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Golden Knights at Blues
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Vegas Golden Knights
1
St. Louis Blues
▸3
FinalTV ATTSN-RM, FS-MW·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Vegas Golden Knights 3-1. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan O'Reilly's goal at 18:14 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 53% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 2.9 to 1.9; shots on goal were VGK 25, STL 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Malcolm Subban stopped 19 of 22 (.864), 1.1 goals below expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 24 of 25 (.960), 1.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jordan Binnington (24 saves, .960), 2. Zachary Sanford (1 G, 1 A), 3. Ryan O'Reilly (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    J. Binnington24 saves, .960
  2. ★★
    STL
    Z. Sanford1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    STL
    R. O'Reilly1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK05110010125
STLSTL181717322

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    I. Barbashev(13)
    Z. Sanford (12)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +15 pts
    0-1
    18:41

2nd period

  1. VGK
    W. Karlsson(23)PPG
    C. Miller (25), J. Marchessault (31)
    slapxG 0.25win prob +20 pts
    1-1
    15:12
  2. STL
    R. O'Reilly(27)
    J. Bouwmeester (13), C. Parayko (16)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +22 pts
    1-2
    18:14

3rd period

  1. STL
    Z. Sanford(8)
    R. Bortuzzo (8), A. Pietrangelo (23)
    deflectedxG 0.17win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    6:27

Penalties

VGK 2 PIM·STL 2 PIM

1st

  • 7:17VGKWilliam Carrier · Boardingdrawn by Alex Pietrangelo2 min

2nd

  • 13:14STLJay Bouwmeester · Slashingdrawn by Jonathan Marchessault2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalVGK goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Ryan O'Reilly, 2nd 18:14 — STL 53% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
I. Barbashev · Goal · xG 0.19Z. Sanford · Goal · xG 0.17B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.16R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.13D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.10Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.10T. Bozak · Missed · xG 0.09V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.08V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.07R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.07R. O'Reilly · Goal · xG 0.06V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.06B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Sanford · Missed · xG 0.05P. Maroon · Missed · xG 0.05A. Steen · On goal · xG 0.05D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.04P. Maroon · Missed · xG 0.03A. Steen · On goal · xG 0.03R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.03R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.03R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.03O. Sundqvist · Missed · xG 0.02R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.02T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.02J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.01O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.01C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.00
STL3 G · 1.9 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsSTL
2.91 G
All situations
3 G1.9
2.60 G
Even strength
3 G1.6
0.31 G
Power play
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK68%32%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.81 – 1.84

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsSTL
25
Shots on goal
22
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/1
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
2
21
Hits
19
8
Blocked shots
18
7
Giveaways
2
11
Takeaways
19

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
88N. SchmidtD000000.14010—23:55
26P. StastnyC000010.460007120:59
89A. TuchR000050.46100—20:17
6C. MillerD011-110.06210—19:19
15J. MerrillD000-100.08100—19:04
22N. HoldenD000-210.13320—18:53
5D. EngellandD000020.03120—18:40
61M. StoneR000030.53010—18:24
71W. KarlssonC101-120.280004218:18
3B. McNabbD000-210.06000—17:28
19R. SmithR000-110.04100—16:51
81J. MarchessaultR011-130.17000—16:49
75R. ReavesR000-110.03300—14:30
28W. CarrierL000-110.02302—13:45
21C. EakinC000-200.060004512:11
40R. CarpenterC000020.283002711:10
92T. NosekL000-110.06200—09:53
7V. ZykovL000-100.00110—08:47
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30M. Subban(L)22193.8641.85-1.1558:47

Season series

STL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).