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Penguins at Islanders
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at New York Islanders

FinalTV NBCSN, ATTSN-PT·NYCB Live/Nassau Coliseum

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 3-1. The Penguins scored first; the Islanders answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jordan Eberle's goal at 7:54 of the third period, which took the Islanders' chances from 52% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 3.2 to 2.9; shots on goal were PIT 33, NYI 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Matt Murray stopped 31 of 34 (.912); Robin Lehner stopped 32 of 33 (.970), 1.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jordan Eberle (1 G, 1 A), 2. Mathew Barzal (2 A), 3. Robin Lehner (32 saves, .970).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    J. Eberle1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NYI
    M. Barzal2 A
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    R. Lehner32 saves, .970

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT07111015133
NYINYI011112211334

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. PIT
    slapxG 0.03win prob +19 pts
    1-0
    10:36
  2. NYI
    wristxG 0.10win prob +20 pts
    1-1
    13:25

3rd period

  1. NYI
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +29 pts
    1-2
    7:54
  2. NYI
    J. Bailey(2)PPG
    A. Lee (2), D. Toews (2)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +11 pts
    1-3
    11:38

Penalties

PIT 16 PIM·NYI 8 PIM

1st

  • 5:51PITEvgeni Malkin · Hookingdrawn by Devon Toews2 min
  • 8:23NYILeo Komarov · Roughingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
  • 8:23PITEvgeni Malkin · High stickingdrawn by Leo Komarov2 min
  • 13:38PITJack Johnson · High stickingdrawn by Tom Kuhnhackl2 min
  • 15:47PITJack Johnson · Interferencedrawn by Adam Pelech2 min
  • 16:52NYIAnders Lee · Hookingdrawn by Erik Gudbranson2 min

2nd

  • 3:25PITSidney Crosby · Hookingdrawn by Devon Toews2 min
  • 4:31PITErik Gudbranson · High stickingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min
  • 13:25NYIMathew Barzal · Roughingdrawn by Marcus Pettersson2 min
  • 13:25PITMarcus Pettersson · Roughingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min
  • 13:25NYIMathew Barzal · Roughingdrawn by Marcus Pettersson2 min

3rd

  • 9:50PITPatric Hornqvist · Trippingdrawn by Nick Leddy2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalPIT goalFinal: NYI 100%

Biggest swing: Jordan Eberle, 3rd 7:54 — NYI 52% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.22R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.18J. Eberle · Goal · xG 0.17M. Martin · On goal · xG 0.17B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.16M. Martin · On goal · xG 0.15J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.14A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.13A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.13B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.12J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.12A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.12B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.12A. Beauvillier · Goal · xG 0.10J. Bailey · Goal · xG 0.10J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.09M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.09A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.08C. Clutterbuck · On goal · xG 0.08J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.07J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.06A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.06M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.06J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.06C. Clutterbuck · On goal · xG 0.05L. Komarov · On goal · xG 0.05D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.04C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.04T. Kuhnhackl · On goal · xG 0.04C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.03J. Boychuk · Missed · xG 0.03S. Mayfield · Missed · xG 0.03A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.02T. Kuhnhackl · Missed · xG 0.02C. Clutterbuck · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.02L. Komarov · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.01C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.01D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.01R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.00M. Martin · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI3 G · 3.2 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsNYI
2.91 G
All situations
3 G3.2
2.21 G
Even strength
2 G2.3
0.70 G
Power play
1 G0.9
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT45%55%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.91 – 3.23

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsNYI
33
Shots on goal
34
42%
Faceoffs
58%
0/2
Power play
1/6
16
Penalty minutes
8
36
Hits
41
16
Blocked shots
15
22
Giveaways
25
5
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58K. LetangD000030.02330—29:01
8B. DumoulinD000010.07610—23:24
87S. CrosbyC000010.394023820:40
4J. SchultzD000010.14010—18:38
71E. MalkinC011020.184043817:50
59J. GuentzelC000030.38020017:03
81P. KesselR000070.67010—16:59
73J. JohnsonD000-120.13414—16:09
44E. GudbransonD101010.05012—15:55
17B. RustR000-110.08100—14:37
28M. PetterssonD000-110.01012—14:28
72P. HornqvistR000-130.20122—13:57
7M. CullenC000010.050105713:21
46Z. Aston-ReeseL000+120.18220—12:33
27N. BjugstadC000-110.053005012:27
12D. SimonC000-100.12300012:11
53T. BluegerC000020.13100011:41
10G. WilsonL000010.07400—07:51
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30M. Murray(L)34313.9123.25+0.2557:27

Series

NYI leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).