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Golden Knights at Oilers
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Edmonton Oilers

FinalTV ATTSN-RM, CBC·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Vegas Golden Knights 2-1. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Spooner's goal at 5:50 of the third period, which took the Oilers' chances from 52% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 4.3 to 3.5; shots on goal were VGK 32, EDM 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 32 of 34 (.941), 1.5 goals saved above expected; Mikko Koskinen stopped 31 of 32 (.969), 3.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Connor McDavid (1 G), 2. Mikko Koskinen (31 saves, .969), 3. Marc-Andre Fleury (32 saves, .941).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    C. McDavid1 G
  2. ★★
    EDM
    M. Koskinen31 saves, .969
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    M. Fleury32 saves, .941

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK01416012132
EDMEDM1180719234

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.24win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    6:11

2nd period

  1. VGK
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.13win prob +19 pts
    1-1
    12:17

3rd period

  1. EDM
    snapxG 0.18win prob +27 pts
    1-2
    5:50

Penalties

VGK 6 PIM·EDM 6 PIM

1st

  • 12:28VGKJonathan Marchessault · Trippingdrawn by Ty Rattie2 min
  • 19:00VGKBrayden McNabb · Interferencedrawn by Alex Chiasson2 min

2nd

  • 9:09EDMZack Kassian · Boardingdrawn by William Karlsson2 min
  • 19:24EDMserved by J. Puljujarvi · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 11:32EDMLeon Draisaitl · Cross checkingdrawn by Reilly Smith2 min
  • 12:38VGKColin Miller · Holding the stickdrawn by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalVGK goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Ryan Spooner, 3rd 5:50 — EDM 52% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.31A. Chiasson · On goal · xG 0.26C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.24T. Rattie · On goal · xG 0.21L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.20C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.20R. Spooner · Goal · xG 0.18C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.15T. Rattie · On goal · xG 0.13R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.12L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.10L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.10T. Rattie · On goal · xG 0.08K. Brodziak · Missed · xG 0.08L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.08C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.08K. Brodziak · Missed · xG 0.07C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.07R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.06R. Spooner · Missed · xG 0.06C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.06J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.06R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.06K. Brodziak · On goal · xG 0.05J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.05T. Rattie · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Kassian · On goal · xG 0.05A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.03D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.03M. Lucic · Missed · xG 0.03A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.03C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.03O. Klefbom · Missed · xG 0.03M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.03D. Caggiula · On goal · xG 0.02R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.02C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.02J. Khaira · On goal · xG 0.02K. Gravel · On goal · xG 0.01M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.01M. Benning · Missed · xG 0.01K. Gravel · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.00C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM2 G · 3.5 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsEDM
4.31 G
All situations
2 G3.5
3.11 G
Even strength
2 G2.4
1.10 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 99 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK63%37%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.28 – 3.43

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsEDM
32
Shots on goal
34
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
34
Hits
34
14
Blocked shots
21
14
Giveaways
26
11
Takeaways
17

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
88N. SchmidtD000000.10020—25:12
71W. KarlssonC101+150.721104720:40
19R. SmithR000+160.83010—20:39
6C. MillerD000-110.06312—20:29
67M. PaciorettyL000-130.120005020:23
81J. MarchessaultR000+130.251022520:03
89A. TuchR000-110.416005019:40
5D. EngellandD000010.00430—18:31
27S. TheodoreD000020.17000—18:23
3B. McNabbD000010.06322—17:57
21C. EakinC000-140.881104316:50
22N. HoldenD000-110.02200—14:41
41P. BellemareL000020.200206312:52
92T. NosekL000-100.091105011:52
75R. ReavesR000010.115005011:23
23D. CarrL000-110.14000—09:18
40R. CarpenterC000-100.0020010009:17
28W. CarrierL000000.15500—07:51
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Fleury(L)34322.9413.49+1.4957:59

Season series

VGK leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).