New York Islanders at Utah Mammoth
Recap
written from the game dataThe New York Islanders beat the Utah Mammoth 3-1. The Coyotes scored first; the Islanders answered. The Islanders led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anthony Beauvillier's goal at 8:29 of the second period, which took the Islanders' chances from 65% to 82%. Expected goals were close — NYI 3.3, ARI 3.2; shots on goal were NYI 32, ARI 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Robin Lehner stopped 36 of 37 (.973), 2.1 goals saved above expected; Darcy Kuemper stopped 29 of 32 (.906). Three stars: 1. Brock Nelson (1 G), 2. Anthony Beauvillier (1 G), 3. Mario Kempe (1 G).
Three stars
- ★B. Nelson1 G

- ★★A. Beauvillier1 G

- ★★★M. Kempe1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
4 goals1st period
0-19:14
1-117:04
2nd period
2-13:38
3-18:29
Penalties
1st
- 14:22
Oliver Ekman-Larsson · Hookingdrawn by Casey Cizikas2 min
2nd
- 18:34
Cal Clutterbuck · Trippingdrawn by Richard Panik2 min
3rd
- 2:15
Lawson Crouse · Fightingdrawn by Scott Mayfield5 min
- 2:15
Scott Mayfield · Fightingdrawn by Lawson Crouse5 min
- 4:26
Valtteri Filppula · High stickingdrawn by Kevin Connauton2 min
- 11:22
Christian Fischer · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Pulock2 min
- 16:51
Mathew Barzal · Hookingdrawn by Kevin Connauton2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Anthony Beauvillier, 2nd 8:29 — 65% → 82%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.33 G
- All situations
- 1 G3.2
- 2.93 G
- Even strength
- 1 G2.6
- 0.40 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.6
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 102 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.28 – 3.09
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 32
- Shots on goal
- 37
- 37%
- Faceoffs
- 63%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 0/3
- 11
- Penalty minutes
- 9
- 30
- Hits
- 28
- 23
- Blocked shots
- 15
- 11
- Giveaways
- 13
- 4
- Takeaways
- 11
Box score
every player line
Season series
NYI leads 2-0
3@
1this game
0@
2Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
