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Lightning at Blue Jackets
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at Columbus Blue Jackets

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
1
Columbus Blue Jackets
▸3
FinalTV NBCSN, FS-O·Nationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 3-1. The Blue Jackets scored first and never trailed. The Blue Jackets led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matt Duchene's goal at 1:44 of the second period, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Blue Jackets, 2.4 to 1.4; shots on goal were TBL 31, CBJ 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blue Jackets win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 27 of 29 (.931); Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 30 of 31 (.968). Three stars: 1. Sergei Bobrovsky (30 saves, .968), 2. Oliver Bjorkstrand (1 G), 3. Pierre-Luc Dubois.

Three stars

  1. ★
    CBJ
    S. Bobrovsky30 saves, .968
  2. ★★
    CBJ
    O. Bjorkstrand1 G
  3. ★★★
    CBJ
    P. Dubois

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL03011117131
CBJCBJ01221018330

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. CBJ
    M. Duchene(2)
    C. Atkinson (1), Z. Werenski (3)
    backhandxG 0.30win prob +16 pts
    0-1
    1:44
  2. CBJ
    O. Bjorkstrand(1)PPG
    S. Jones (1), A. Texier (1)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    8:25

3rd period

  1. TBL
    O. Palat(1)
    E. Cernak (3), T. Johnson (1)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    4:40
  2. CBJ
    C. Atkinson(2)EN
    A. Panarin (3), S. Harrington (1)
    wristxG 0.73win prob +6 pts
    1-3
    19:00

Penalties

TBL 8 PIM·CBJ 4 PIM

1st

  • 6:13TBLAlex Killorn · Interferencedrawn by Sergei Bobrovsky2 min
  • 15:50TBLRyan Callahan · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Dzingel2 min
  • 15:50CBJRyan Dzingel · Roughingdrawn by Adam Erne2 min

2nd

  • 6:50TBLRyan Callahan · Interferencedrawn by Zach Werenski2 min

3rd

  • 19:28TBLSteven Stamkos · Roughingdrawn by Nick Foligno2 min
  • 19:28CBJRiley Nash · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CBJ goalTBL goalFinal: CBJ 100%

Biggest swing: Matt Duchene, 2nd 1:44 — CBJ 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Atkinson · Goal · xG 0.73M. Duchene · Goal · xG 0.30R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.19N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.10J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.09R. Dzingel · Missed · xG 0.09P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.08M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.08J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.08Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.07A. Texier · On goal · xG 0.07O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.07O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.07A. Texier · On goal · xG 0.05O. Bjorkstrand · Goal · xG 0.05B. Jenner · Missed · xG 0.03R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.03A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.03N. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.03C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.02B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.02S. Jones · Missed · xG 0.02P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.02A. Clendening · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.02O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.02D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.02R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.01A. Clendening · On goal · xG 0.01S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.01O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.01J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Kukan · On goal · xG 0.00A. Clendening · On goal · xG 0.00
CBJ3 G · 2.4 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsCBJ
1.41 G
All situations
2 G2.4
1.11 G
Even strength
1 G1.5
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 72 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL41%59%CBJ

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.34 – 1.71

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsCBJ
31
Shots on goal
30
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/0
Power play
1/2
8
Penalty minutes
4
44
Hits
40
15
Blocked shots
17
7
Giveaways
6
5
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27R. McDonaghD000020.06430—23:00
98M. SergachevD000-210.06420—22:55
81E. CernakD011+120.01600—22:20
5D. GirardiD000-120.03140—21:26
21B. PointC000010.172004219:40
71A. CirelliC000-130.091004719:39
9T. JohnsonC011+120.06200018:00
10J. MillerC000-130.083004417:29
18O. PalatL101+140.46310—17:20
91S. StamkosC000-200.001022515:54
55B. CoburnD000030.02100—15:39
44J. RuttaD000000.00010—13:51
13C. PaquetteC000010.022005613:30
7M. JosephR000-110.02320—12:14
17A. KillornL000000.07202—12:07
24R. CallahanR000020.11524—10:37
37Y. GourdeC000-110.031002510:10
73A. ErneL000030.07300—09:25
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
88A. Vasilevskiy(L)29272.9311.72-0.2858:37

Series

CBJ leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).