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Red Wings at Penguins
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Pittsburgh Penguins

FinalTV ATTSN-PT, FS-D·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Detroit Red Wings 4-1. The Red Wings scored first; the Penguins answered. The Penguins led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jake Guentzel's goal at 10:43 of the first period, which took the Penguins' chances from 40% to 54%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 4.1 to 3.0; shots on goal were DET 34, PIT 47. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Jimmy Howard stopped 43 of 47 (.915); Matt Murray stopped 33 of 34 (.971), 2.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Phil Kessel (2 G, 1 A), 2. Sidney Crosby (1 G, 2 A), 3. Matt Murray (33 saves, .971).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    P. Kessel2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    PIT
    S. Crosby1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    M. Murray33 saves, .971

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET17013014134
PITPIT218118111447

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    7:35
  2. PIT
    O. Maatta (13), S. Crosby (63)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    10:43
  3. PIT
    P. Kessel(26)PPG
    wristxG 0.38win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    18:18

2nd period

  1. PIT
    snapxG 0.04win prob +10 pts
    1-3
    15:32

3rd period

  1. PIT
    S. Crosby(34)PPG
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +3 pts
    1-4
    6:36

Penalties

DET 22 PIM·PIT 8 PIM

1st

  • 2:11DETMartin Frk · Slashingdrawn by Dominik Simon2 min
  • 5:40PITJake Guentzel · Interferencedrawn by Anthony Mantha2 min
  • 17:03DETAnthony Mantha · High stickingdrawn by Jared McCann2 min

2nd

  • 14:52PITJack Johnson · High sticking double minordrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi4 min
  • 14:52DETTyler Bertuzzi · High sticking double minordrawn by Jack Johnson4 min

3rd

  • 3:17DETDylan Larkin · Trippingdrawn by Jared McCann2 min
  • 6:01DETAndreas Athanasiou · Misconduct10 min
  • 6:01DETAndreas Athanasiou · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
  • 9:52PITBryan Rust · Slashingdrawn by Joe Hicketts2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalDET goalFinal: PIT 100%

Biggest swing: Jake Guentzel, 1st 10:43 — PIT 40% → 54%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Kessel · Goal · xG 0.38E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.25N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.21P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.15P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.15J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.15S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.14P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.13P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.13P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.12J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.11S. Crosby · Goal · xG 0.11J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.11P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.10J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.10S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.09J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.09P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.09P. Kessel · Missed · xG 0.09P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.09J. Guentzel · Goal · xG 0.08S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.08D. Simon · On goal · xG 0.08M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.07S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.07K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.07J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.06J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.06G. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.06D. Simon · On goal · xG 0.05J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.05K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.04J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.04J. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.04P. Kessel · Goal · xG 0.04P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.04E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.04E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.04K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.04P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.03P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.03K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.03J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.03O. Maatta · Missed · xG 0.02E. Gudbranson · Missed · xG 0.02J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.02J. Schultz · Missed · xG 0.01M. Cullen · Missed · xG 0.01O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.01P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.01N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.01J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.01O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.01E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.00K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.00T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.00J. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT4 G · 4.1 xG · 57 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsPIT
3.01 G
All situations
4 G4.1
2.30 G
Even strength
2 G2.7
0.61 G
Power play
2 G1.3
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 107 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET35%65%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.97 – 3.94

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsPIT
34
Shots on goal
47
44%
Faceoffs
56%
1/2
Power play
2/4
22
Penalty minutes
8
27
Hits
26
18
Blocked shots
13
6
Giveaways
8
6
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
71D. LarkinC000-120.480024523:46
2J. HickettsD000-240.13270—23:02
39A. ManthaR000030.27212—20:46
59T. BertuzziL000-140.42104—20:25
17F. HronekD011020.11100—18:30
55N. KronwallD000010.01120—18:27
74M. BoweyD000-110.01210—17:49
70C. EhnC000030.152105516:58
72A. AthanasiouC000-130.1830123816:41
53T. HiroseL011-120.19020—15:49
43D. HelmC000-110.26000015:45
84J. CheliosD000010.04200—15:06
20D. McIlrathD000010.01220—13:55
42M. FrkR000040.42502—13:33
23D. TurgeonC000-100.001004013:03
56R. KuffnerL000000.11100—10:45
54M. PuempelL101020.24100—10:43
28L. WitkowskiD000-100.02120—09:07
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35J. Howard(L)47434.9154.07+0.0760:00

Season series

PIT leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).