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Blues at Golden Knights
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
▸4
Vegas Golden Knights
1
FinalTV ATTSN-RM, FS-MW·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Vegas Golden Knights 4-1. The Golden Knights scored first; the Blues answered. The Blues led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan O'Reilly's goal at 7:02 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 47% to 65%. Expected goals were close — STL 2.8, VGK 3.0; shots on goal were STL 35, VGK 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 32 of 33 (.970), 2.0 goals saved above expected; Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 31 of 35 (.886), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Ryan O'Reilly (2 G), 2. Jake Allen (32 saves, .970), 3. William Carrier (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    R. O'Reilly2 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    J. Allen32 saves, .970
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    W. Carrier1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL17316012435
VGKVGK110013010133

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    W. Carrier(3)
    P. Bellemare (3), S. Theodore (6)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    6:03
  2. STL
    R. O'Reilly(9)
    V. Tarasenko (9), J. Schwartz (6)
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    6:41

2nd period

  1. STL
    R. O'Reilly(10)
    J. Schwartz (7), V. Tarasenko (10)
    deflectedxG 0.06win prob +18 pts
    2-1
    7:02
  2. STL
    B. Schenn(4)
    J. Edmundson (4), T. Bozak (8)
    deflectedxG 0.04win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    16:13
  3. STL
    O. Sundqvist(4)
    V. Dunn (5)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +9 pts
    4-1
    17:12

Penalties

STL 8 PIM·VGK 10 PIM

1st

  • 8:24STLZachary Sanford · Trippingdrawn by Tomas Hyka2 min
  • 14:48VGKReilly Smith · Trippingdrawn by Vince Dunn2 min
  • 16:57STLDavid Perron · Trippingdrawn by Jon Merrill2 min

2nd

  • 3:27VGKRyan Reaves · Slashingdrawn by Jake Allen2 min
  • 3:27STLJoel Edmundson · Roughingdrawn by William Carrier2 min
  • 7:33STLJay Bouwmeester · Slashingdrawn by Ryan Reaves2 min

3rd

  • 0:56VGKWilliam Carrier · High stickingdrawn by Alex Pietrangelo2 min
  • 5:29VGKCody Eakin · Slashingdrawn by Tyler Bozak2 min
  • 12:00VGKTomas Nosek · Hookingdrawn by Robby Fabbri2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalSTL goalFinal: VGK 0%

Biggest swing: Ryan O'Reilly, 2nd 7:02 — STL 47% → 65%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.26W. Carrier · Goal · xG 0.16R. Carpenter · Missed · xG 0.14T. Hyka · On goal · xG 0.13S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.13N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.11A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.11J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.10A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.10P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.10M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.10A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.10C. Eakin · On goal · xG 0.09R. Reaves · Missed · xG 0.08A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.07J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.07T. Hyka · On goal · xG 0.07S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.07W. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.06T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.06T. Hyka · Missed · xG 0.06C. Miller · Missed · xG 0.06P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.06W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.06R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.05J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.04T. Hyka · Missed · xG 0.04M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.04J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.04J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.04R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.04W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.03C. Eakin · On goal · xG 0.03C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.02N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.02N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.02C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.02C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02J. Merrill · Missed · xG 0.02S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.01P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.01W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Merrill · Missed · xG 0.01C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.01J. Merrill · Missed · xG 0.01B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.01T. Hyka · Missed · xG 0.00
VGK1 G · 3.0 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsVGK
2.84 G
All situations
1 G3.0
2.14 G
Even strength
1 G1.9
0.70 G
Power play
0 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL48%52%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.80 – 2.94

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsVGK
35
Shots on goal
33
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/4
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
10
21
Hits
28
18
Blocked shots
11
6
Giveaways
8
16
Takeaways
16

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55C. ParaykoD000+310.07220—25:49
27A. PietrangeloD000060.32040—24:24
29V. DunnD011+330.17000—22:36
90R. O'ReillyC202+250.371006120:16
19J. BouwmeesterD000000.00032—19:34
21T. BozakC011+140.181104019:17
6J. EdmundsonD011+120.05212—18:55
91V. TarasenkoR022+240.64110—18:35
10B. SchennC101+130.300105017:45
17J. SchwartzL022+210.13000—16:25
57D. PerronL000000.00112—15:36
18R. ThomasC000010.071006314:32
15R. FabbriC000+100.002003313:16
12Z. SanfordL000020.22202—11:25
70O. SundqvistC101020.24120010:41
49I. BarbashevL000000.001105010:23
9S. BlaisL000010.06600—07:04
4C. GunnarssonD000-100.00010—05:27
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Allen(W)33321.9702.96+1.9660:00

Season series

STL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).