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Red Wings at Golden Knights
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
▸3
Vegas Golden Knights
2
Final/OTTV ATTSN-RM, FS-D·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Vegas Golden Knights 3-2 in overtime, Anthony Mantha scoring at 0:19. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anthony Mantha's goal at 0:19 of overtime, which took the Red Wings' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — DET 2.4, VGK 2.6; shots on goal were DET 30, VGK 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Jimmy Howard stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Malcolm Subban stopped 27 of 30 (.900), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Anthony Mantha (2 G), 2. Cody Eakin (1 G), 3. Reilly Smith (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    A. Mantha2 G
  2. ★★
    VGK
    C. Eakin1 G
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    R. Smith1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
DETDET1901011011330
VGKVGK0101811200230

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    L. Glendening(10)
    A. Athanasiou (19), T. Hirose (3)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    3:06

2nd period

  1. VGK
    C. Eakin(20)
    R. Reaves (11), N. Schmidt (21)
    wristxG 0.26win prob +19 pts
    1-1
    14:43

3rd period

  1. VGK
    R. Smith(18)SHG
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +33 pts
    1-2
    10:12
  2. DET
    A. Mantha(18)PPG
    A. Athanasiou (20), N. Kronwall (20)
    slapxG 0.14win prob +30 pts
    2-2
    11:17

Overtime

  1. DET
    A. Mantha(19)
    D. Larkin (36)
    snapxG 0.33win prob +51 pts
    3-2
    0:19

Penalties

DET 6 PIM·VGK 4 PIM

2nd

  • 12:33DETMadison Bowey · Interferencedrawn by William Carrier2 min
  • 15:43VGKNick Holden · Holdingdrawn by Anthony Mantha2 min
  • 16:09DETDylan Larkin · Roughingdrawn by Cody Eakin2 min

3rd

  • 6:45DETDylan Larkin · Trippingdrawn by William Karlsson2 min
  • 9:40VGKRyan Carpenter · Hookingdrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalDET goalFinal: VGK 0%

Biggest swing: Anthony Mantha, OT 0:19 — DET 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Eakin · Goal · xG 0.26R. Reaves · On goal · xG 0.17A. Tuch · Missed · xG 0.17W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.16R. Reaves · Missed · xG 0.14M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.14R. Smith · Goal · xG 0.13R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.09J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.09W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.09D. Engelland · On goal · xG 0.08R. Carpenter · On goal · xG 0.08V. Zykov · On goal · xG 0.07C. Eakin · Missed · xG 0.06W. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.06W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.06M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.06V. Zykov · Missed · xG 0.05R. Carpenter · On goal · xG 0.04A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.04R. Reaves · On goal · xG 0.04M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.04J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.04A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.04R. Reaves · On goal · xG 0.04V. Zykov · On goal · xG 0.03C. Eakin · On goal · xG 0.03D. Engelland · Missed · xG 0.03S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.03J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.02D. Engelland · Missed · xG 0.02W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.02J. Merrill · On goal · xG 0.02B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.02N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.02T. Nosek · Missed · xG 0.02J. Merrill · On goal · xG 0.02B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.01S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.01D. Engelland · On goal · xG 0.01J. Merrill · Missed · xG 0.00J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.00C. Eakin · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK2 G · 2.6 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsVGK
2.43 G
All situations
2 G2.6
2.12 G
Even strength
1 G1.8
0.31 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET47%53%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.38 – 2.55

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsVGK
30
Shots on goal
30
54%
Faceoffs
46%
1/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
23
Hits
38
15
Blocked shots
13
6
Giveaways
9
7
Takeaways
17

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
65D. DeKeyserD000+200.00030—24:53
74M. BoweyD000-130.18412—24:29
17F. HronekD000010.03110—23:07
55N. KronwallD011000.00320—21:38
71D. LarkinC011010.081047019:47
39A. ManthaR202+170.82000—19:21
59T. BertuzziL000-120.16000—19:18
51F. NielsenC000-110.142003116:52
41L. GlendeningC101040.174405015:52
53T. HiroseL011020.06000—14:57
72A. AthanasiouC022+110.100006714:51
26T. VanekL000020.24100—14:21
43D. HelmC000000.00000013:46
32B. LashoffD000-110.02120—13:00
28L. WitkowskiD000-100.00200—11:19
70C. EhnC000000.003004009:49
56R. KuffnerL000-120.10110—09:34
54M. PuempelL000030.30010—08:03
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35J. Howard(W)30282.9332.57+0.5760:19

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).