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Minnesota Wild at Utah Mammoth

FinalTV ESPN+, FS-A PLUS·Gila River Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Minnesota Wild 4-0. The Coyotes scored first and never trailed. The Coyotes led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Josh Archibald's goal at 19:17 of the second period, which took the Coyotes' chances from 75% to 91%. Expected goals favored the Coyotes, 5.0 to 2.4; shots on goal were MIN 39, ARI 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Coyotes win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Devan Dubnyk stopped 19 of 21 (.905), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Darcy Kuemper stopped 39 of 39 (1.000), 2.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Darcy Kuemper (39 saves, 1.000), 2. Josh Archibald (2 G, 1 A), 3. Alex Galchenyuk (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ARI
    D. Kuemper39 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    ARI
    J. Archibald2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    A. Galchenyuk1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN011012016039
ARIARI181728423

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    wristxG 0.13win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    7:48

2nd period

  1. ARI
    wristxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    19:17

3rd period

  1. ARI
    wristxG 0.96win prob +1 pts
    0-3
    18:10
  2. ARI
    wristxG 0.84
    0-4
    19:51

Penalties

MIN 6 PIM·ARI 6 PIM

1st

  • 3:17MINserved by J. Greenway · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 13:58ARINiklas Hjalmarsson · Slashingdrawn by Jason Zucker2 min
  • 19:29MINRyan Suter · Interferencedrawn by Josh Archibald2 min

2nd

  • 3:41ARIRichard Panik · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Devan Dubnyk2 min
  • 10:30ARIJason Demers · Trippingdrawn by Jason Zucker2 min

3rd

  • 11:25MINLuke Kunin · Hookingdrawn by Clayton Keller2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalMIN goalFinal: ARI 100%

Biggest swing: Josh Archibald, 2nd 19:17 — ARI 75% → 91%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Archibald · Goal · xG 0.96V. Hinostroza · Goal · xG 0.84A. Goligoski · Missed · xG 0.43R. Panik · Missed · xG 0.35C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.28C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.26A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.21L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.18R. Panik · On goal · xG 0.14L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.13A. Galchenyuk · Goal · xG 0.13A. Galchenyuk · Missed · xG 0.09N. Cousins · Missed · xG 0.08V. Hinostroza · Missed · xG 0.08D. Stepan · Missed · xG 0.07N. Cousins · Missed · xG 0.07J. Archibald · Goal · xG 0.07B. Richardson · Missed · xG 0.06D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.06C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.05R. Panik · Missed · xG 0.05L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.04L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.04A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.03B. Richardson · On goal · xG 0.03V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.03K. Connauton · On goal · xG 0.03O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.02L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.02A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.02D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.02O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Demers · On goal · xG 0.02J. Oesterle · On goal · xG 0.02A. Goligoski · Missed · xG 0.01J. Demers · Missed · xG 0.01O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.01O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.01V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.01D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.00J. Oesterle · Missed · xG 0.00
ARI4 G · 5.0 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsARI
2.40 G
All situations
2 G5.0
1.80 G
Even strength
2 G2.1
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN43%57%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.39 – 2.74

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsARI
39
Shots on goal
23
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
37
Hits
32
13
Blocked shots
27
4
Giveaways
7
1
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
20R. SuterD000-300.00302—25:14
46J. SpurgeonD000-330.21100—24:53
25J. BrodinD000-140.05230—21:59
22K. FialaL000-350.46300—20:05
77B. HuntD000-120.12210—19:41
12E. StaalC000-200.010004819:07
16J. ZuckerL000-200.17200—18:10
18J. GreenwayL000-140.19010—17:30
19L. KuninC000-130.15102016:53
6R. DonatoC000-340.28010016:51
14J. Eriksson EkC000-130.212006215:49
49V. RaskC000-130.281006914:16
29G. PaterynD000010.01230—14:06
17M. FolignoL000020.161000—12:18
36N. SeelerD000000.02120—12:03
10M. ReadR000010.04110—10:10
21E. FehrC000000.003002709:43
23J. BrownR000040.05310—07:44
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40D. Dubnyk(L)21192.9052.76+0.7657:32

Season series

ARI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).