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Anaheim Ducks at Los Angeles Kings

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Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the Anaheim Ducks 4-1. The Kings scored first and never trailed. The Kings led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kyle Clifford's goal at 13:22 of the first period, which took the Kings' chances from 67% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 2.6 to 2.1; shots on goal were ANA 31, LAK 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. John Gibson stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 1.0 goals below expected; Jack Campbell stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Ilya Kovalchuk (1 G, 2 A), 2. Jack Campbell (30 saves, .968), 3. Kyle Clifford (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    I. Kovalchuk1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    LAK
    J. Campbell30 saves, .968
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    K. Clifford1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA08113010131
LAKLAK27110110427

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. LAK
    D. Brown(3)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.16win prob +9 pts
    0-1
    6:25
  2. LAK
    backhandxG 0.23win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    13:22

2nd period

  1. LAK
    snapxG 0.15win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    4:54
  2. ANA
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +8 pts
    1-3
    13:21

3rd period

  1. LAK
    wristxG 0.59win prob +1 pts
    1-4
    17:54

Penalties

ANA 2 PIM·LAK 8 PIM

1st

  • 6:07ANAAndrew Cogliano · High stickingdrawn by Matt Luff2 min
  • 8:22LAKDion Phaneuf · High stickingdrawn by Rickard Rakell2 min
  • 14:11LAKAlex Iafallo · Hookingdrawn by Andrew Cogliano2 min

3rd

  • 12:20LAKDerek Forbort · Trippingdrawn by Rickard Rakell2 min
  • 18:40LAKAdrian Kempe · Slashingdrawn by Adam Henrique2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalANA goalFinal: LAK 100%

Biggest swing: Kyle Clifford, 1st 13:22 — LAK 67% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Toffoli · Goal · xG 0.59K. Clifford · Goal · xG 0.23D. Brown · Goal · xG 0.16D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.15I. Kovalchuk · Goal · xG 0.15T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.13J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.12M. Luff · Missed · xG 0.12D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.10T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.09J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.08A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.08A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.08J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.07J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.07N. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.06N. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.06D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.04T. Pearson · Missed · xG 0.03J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.03T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.02A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.02O. Fantenberg · Missed · xG 0.02A. Martinez · Missed · xG 0.02D. Forbort · Missed · xG 0.01D. Phaneuf · On goal · xG 0.01T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.01D. Phaneuf · On goal · xG 0.01D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.01T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.01K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.01M. Luff · Missed · xG 0.01T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Forbort · Missed · xG 0.01J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.01T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.01K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.00A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.00T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.00O. Fantenberg · On goal · xG 0.00
LAK4 G · 2.6 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsLAK
2.11 G
All situations
3 G2.6
1.81 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA52%48%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.12 – 2.02

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsLAK
31
Shots on goal
27
57%
Faceoffs
43%
0/4
Power play
1/1
2
Penalty minutes
8
18
Hits
24
9
Blocked shots
23
9
Giveaways
14
2
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4C. FowlerD000-110.07110—23:26
26B. MontourD011-130.08100—22:55
47H. LindholmD000-210.07110—21:30
33J. SilfverbergR000-110.11100—21:17
67R. RakellR000-140.153005020:26
15R. GetzlafC000-240.094306019:14
45A. WelinskiD000010.04100—19:10
14A. HenriqueC000030.180105818:21
17R. KeslerC101020.121005416:55
64K. SherwoodL000010.02000—16:00
18P. EavesR000-220.54300—15:52
28M. PetterssonD011+110.00000—15:39
20P. AbergL000010.06000—15:20
32J. LarssonD000-110.00010—13:55
7A. CoglianoC000+110.08122012:44
56S. CarrickC000-120.370005609:39
46B. StreetC000-110.0110010009:23
23B. GibbonsC000010.15000008:27
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Gibson(L)26233.8852.04-0.9659:29

Season series

LAK leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).