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Penguins at Red Wings
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at Detroit Red Wings

NHL scoreboard
Pittsburgh Penguins
1
Detroit Red Wings
▸4
FinalTV ATTSN-PT, FS-D+·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 4-1. The Red Wings scored first and never trailed. The Red Wings led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tyler Bertuzzi's goal at 10:26 of the second period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 53% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 2.6 to 2.1; shots on goal were PIT 39, DET 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Matt Murray stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 1.5 goals below expected; Jimmy Howard stopped 38 of 39 (.974), 1.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Tyler Bertuzzi (2 G, 1 A), 2. Jimmy Howard (38 saves, .974), 3. Dylan Larkin (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    T. Bertuzzi2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    DET
    J. Howard38 saves, .974
  3. ★★★
    DET
    D. Larkin3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT11409016139
DETDET1611129426

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    T. Bertuzzi(20)PPG
    A. Athanasiou (23), D. Larkin (39)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +9 pts
    0-1
    10:20
  2. PIT
    P. Kessel(25)
    S. Crosby (62), J. Guentzel (35)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    19:38

2nd period

  1. DET
    T. Bertuzzi(21)
    D. Helm (10), D. Larkin (40)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +19 pts
    1-2
    10:26

3rd period

  1. DET
    A. Mantha(23)
    D. Larkin (41), F. Hronek (16)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +13 pts
    1-3
    11:24
  2. DET
    A. Mantha(24)EN
    T. Bertuzzi (26), N. Kronwall (24)
    wristxG 0.57win prob +1 pts
    1-4
    18:06

Penalties

PIT 2 PIM·DET 4 PIM

1st

  • 1:50DETDylan McIlrath · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 9:58PITTeddy Blueger · Hookingdrawn by Luke Witkowski2 min

2nd

  • 5:04DETDylan Larkin · Trippingdrawn by Jack Johnson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalPIT goalFinal: DET 100%

Biggest swing: Tyler Bertuzzi, 2nd 10:26 — DET 53% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Mantha · Goal · xG 0.57A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.17A. Mantha · Goal · xG 0.14D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.13A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.12T. Bertuzzi · Goal · xG 0.08C. Ehn · On goal · xG 0.08A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.06T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.06T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.06R. Kuffner · Missed · xG 0.06T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.05T. Hirose · On goal · xG 0.05T. Hirose · On goal · xG 0.05T. Bertuzzi · Goal · xG 0.05A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.04D. Turgeon · On goal · xG 0.04F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.02T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.02A. Athanasiou · Missed · xG 0.02J. Hicketts · On goal · xG 0.02D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.02D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.02A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.02A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.02L. Witkowski · On goal · xG 0.02A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.02A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hirose · On goal · xG 0.01M. Puempel · Missed · xG 0.01T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.01C. Ehn · Missed · xG 0.01J. Chelios · On goal · xG 0.01A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chelios · Missed · xG 0.01A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.00A. Athanasiou · Missed · xG 0.00D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.00J. Hicketts · On goal · xG 0.00
DET4 G · 2.1 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsDET
2.61 G
All situations
3 G2.1
2.11 G
Even strength
2 G1.5
0.40 G
Power play
1 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT70%30%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.58 – 1.52

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsDET
39
Shots on goal
26
65%
Faceoffs
35%
0/2
Power play
1/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
19
Hits
14
10
Blocked shots
18
11
Giveaways
16
4
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4J. SchultzD000010.02010—23:05
59J. GuentzelC011-250.35110022:05
28M. PetterssonD000-210.10010—21:59
87S. CrosbyC011-210.040007420:46
27N. BjugstadC000-160.593106719:37
3O. MaattaD000000.01020—19:22
44E. GudbransonD000-210.07410—18:36
73J. JohnsonD000+130.08110—18:34
81P. KesselR101050.62000—17:57
72P. HornqvistR000-150.0620010016:43
19J. McCannL000030.262002916:38
17B. RustR000-110.19110—16:07
12D. SimonC000-130.08000015:21
5Z. TrotmanD000010.02200—15:16
7M. CullenC000010.020006713:21
53T. BluegerC000020.050026709:28
10G. WilsonL000000.00210—09:02
47A. JohnsonC000000.00100006:34
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30M. Murray(L)25223.8801.53-1.4759:07

Season series

PIT leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).