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Pittsburgh Penguins at New York Rangers

FinalTV NBCSN·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the New York Rangers 7-2. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Zachary Aston-Reese's goal at 6:29 of the second period, which took the Penguins' chances from 47% to 65%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 2.6 to 2.2; shots on goal were PIT 25, NYR 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Matt Murray stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Henrik Lundqvist stopped 12 of 18 (.667), 4.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Kris Letang (1 G, 1 A), 2. Evgeni Malkin (1 G, 1 A), 3. Matt Murray (28 saves, .933).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    K. Letang1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    PIT
    E. Malkin1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    M. Murray28 saves, .933

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT05410310725
NYRNYR01211216230

Scoring

9 goals

2nd period

  1. PIT
    wristxG 0.09win prob +18 pts
    1-0
    6:29
  2. PIT
    wristxG 0.04win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    11:11
  3. PIT
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.11win prob +10 pts
    3-0
    12:20
  4. NYR
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +9 pts
    3-1
    12:46
  5. PIT
    wristxG 0.15win prob +9 pts
    4-1
    15:45

3rd period

  1. PIT
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +2 pts
    5-1
    1:03
  2. NYR
    wristxG 0.11win prob +2 pts
    5-2
    1:22
  3. PIT
    snapxG 0.04win prob +1 pts
    6-2
    4:40
  4. PIT
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.20
    7-2
    13:56

Penalties

PIT 4 PIM·NYR 4 PIM

1st

  • 2:55PITSidney Crosby · Trippingdrawn by Jesper Fast2 min
  • 12:48NYRMats Zuccarello · Hookingdrawn by Dominik Simon2 min

2nd

  • 6:46PITJack Johnson · Trippingdrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min

3rd

  • 3:16NYRVladislav Namestnikov · Trippingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalPIT goalFinal: NYR 0%

Biggest swing: Zachary Aston-Reese, 2nd 6:29 — PIT 47% → 65%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.20J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.17J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.15P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.15A. McQuaid · Missed · xG 0.14V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.12P. Buchnevich · Goal · xG 0.11J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.11M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.10K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.10B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.09M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.09B. Howden · Missed · xG 0.08P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.07V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.07F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.06V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.06C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.06M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.05K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.05F. Claesson · Missed · xG 0.05F. Chytil · Missed · xG 0.04K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.04R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.04R. Strome · Goal · xG 0.04M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.04M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.04B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.03P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.03M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.03F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.02A. McQuaid · Missed · xG 0.02M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.02F. Claesson · On goal · xG 0.02F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.02B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.02K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.02C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.02K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.02A. McQuaid · Missed · xG 0.02N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.01N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.01N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.01B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.01C. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR2 G · 2.6 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsNYR
2.27 G
All situations
2 G2.6
2.16 G
Even strength
2 G2.2
0.11 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT43%57%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.19 – 2.60

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsNYR
25
Shots on goal
30
43%
Faceoffs
57%
1/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
29
Hits
35
18
Blocked shots
12
10
Giveaways
14
10
Takeaways
14

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58K. LetangD112+220.12340—25:20
8B. DumoulinD000+210.01310—21:21
87S. CrosbyC112+220.260124519:10
50J. RiikolaD000010.02110—18:16
59J. GuentzelC112+220.07100017:38
73J. JohnsonD000+100.00312—17:35
28M. PetterssonD011+210.01220—17:25
3O. MaattaD000+110.01530—17:09
71E. MalkinC112+120.261005017:07
81P. KesselR000-110.23000—17:03
72P. HornqvistR022+120.32200—15:52
17B. RustR000+240.33210—14:40
14T. PearsonL101-120.09230—13:49
19D. BrassardC000-100.001002113:35
46Z. Aston-ReeseL101+220.22200—12:49
12D. SimonC112+110.19000012:45
15R. SheahanC000+200.00010012:25
7M. CullenC011+210.071006012:14
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30M. Murray(W)30282.9332.63+0.6359:47

Season series

PIT leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).