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Predators at Wild
NHL

Nashville Predators at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
▸1
Minnesota Wild
0
FinalTV NBCSN·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Minnesota Wild 1-0. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Johansen's goal at 4:32 of the first period, which took the Predators' chances from 43% to 56%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 2.5 to 1.0; shots on goal were NSH 19, MIN 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 79% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 29 of 29 (1.000), 2.5 goals saved above expected; Devan Dubnyk stopped 18 of 19 (.947). Three stars: 1. Juuse Saros (29 saves, 1.000), 2. Devan Dubnyk (18 saves, .947), 3. Ryan Johansen (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    J. Saros29 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    MIN
    D. Dubnyk18 saves, .947
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    R. Johansen1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH170705119
MINMIN05013011029

Scoring

1 goal

1st period

  1. NSH
    R. Johansen(12)SHG
    V. Arvidsson (13), M. Ekholm (35)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    4:32

Penalties

NSH 15 PIM·MIN 15 PIM

1st

  • 3:37NSHCraig Smith · Trippingdrawn by Luke Kunin2 min
  • 7:34NSHBrian Boyle · Fightingdrawn by Jordan Greenway5 min
  • 7:34MINJordan Greenway · Fightingdrawn by Brian Boyle5 min
  • 7:34MINLuke Kunin · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Johansen2 min
  • 7:34NSHRyan Johansen · Roughingdrawn by Luke Kunin2 min
  • 12:14MINJared Spurgeon · Trippingdrawn by Viktor Arvidsson2 min
  • 16:24MINGreg Pateryn · Trippingdrawn by Filip Forsberg2 min

2nd

  • 15:03NSHP.K. Subban · Holdingdrawn by Jason Zucker2 min

3rd

  • 5:40NSHBrian Boyle · Trippingdrawn by Nick Seeler2 min
  • 9:10MINMarcus Foligno · Holdingdrawn by Roman Josi2 min
  • 9:10NSHRem Pitlick · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 11:14MINserved by P. Aberg · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalNSH goalFinal: MIN 0%

Biggest swing: Ryan Johansen, 1st 4:32 — NSH 43% → 56%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.22V. Rask · On goal · xG 0.16R. Donato · Missed · xG 0.16J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.14E. Staal · Missed · xG 0.12R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.12R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.10R. Donato · Missed · xG 0.09P. Aberg · On goal · xG 0.09K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.08E. Fehr · Missed · xG 0.08L. Kunin · Missed · xG 0.08R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.07J. Greenway · Missed · xG 0.07K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.05L. Kunin · Missed · xG 0.05J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.05E. Staal · Missed · xG 0.05J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.04L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.04V. Rask · On goal · xG 0.03L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.03B. Hunt · Missed · xG 0.03J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.03J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.03M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.03B. Hunt · Missed · xG 0.03J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.03R. Donato · Missed · xG 0.03B. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.03R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.02B. Hunt · On goal · xG 0.02L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.02L. Kunin · Missed · xG 0.02L. Kunin · Missed · xG 0.02J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.02V. Rask · On goal · xG 0.02L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.02B. Hunt · Missed · xG 0.02J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.02R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.02J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.01R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.01P. Aberg · On goal · xG 0.01G. Pateryn · Missed · xG 0.01M. Read · On goal · xG 0.01G. Pateryn · On goal · xG 0.01R. Donato · Missed · xG 0.01V. Rask · On goal · xG 0.01E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.00J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.00R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN0 G · 2.5 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsMIN
1.01 G
All situations
0 G2.5
0.80 G
Even strength
0 G1.9
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.01 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH21%79%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 0.96 – 2.44

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsMIN
19
Shots on goal
29
65%
Faceoffs
35%
0/3
Power play
0/3
15
Penalty minutes
15
11
Hits
17
17
Blocked shots
15
5
Giveaways
5
3
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD000030.09180—25:23
76P. SubbanD000+100.04122—24:43
14M. EkholmD011+100.02100—23:14
4R. EllisD000000.00220—23:05
33V. ArvidssonL011+140.13000—20:29
9F. ForsbergL000020.061005018:32
92R. JohansenC101+120.030125717:26
10C. SissonsC000000.001008816:43
13N. BoninoC000010.100105015:25
19C. JarnkrokC000010.07100015:10
64M. GranlundC000030.090005014:46
8K. TurrisC000010.010106714:17
17W. SimmondsR000000.00000—12:37
15C. SmithC000010.38002012:09
11B. BoyleC000000.002173310:50
16R. PitlickC000000.00002009:43
7Y. WeberD000010.01100—08:59
52M. IrwinD000000.00010—08:29
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros(W)292901.0002.47+2.4760:00

Season series

NSH leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).