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Red Wings at Sabres
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Buffalo Sabres

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
▸5
Buffalo Sabres
4
Final/OTTV FS-D, MSG-B·KeyBank Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Buffalo Sabres 5-4 in overtime, Tyler Bertuzzi scoring at 2:18. The Red Wings scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tyler Bertuzzi's goal at 2:18 of overtime, which took the Red Wings' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 3.0 to 2.7; shots on goal were DET 34, BUF 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Jimmy Howard stopped 35 of 39 (.897), 1.0 goals below expected; Linus Ullmark stopped 29 of 34 (.853), 2.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Dylan Larkin (2 G), 2. Filip Hronek (1 G, 1 A), 3. Victor Olofsson (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    D. Larkin2 G
  2. ★★
    DET
    F. Hronek1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    BUF
    V. Olofsson1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
DETDET1171521111534
BUFBUF01521121102439

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    T. Bertuzzi(17)PPG
    A. Mantha (18), N. Kronwall (21)
    tip-inxG 0.15win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    12:02

2nd period

  1. DET
    F. Hronek(4)
    A. Mantha (19), T. Bertuzzi (20)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    1:00
  2. BUF
    K. Okposo(12)PPG
    C. Mittelstadt (13), B. Montour (26)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    6:12
  3. BUF
    M. Scandella(6)
    Z. Girgensons (13), J. Larsson (8)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +22 pts
    2-2
    17:16

3rd period

  1. DET
    D. Larkin(29)
    M. Bowey (8), A. Mantha (20)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +29 pts
    3-2
    6:44
  2. DET
    D. Larkin(30)
    F. Hronek (14)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +12 pts
    4-2
    13:04
  3. BUF
    C. Mittelstadt(12)
    J. Skinner (23), J. Pominville (14)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +10 pts
    4-3
    15:01
  4. BUF
    J. Eichel(27)
    V. Olofsson (1), S. Reinhart (42)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +39 pts
    4-4
    15:42

Overtime

  1. DET
    T. Bertuzzi(18)
    D. DeKeyser (14), T. Hirose (5)
    slapxG 0.17win prob +51 pts
    5-4
    2:18

Penalties

DET 6 PIM·BUF 6 PIM

1st

  • 4:03DETDanny DeKeyser · Holdingdrawn by Jeff Skinner2 min
  • 7:01BUFJohan Larsson · Slashingdrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi2 min
  • 11:26BUFRasmus Dahlin · Hookingdrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min
  • 12:36BUFLawrence Pilut · High stickingdrawn by Darren Helm2 min

2nd

  • 4:13DETLuke Witkowski · Trippingdrawn by Johan Larsson2 min
  • 14:44DETDarren Helm · Holdingdrawn by Sam Reinhart2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalDET goalFinal: BUF 0%

Biggest swing: Tyler Bertuzzi, OT 2:18 — DET 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.19A. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.19C. Sheary · Missed · xG 0.18J. Eichel · Goal · xG 0.17V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.15J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.15S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.15Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.11C. Mittelstadt · Goal · xG 0.11A. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.10J. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.10C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.08V. Olofsson · Missed · xG 0.08C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.08J. Pominville · On goal · xG 0.07V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.07M. Scandella · Goal · xG 0.07V. Olofsson · Missed · xG 0.07A. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.06J. Pominville · On goal · xG 0.05B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.05K. Okposo · Goal · xG 0.05B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.05V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.05V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.05C. Sheary · Missed · xG 0.05V. Olofsson · Missed · xG 0.04S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.04V. Olofsson · Missed · xG 0.04C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.03A. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.03C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.02M. Scandella · Missed · xG 0.02J. Pominville · Missed · xG 0.02J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.02W. Borgen · On goal · xG 0.02C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.02S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.02J. Pominville · On goal · xG 0.02J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.02C. Mittelstadt · Missed · xG 0.02J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.02B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.01B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.01J. Pominville · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.01V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.00S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.00
BUF4 G · 3.0 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsBUF
2.75 G
All situations
4 G3.0
1.64 G
Even strength
3 G2.4
1.11 G
Power play
1 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET45%55%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.65 – 2.96

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsBUF
34
Shots on goal
39
63%
Faceoffs
37%
1/3
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
17
Hits
17
12
Blocked shots
11
2
Giveaways
9
5
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
65D. DeKeyserD011+120.01222—24:13
71D. LarkinC202+2120.780007322:59
74M. BoweyD011000.03030—22:29
17F. HronekD112+120.08200—22:26
72A. AthanasiouC000-140.340005422:03
41L. GlendeningC000020.193106718:57
55N. KronwallD011-100.00120—18:32
39A. ManthaR033+110.07000—17:39
59T. BertuzziL213+140.66000—16:58
43D. HelmC000+110.04002016:55
53T. HiroseL011+120.04020—16:24
20D. McIlrathD000+110.01300—16:12
51F. NielsenC000000.121006215:23
56R. KuffnerL000-110.16000—13:17
54M. PuempelL000-120.16010—11:40
70C. EhnC000-100.00200010:50
28L. WitkowskiD000-100.01212—09:28
52J. EricssonD000000.00100—04:38
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35J. Howard(W)39354.8972.99-1.0162:10

Season series

BUF leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).