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Utah Mammoth at New York Islanders

FinalTV FS-A, MSG+·NYCB Live/Nassau Coliseum

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Utah Mammoth 2-0. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jordan Eberle's goal at 4:37 of the first period, which took the Islanders' chances from 54% to 66%. Expected goals were close — ARI 2.1, NYI 2.2; shots on goal were ARI 31, NYI 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Darcy Kuemper stopped 24 of 26 (.923); Robin Lehner stopped 31 of 31 (1.000), 2.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Robin Lehner (31 saves, 1.000), 2. Jordan Eberle (1 G), 3. Brock Nelson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    R. Lehner31 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    NYI
    J. Eberle1 G
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    B. Nelson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI09011011031
NYINYI11001214226

Scoring

2 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    N. Leddy (22), J. Boychuk (16)
    wristxG 0.24win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    4:37

3rd period

  1. NYI
    wrap-aroundxG 0.05win prob +8 pts
    0-2
    16:46

Penalties

ARI 2 PIM·NYI 2 PIM

3rd

  • 6:42NYIJohnny Boychuk · Slashingdrawn by Josh Archibald2 min
  • 8:47ARIJason Demers · Holdingdrawn by Brock Nelson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalARI goalFinal: NYI 100%

Biggest swing: Jordan Eberle, 1st 4:37 — NYI 54% → 66%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Eberle · Goal · xG 0.24M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.21T. Fritz · On goal · xG 0.19J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.16B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.11T. Fritz · On goal · xG 0.10B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.10A. Ladd · On goal · xG 0.09D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.09A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.08J. Boychuk · Missed · xG 0.08B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.07M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.07A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.06C. Cizikas · Missed · xG 0.06B. Nelson · Goal · xG 0.05S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.04D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.04D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.04D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.04D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ladd · On goal · xG 0.03D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.03J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.03L. Komarov · On goal · xG 0.03N. Leddy · Missed · xG 0.02M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.02D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.02C. Cizikas · Missed · xG 0.02R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.01N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.01C. Clutterbuck · On goal · xG 0.01R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.00L. Komarov · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI2 G · 2.2 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsNYI
2.10 G
All situations
2 G2.2
1.50 G
Even strength
2 G2.1
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.40 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI48%52%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.04 – 2.16

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsNYI
31
Shots on goal
26
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/1
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
2
28
Hits
27
14
Blocked shots
19
12
Giveaways
21
6
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23O. Ekman-LarssonD000-200.09600—24:30
33A. GoligoskiD000020.05120—22:30
82J. OesterleD000010.04210—21:01
55J. DemersD000000.00132—20:59
15B. RichardsonR000050.561007718:27
13V. HinostrozaC000050.2800010017:54
14R. PanikR000040.12310—17:47
18C. DvorakC000-110.350003816:16
21D. StepanC000-110.010003916:11
9C. KellerR000-120.11000—16:00
17A. GalchenyukC000010.030105015:42
4N. HjalmarssonD000-210.02110—15:38
46I. LyubushkinD000000.00410—15:29
36C. FischerR000010.03210—14:21
45J. ArchibaldR000-120.12010—13:03
40M. GrabnerL000-120.19100—12:52
67L. CrouseL000-130.10420—12:51
29M. KempeR000000.002004008:33
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35D. Kuemper(L)26242.9232.17+0.1757:56

Season series

NYI leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).