New York Rangers at Pittsburgh Penguins
Recap
written from the game dataThe New York Rangers beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 4-3 in overtime, Ryan Strome scoring at 2:09. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Strome's goal at 2:09 of overtime, which took the Rangers' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.9 to 2.3; shots on goal were NYR 30, PIT 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Alexandar Georgiev stopped 36 of 39 (.923), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Matt Murray stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 1.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Ryan Strome (1 G), 2. Jake Guentzel (1 G, 1 A), 3. Sidney Crosby (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★R. Strome1 G

- ★★J. Guentzel1 G, 1 A

- ★★★S. Crosby1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
0-16:36
1-112:49
3rd period
1-22:28
2-212:34
3-213:50
3-317:25
Overtime
4-32:09
Penalties
2nd
- 0:30
Kevin Shattenkirk · Cross checkingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min
- 3:20
Ryan Lindgren · Cross checkingdrawn by Jared McCann2 min
3rd
- 5:23
Brendan Smith · Trippingdrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min
- 13:14
Lias Andersson · Hookingdrawn by Dominik Simon2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Ryan Strome, OT 2:09 — 49% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.34 G
- All situations
- 3 G3.9
- 1.93 G
- Even strength
- 3 G3.5
- 0.00 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.4
- 0.51 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.31 – 3.91
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 30
- Shots on goal
- 39
- 45%
- Faceoffs
- 55%
- 0/0
- Power play
- 0/4
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 0
- 37
- Hits
- 24
- 20
- Blocked shots
- 7
- 8
- Giveaways
- 17
- 4
- Takeaways
- 10
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
