Skip to content
Sabres at Red Wings
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at Detroit Red Wings

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
▸7
Detroit Red Wings
1
FinalTV FS-D, MSG-B·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Buffalo Sabres beat the Detroit Red Wings 7-1. The Sabres scored first and never trailed. The Sabres led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Conor Sheary's goal at 8:37 of the second period, which took the Sabres' chances from 65% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 3.2 to 1.7; shots on goal were BUF 37, DET 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Linus Ullmark stopped 23 of 24 (.958), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Jimmy Howard stopped 21 of 26 (.808), 2.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jeff Skinner (2 G), 2. Rasmus Dahlin (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jack Eichel (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BUF
    J. Skinner2 G
  2. ★★
    BUF
    R. Dahlin1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    BUF
    J. Eichel2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF217310210737
DETDET1110508124

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. BUF
    S. Reinhart(22)
    J. Eichel (53)
    wristxG 0.30win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    3:22
  2. BUF
    R. Dahlin(9)PPG
    R. Ristolainen (37), J. Eichel (54)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    2-0
    11:51
  3. DET
    A. Mantha(25)PPG
    A. Athanasiou (24), F. Hronek (18)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    15:11

2nd period

  1. BUF
    C. Sheary(14)
    C. Nelson (5), S. Wilson (3)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    8:37
  2. BUF
    J. Skinner(39)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.21win prob +10 pts
    4-1
    11:29
  3. BUF
    Z. Girgensons(5)
    J. Pominville (15)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +4 pts
    5-1
    12:47

3rd period

  1. BUF
    J. Skinner(40)
    R. Dahlin (35)
    snapxG 0.14
    6-1
    10:27
  2. BUF
    B. Montour(8)PPG
    R. Ristolainen (38), K. Okposo (15)
    slapxG 0.05
    7-1
    11:39

Penalties

BUF 6 PIM·DET 4 PIM

1st

  • 10:30DETJake Chelios · Hookingdrawn by Zemgus Girgensons2 min
  • 12:47BUFJeff Skinner · Trippingdrawn by Taro Hirose2 min
  • 13:30BUFZemgus Girgensons · Slashingdrawn by Andreas Athanasiou2 min

2nd

  • 18:18BUFRasmus Ristolainen · Interferencedrawn by Ryan Kuffner2 min

3rd

  • 10:45DETMatt Puempel · Trippingdrawn by Jason Pominville2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalBUF goalFinal: DET 0%

Biggest swing: Conor Sheary, 2nd 8:37 — BUF 65% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Mantha · Goal · xG 0.18T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.18A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.17F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.16A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.15F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.12D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.09M. Frk · On goal · xG 0.06D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.06D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.05A. Athanasiou · Missed · xG 0.05D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.05D. Turgeon · On goal · xG 0.05A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.04D. Helm · Missed · xG 0.04F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.03F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.03A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.03J. Chelios · On goal · xG 0.02F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.02M. Puempel · On goal · xG 0.02M. Puempel · On goal · xG 0.01D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.01D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chelios · On goal · xG 0.01D. McIlrath · On goal · xG 0.01R. Kuffner · On goal · xG 0.01D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.01F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.00D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.00J. Hicketts · On goal · xG 0.00
DET1 G · 1.7 xG · 31 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsDET
3.27 G
All situations
1 G1.7
3.15 G
Even strength
0 G0.7
0.12 G
Power play
1 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF76%24%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.16 – 1.65

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsDET
37
Shots on goal
24
54%
Faceoffs
46%
2/2
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
20
Hits
15
8
Blocked shots
13
17
Giveaways
14
4
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
62B. MontourD101+140.09010—21:47
55R. RistolainenD022+220.08302—21:32
19J. McCabeD000+120.02110—20:26
9J. EichelC022+220.240004420:01
26R. DahlinD112+220.19210—19:42
8C. NelsonD011+200.01210—18:43
23S. ReinhartC101+210.300005018:32
41V. OlofssonL000+130.06010—18:29
24L. PilutD000+200.09110—17:04
53J. SkinnerL202+250.570026716:47
71E. RodriguesC000+110.160003314:37
21K. OkposoR011+110.1902010013:46
22J. LarssonL000+130.183006513:06
43C. ShearyL101+110.050005012:47
20S. WilsonC011+120.05400012:36
28Z. GirgensonsC101+120.30202012:08
37C. MittelstadtC000+130.392005711:51
29J. PominvilleR011+130.20000—10:25
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35L. Ullmark(W)24231.9581.66+0.6660:00

Season series

BUF leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).