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Blue Jackets at Lightning
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
Columbus Blue Jackets
▸4
Tampa Bay Lightning
3
FinalTV USA, FS-O·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 4-3. The Blue Jackets came back from three goals down. The Lightning led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Seth Jones's goal at 14:05 of the third period, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 49% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 2.2 to 1.4; shots on goal were CBJ 26, TBL 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 0.8 goals below expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 22 of 26 (.846), 2.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Seth Jones (1 G), 2. Anthony Cirelli (1 G), 3. Josh Anderson (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CBJ
    S. Jones1 G
  2. ★★
    TBL
    A. Cirelli1 G
  3. ★★★
    CBJ
    J. Anderson1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CBJCBJ0611139426
TBLTBL31301105329

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    A. Killorn(1)SHG
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    4:12
  2. TBL
    A. Cirelli(1)
    E. Cernak (1), J. Miller (1)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    11:01
  3. TBL
    Y. Gourde(1)
    M. Sergachev (1), J. Rutta (1)
    snapxG 0.02win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    17:50

2nd period

  1. CBJ
    N. Foligno(1)
    J. Anderson (1)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +8 pts
    1-3
    9:15

3rd period

  1. CBJ
    D. Savard(1)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.10win prob +13 pts
    2-3
    7:56
  2. CBJ
    J. Anderson(1)SHG
    B. Jenner (1)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +31 pts
    3-3
    11:54
  3. CBJ
    S. Jones(1)PPG
    A. Panarin (1), Z. Werenski (1)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +37 pts
    4-3
    14:05

Penalties

CBJ 8 PIM·TBL 6 PIM

1st

  • 2:55TBLDan Girardi · Illegal check to headdrawn by Brandon Dubinsky2 min
  • 2:55CBJBrandon Dubinsky · Roughingdrawn by Dan Girardi2 min
  • 2:55TBLDan Girardi · Roughingdrawn by Brandon Dubinsky2 min
  • 19:27CBJDavid Savard · Interferencedrawn by Yanni Gourde2 min

3rd

  • 9:23CBJBrandon Dubinsky · High sticking double minordrawn by Cedric Paquette4 min
  • 12:16TBLAlex Killorn · High stickingdrawn by Nick Foligno2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalCBJ goalFinal: TBL 0%

Biggest swing: Seth Jones, 3rd 14:05 — CBJ 49% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.15A. Cirelli · Goal · xG 0.15S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.15N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.14S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.13A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.12A. Killorn · Goal · xG 0.11N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.09S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.09B. Point · On goal · xG 0.09A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.09S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.07J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.07N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.06Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.06A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.06S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.06N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.06E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.05A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.04M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.04N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.04B. Point · On goal · xG 0.04J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.04Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.04C. Paquette · Missed · xG 0.03E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.02D. Girardi · On goal · xG 0.02V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.02E. Cernak · Missed · xG 0.02V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.02C. Paquette · On goal · xG 0.02Y. Gourde · Goal · xG 0.02V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.01M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.01M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL3 G · 2.2 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsTBL
1.44 G
All situations
3 G2.2
1.32 G
Even strength
2 G1.6
0.11 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.11 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 69 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ33%67%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.40 – 2.23

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsTBL
26
Shots on goal
29
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/2
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
6
30
Hits
31
14
Blocked shots
16
4
Giveaways
8
5
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8Z. WerenskiD011010.02130—26:00
3S. JonesD101-110.05160—25:33
58D. SavardD101030.15112—22:02
65M. NutivaaraD000010.03100—20:15
9A. PanarinL011-100.10000—18:13
13C. AtkinsonR000030.12100—17:18
18P. DuboisC000-210.085205016:51
28O. BjorkstrandR000-130.17000—15:05
77J. AndersonR112030.1120010014:50
95M. DucheneC000-120.170005514:43
71N. FolignoL101+210.118104714:36
38B. JennerC011+100.004005014:30
4S. HarringtonD000+110.02210—13:17
42A. TexierL000+110.1400010013:08
19R. DzingelC000-120.07000013:03
20R. NashC000000.00100012:37
17B. DubinskyC000020.0630610011:04
14D. KukanD000+110.01000—10:55
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(W)29263.8972.24-0.7660:00

Series

CBJ leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).