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New York Islanders at Utah Mammoth

FinalTV FS-A, MSG+ 2·Gila River Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Utah Mammoth 3-1. The Coyotes scored first; the Islanders answered. The Islanders led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anthony Beauvillier's goal at 8:29 of the second period, which took the Islanders' chances from 65% to 82%. Expected goals were close — NYI 3.3, ARI 3.2; shots on goal were NYI 32, ARI 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Robin Lehner stopped 36 of 37 (.973), 2.1 goals saved above expected; Darcy Kuemper stopped 29 of 32 (.906). Three stars: 1. Brock Nelson (1 G), 2. Anthony Beauvillier (1 G), 3. Mario Kempe (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    B. Nelson1 G
  2. ★★
    NYI
    A. Beauvillier1 G
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    M. Kempe1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI11421305332
ARIARI110011016137

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    wristxG 0.03win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    9:14
  2. NYI
    wristxG 0.05win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    17:04

2nd period

  1. NYI
    wristxG 0.09win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    3:38
  2. NYI
    slapxG 0.03win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    8:29

Penalties

NYI 11 PIM·ARI 9 PIM

1st

  • 14:22ARIOliver Ekman-Larsson · Hookingdrawn by Casey Cizikas2 min

2nd

  • 18:34NYICal Clutterbuck · Trippingdrawn by Richard Panik2 min

3rd

  • 2:15ARILawson Crouse · Fightingdrawn by Scott Mayfield5 min
  • 2:15NYIScott Mayfield · Fightingdrawn by Lawson Crouse5 min
  • 4:26NYIValtteri Filppula · High stickingdrawn by Kevin Connauton2 min
  • 11:22ARIChristian Fischer · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Pulock2 min
  • 16:51NYIMathew Barzal · Hookingdrawn by Kevin Connauton2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalNYI goalFinal: ARI 0%

Biggest swing: Anthony Beauvillier, 2nd 8:29 — NYI 65% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.26D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.21A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.16A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.16D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.13R. Panik · On goal · xG 0.13J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.13B. Richardson · Missed · xG 0.13A. Galchenyuk · Missed · xG 0.12C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.12C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.11J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.09C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.08A. Galchenyuk · Missed · xG 0.08C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.08N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.07C. Fischer · Missed · xG 0.06J. Archibald · Missed · xG 0.06J. Archibald · On goal · xG 0.05O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.05D. Stepan · Missed · xG 0.05R. Panik · On goal · xG 0.05J. Archibald · On goal · xG 0.05R. Panik · On goal · xG 0.05C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.05O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.05R. Panik · On goal · xG 0.04A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.04M. Kempe · Goal · xG 0.03N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.03C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.03O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.03N. Hjalmarsson · On goal · xG 0.03N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.03O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.02A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.02K. Connauton · On goal · xG 0.02O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.02O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.02A. Goligoski · Missed · xG 0.02D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hjalmarsson · On goal · xG 0.02O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.01K. Connauton · Missed · xG 0.01M. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.01J. Archibald · On goal · xG 0.01C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hjalmarsson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.00N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.00R. Panik · Missed · xG 0.00
ARI1 G · 3.2 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsARI
3.33 G
All situations
1 G3.2
2.93 G
Even strength
1 G2.6
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 102 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI53%47%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.28 – 3.09

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsARI
32
Shots on goal
37
37%
Faceoffs
63%
0/2
Power play
0/3
11
Penalty minutes
9
30
Hits
28
23
Blocked shots
15
11
Giveaways
13
4
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
24S. MayfieldD000+220.03145—20:58
55J. BoychukD000020.12350—20:23
6R. PulockD022+110.09310—20:22
3A. PelechD000010.32620—20:11
29B. NelsonC101+150.730003319:26
2N. LeddyD000+130.17010—19:00
13M. BarzalC000+130.240122017:56
47L. KomarovR000+110.11300—16:17
27A. LeeL000+130.3303010016:08
7J. EberleR011+130.22000—16:05
21L. SbisaD000000.02700—15:29
26J. Ho-SangR101+110.15010—15:06
53C. CizikasC000-120.281203514:51
51V. FilppulaC011+110.220124314:27
18A. BeauvillierR101+120.20100—12:31
12J. BaileyR011+110.050005712:01
15C. ClutterbuckR000-110.01212—12:00
17M. MartinL000-100.02310—10:49
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40R. Lehner(W)37361.9733.15+2.1560:00

Season series

NYI leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).