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Los Angeles Kings at Anaheim Ducks

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Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Los Angeles Kings 5-2. The Kings scored first; the Ducks answered. The Ducks led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Korbinian Holzer's goal at 10:38 of the second period, which took the Ducks' chances from 53% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 3.9 to 3.3; shots on goal were LAK 46, ANA 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Jack Campbell stopped 28 of 32 (.875), 1.4 goals below expected; John Gibson stopped 44 of 46 (.957), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Max Jones (2 A), 2. Korbinian Holzer (1 G), 3. Carter Rowney (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    M. Jones2 A
  2. ★★
    ANA
    K. Holzer1 G
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    C. Rowney1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK113012121246
ANAANA11321228533

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. LAK
    A. Wagner (9), M. Roy (4)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    11:51
  2. ANA
    M. Jones (2), D. Grant (10)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    14:02

2nd period

  1. ANA
    slapxG 0.12win prob +19 pts
    1-2
    10:38
  2. ANA
    D. Shore (19), C. Fowler (17)
    slapxG 0.10win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    16:42

3rd period

  1. ANA
    S. Steel(6)SHG
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +4 pts
    1-4
    8:34
  2. LAK
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.20win prob +1 pts
    2-4
    14:57
  3. ANA
    wristxG 0.83win prob +1 pts
    2-5
    18:48

Penalties

LAK 22 PIM·ANA 30 PIM

1st

  • 1:52LAKAdrian Kempe · Slashingdrawn by Rickard Rakell2 min

2nd

  • 13:25ANACorey Perry · Trippingdrawn by Trevor Lewis2 min

3rd

  • 4:55ANANick Ritchie · Cross checkingdrawn by Paul LaDue2 min
  • 4:55ANANick Ritchie · Roughingdrawn by Paul LaDue2 min
  • 10:15ANANick Ritchie · High stickingdrawn by Dion Phaneuf2 min
  • 19:12ANARyan Getzlaf · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:12ANANick Ritchie · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:12LAKKyle Clifford · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:12LAKAdrian Kempe · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:12ANANick Ritchie · Slashingdrawn by Adrian Kempe2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalLAK goalFinal: ANA 100%

Biggest swing: Korbinian Holzer, 2nd 10:38 — ANA 53% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Silfverberg · Goal · xG 0.83D. Grant · Missed · xG 0.45C. Rowney · Goal · xG 0.18D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.18M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.17M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.15K. Holzer · Goal · xG 0.12R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.12S. Steel · Goal · xG 0.12N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.12D. Sprong · Goal · xG 0.10J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.10D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.10D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.08D. Shore · Missed · xG 0.08M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.07R. Getzlaf · Missed · xG 0.07C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.06N. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.06R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.05R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.05S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.05A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.05J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.05H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.04D. Shore · On goal · xG 0.04J. Megna · On goal · xG 0.04J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.04A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.04H. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.04D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.03J. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.03K. Holzer · On goal · xG 0.03R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.03R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.03J. Megna · On goal · xG 0.03R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.02J. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.02D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.02C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.01S. Steel · Missed · xG 0.01M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.00D. Grant · Missed · xG 0.00
ANA5 G · 3.9 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsANA
3.32 G
All situations
4 G3.9
2.02 G
Even strength
3 G2.5
1.30 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 107 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK61%39%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.23 – 2.57

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsANA
46
Shots on goal
33
58%
Faceoffs
42%
0/5
Power play
0/1
22
Penalty minutes
30
21
Hits
10
11
Blocked shots
11
13
Giveaways
11
4
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD000-320.10120—24:05
27A. MartinezD000020.06210—22:00
11A. KopitarC000-310.070207420:31
23D. BrownR000-340.23100—20:17
24D. ForbortD000-120.07110—18:35
77J. CarterC000-250.440006717:30
38C. GrundstromR101060.69400—16:44
2P. LaDueD000010.10200—16:18
3D. PhaneufD000-130.10310—15:44
17I. KovalchukL000-110.06000—15:39
81M. RoyD011030.08010—15:36
19A. IafalloL000-100.14010—15:32
73T. ToffoliC000+130.16000015:22
22T. LewisC000-230.12000014:42
13K. CliffordL000-240.154010—14:00
10M. AmadioR101010.300004413:05
9A. KempeR000+120.1310122212:59
51A. WagnerL011+130.33220—10:28
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Campbell(L)32284.8752.65-1.3558:53

Season series

LAK leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).