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Oilers at Golden Knights
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
1
Vegas Golden Knights
▸3
FinalTV ATTSN-RM, SN1·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Edmonton Oilers 3-1. The Golden Knights scored first and never trailed. The Golden Knights led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Connor McDavid's goal at 4:01 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 15% to 30%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 3.2 to 1.4; shots on goal were EDM 19, VGK 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Mikko Koskinen stopped 28 of 30 (.933); Malcolm Subban stopped 18 of 19 (.947). Three stars: 1. Cody Eakin (1 G), 2. Jonathan Marchessault (1 G), 3. Nate Schmidt.

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    C. Eakin1 G
  2. ★★
    VGK
    J. Marchessault1 G
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    N. Schmidt

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM091505119
VGKVGK1811617331

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    C. Eakin(22)
    B. Pirri (6), A. Tuch (32)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    15:27

2nd period

  1. VGK
    J. Marchessault(25)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.08win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    0:51
  2. EDM
    C. McDavid(41)
    Z. Kassian (11), L. Draisaitl (55)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    4:01

3rd period

  1. VGK
    P. Bellemare(6)EN
    W. Karlsson (32), B. McNabb (12)
    wristxG 0.70win prob +5 pts
    1-3
    19:53

Penalties

EDM 4 PIM·VGK 4 PIM

1st

  • 17:59VGKTomas Nosek · Slashingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min

2nd

  • 9:33EDMDarnell Nurse · Interferencedrawn by Nick Holden2 min

3rd

  • 11:06EDMserved by M. Lucic · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 19:16VGKTomas Nosek · Interferencedrawn by Connor McDavid2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalEDM goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: Connor McDavid, 2nd 4:01 — EDM 15% → 30%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Bellemare · Goal · xG 0.70T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.21B. Pirri · On goal · xG 0.19C. Eakin · Missed · xG 0.18M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.16J. Merrill · Missed · xG 0.14B. Pirri · Missed · xG 0.13P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.12J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.11T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.10J. Marchessault · Goal · xG 0.08M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.07M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.06J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.06P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.06P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.05C. Eakin · Goal · xG 0.05R. Carpenter · On goal · xG 0.05T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.05S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.04M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.04M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.04R. Carpenter · Missed · xG 0.03R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.03M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.03P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.03N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.03B. Pirri · Missed · xG 0.03N. Holden · Missed · xG 0.02M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.02B. Pirri · On goal · xG 0.02B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.02N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.02J. Merrill · Missed · xG 0.02R. Carpenter · Missed · xG 0.02S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.02T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.02R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.02S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.02B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.02B. Pirri · On goal · xG 0.01N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.01A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.01J. Merrill · On goal · xG 0.01P. Bellemare · Missed · xG 0.01M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.01B. Pirri · On goal · xG 0.00A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK3 G · 3.2 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsVGK
1.41 G
All situations
2 G3.2
1.21 G
Even strength
2 G2.2
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM30%70%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.43 – 2.45

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsVGK
19
Shots on goal
31
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
24
Hits
23
18
Blocked shots
16
6
Giveaways
7
14
Takeaways
19

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77O. KlefbomD000-200.03130—23:54
29L. DraisaitlC011-220.230004323:10
97C. McDavidC101-230.200003822:50
44Z. KassianR011-130.19000—21:12
25D. NurseD000+140.20132—21:01
6A. LarssonD000-100.06450—20:42
4K. RussellD000000.00110—19:35
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC000-100.001004417:50
83M. BenningD000010.03110—17:25
12C. CaveC000010.071004016:33
89S. GagnerC000-130.310008016:30
2A. SekeraD000-110.11010—15:39
39A. ChiassonR000-110.00100—14:46
27M. LucicL000000.00400—14:19
8T. RattieR000000.00210—11:08
45J. GambardellaC000000.00010007:34
24B. MaloneC000000.005206007:11
43J. CurrieR000000.00200—05:53
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
19M. Koskinen(L)30282.9332.48+0.4858:48

Season series

VGK leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).