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Coyotes at Wild
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
▸4
Minnesota Wild
3
FinalTV FS-A PLUS, FS-N·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Minnesota Wild 4-3. The Coyotes came back from two goals down. The Wild led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Josh Archibald's goal at 8:39 of the third period, which took the Coyotes' chances from 48% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 1.9 to 1.0; shots on goal were ARI 14, MIN 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Antti Raanta stopped 17 of 20 (.850), 1.5 goals below expected; Devan Dubnyk stopped 10 of 14 (.714), 3.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Josh Archibald (2 G, 1 A), 2. Jared Spurgeon (3 A), 3. Lawson Crouse (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ARI
    J. Archibald2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    J. Spurgeon3 A
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    L. Crouse1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI160137414
MINMIN1122805325

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    L. Crouse(4)
    J. Archibald (1), N. Cousins (5)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    4:49
  2. MIN
    C. Coyle(4)
    M. Koivu (16), J. Spurgeon (9)
    wristxG 0.22win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    5:54

2nd period

  1. MIN
    Z. Parise(11)PPG
    M. Dumba (8), J. Spurgeon (10)
    deflectedxG 0.06win prob +12 pts
    1-2
    2:20
  2. MIN
    J. Zucker(7)
    J. Spurgeon (11), R. Suter (16)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    11:21

3rd period

  1. ARI
    J. Archibald(1)
    L. Crouse (1)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    3:07
  2. ARI
    M. Grabner(6)
    B. Richardson (3), C. Fischer (2)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +28 pts
    3-3
    7:02
  3. ARI
    J. Archibald(2)
    A. Goligoski (8), J. Oesterle (4)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +31 pts
    4-3
    8:39

Penalties

ARI 4 PIM·MIN 2 PIM

1st

  • 1:16ARINiklas Hjalmarsson · Hookingdrawn by Jason Zucker2 min

2nd

  • 2:03ARINick Cousins · Trippingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min

3rd

  • 3:07MINserved by N. Niederreiter · Delaying game bench2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalARI goalFinal: MIN 0%

Biggest swing: Josh Archibald, 3rd 8:39 — ARI 48% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Coyle · Goal · xG 0.22E. Fehr · On goal · xG 0.16E. Staal · Missed · xG 0.16M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.15J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.11J. Brown · On goal · xG 0.11M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.10C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.07J. Zucker · Goal · xG 0.07M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.07J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Parise · Goal · xG 0.06J. Greenway · Missed · xG 0.05J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.04J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.03M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.03M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.03M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.03J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.03J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.03J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.03R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.02E. Fehr · On goal · xG 0.02J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.02E. Fehr · Missed · xG 0.02N. Prosser · Missed · xG 0.02J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Parise · Missed · xG 0.01R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.01J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.01N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.01J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.00J. Brown · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN3 G · 1.9 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsMIN
1.04 G
All situations
3 G1.9
0.84 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 61 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI30%70%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.02 – 1.89

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsMIN
14
Shots on goal
25
42%
Faceoffs
58%
0/1
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
24
Hits
16
14
Blocked shots
12
1
Giveaways
4
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4N. HjalmarssonD000-120.04332—21:32
23O. Ekman-LarssonD000+110.07010—20:55
44K. ConnautonD000+100.02430—20:04
6J. ChychrunD000-110.03230—19:42
33A. GoligoskiD011+210.05300—19:28
21D. StepanC000-100.000004618:53
9C. KellerR000-100.00000—18:46
8N. SchmaltzC000-130.23000018:38
82J. OesterleD011+200.00000—17:23
15B. RichardsonR011+100.001205017:09
17A. GalchenyukC000000.000004216:09
40M. GrabnerL101+120.16000—15:33
13V. HinostrozaC000000.00000014:46
14R. PanikR000-110.13010—13:06
36C. FischerR011+100.00300—11:57
45J. ArchibaldR213+320.27200—11:56
67L. CrouseL112+210.03210—11:36
25N. CousinsC011+200.004023010:10
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32A. Raanta20173.8501.53-1.4740:00
31A. Hill(W)5501.0000.38+0.3820:00

Season series

ARI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).