)26251.9621.91+0.9160:00

Series

NYI leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).