Detroit Red Wings at Pittsburgh Penguins
Recap
written from the game dataThe Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Detroit Red Wings 4-1. The Red Wings scored first; the Penguins answered. The Penguins led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jake Guentzel's goal at 10:43 of the first period, which took the Penguins' chances from 40% to 54%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 4.1 to 3.0; shots on goal were DET 34, PIT 47. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Jimmy Howard stopped 43 of 47 (.915); Matt Murray stopped 33 of 34 (.971), 2.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Phil Kessel (2 G, 1 A), 2. Sidney Crosby (1 G, 2 A), 3. Matt Murray (33 saves, .971).
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
1-07:35
1-110:43
1-218:18
2nd period
1-315:32
3rd period
1-46:36
Penalties
1st
- 2:11
Martin Frk · Slashingdrawn by Dominik Simon2 min
- 5:40
Jake Guentzel · Interferencedrawn by Anthony Mantha2 min
- 17:03
Anthony Mantha · High stickingdrawn by Jared McCann2 min
2nd
- 14:52
Jack Johnson · High sticking double minordrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi4 min
- 14:52
Tyler Bertuzzi · High sticking double minordrawn by Jack Johnson4 min
3rd
- 3:17
Dylan Larkin · Trippingdrawn by Jared McCann2 min
- 6:01
Andreas Athanasiou · Misconduct10 min
- 6:01
Andreas Athanasiou · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- 9:52
Bryan Rust · Slashingdrawn by Joe Hicketts2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Jake Guentzel, 1st 10:43 — 40% → 54%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.01 G
- All situations
- 4 G4.1
- 2.30 G
- Even strength
- 2 G2.7
- 0.61 G
- Power play
- 2 G1.3
- 0.10 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 107 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.97 – 3.94
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 34
- Shots on goal
- 47
- 44%
- Faceoffs
- 56%
- 1/2
- Power play
- 2/4
- 22
- Penalty minutes
- 8
- 27
- Hits
- 26
- 18
- Blocked shots
- 13
- 6
- Giveaways
- 8
- 6
- Takeaways
- 7
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
