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Golden Knights at Red Wings
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Detroit Red Wings

NHL scoreboard
Vegas Golden Knights
▸4
Detroit Red Wings
3
FinalTV ATTSN-RM, FS-D·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Detroit Red Wings 4-3. The Red Wings scored first; the Golden Knights answered. The Golden Knights led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was William Karlsson's goal at 7:08 of the second period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 47% to 65%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 4.2 to 3.4; shots on goal were VGK 32, DET 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 36 of 39 (.923), 1.3 goals saved above expected; Jimmy Howard stopped 28 of 32 (.875), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. William Karlsson (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jonathan Marchessault (2 G), 3. Marc-Andre Fleury (36 saves, .923).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    W. Karlsson1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    VGK
    J. Marchessault2 G
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    M. Fleury36 saves, .923

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK07310115432
DETDET114011214339

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    G. Nyquist(13)
    J. Abdelkader (9), D. Larkin (28)
    backhandxG 0.67win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    11:19

2nd period

  1. VGK
    J. Marchessault(18)PPG
    W. Karlsson (18), C. Miller (20)
    snapxG 0.28win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    2:04
  2. VGK
    W. Karlsson(17)
    P. Stastny (15), N. Schmidt (15)
    wristxG 0.26win prob +18 pts
    2-1
    7:08
  3. VGK
    J. Marchessault(19)
    R. Smith (19), D. Engelland (6)
    backhandxG 0.22win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    10:22

3rd period

  1. DET
    M. Rasmussen(7)PPG
    F. Nielsen (21), M. Green (16)
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +15 pts
    3-2
    4:41
  2. VGK
    B. McNabb(2)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.02win prob +14 pts
    4-2
    11:07
  3. DET
    T. Vanek(11)
    M. Rasmussen (8), D. Larkin (29)
    wristxG 0.19
    4-3
    19:57

Penalties

VGK 8 PIM·DET 4 PIM

1st

  • 15:47VGKReilly Smith · Hookingdrawn by Jonathan Ericsson2 min

2nd

  • 0:14DETDylan Larkin · Slashingdrawn by Alex Tuch2 min
  • 5:00VGKPaul Stastny · High stickingdrawn by Andreas Athanasiou2 min
  • 14:07VGKNate Schmidt · Hookingdrawn by Justin Abdelkader2 min

3rd

  • 2:45VGKMax Pacioretty · Interferencedrawn by Justin Abdelkader2 min
  • 8:08DETFrans Nielsen · Hookingdrawn by Max Pacioretty2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalVGK goalFinal: DET 0%

Biggest swing: William Karlsson, 2nd 7:08 — VGK 47% → 65%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
G. Nyquist · Goal · xG 0.67T. Vanek · On goal · xG 0.19T. Vanek · Goal · xG 0.19T. Vanek · On goal · xG 0.18N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.17M. Rasmussen · Goal · xG 0.16A. Athanasiou · Missed · xG 0.14M. Rasmussen · Missed · xG 0.12J. Abdelkader · Missed · xG 0.12A. Athanasiou · Missed · xG 0.12M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.12M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.12M. Green · Missed · xG 0.11F. Nielsen · On goal · xG 0.11A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.10J. de la Rose · On goal · xG 0.10A. Athanasiou · Missed · xG 0.10F. Nielsen · Missed · xG 0.10T. Vanek · Missed · xG 0.09A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.09D. DeKeyser · On goal · xG 0.09G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.08A. Athanasiou · Missed · xG 0.07A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.07M. Green · On goal · xG 0.06F. Nielsen · On goal · xG 0.06F. Nielsen · On goal · xG 0.05G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.05J. Abdelkader · On goal · xG 0.05M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.05D. Helm · Missed · xG 0.05A. Athanasiou · Missed · xG 0.05T. Vanek · Missed · xG 0.04D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.04L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.04D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.03M. Green · Missed · xG 0.03J. Ericsson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Abdelkader · On goal · xG 0.02M. Green · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.02N. Kronwall · On goal · xG 0.02A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.02A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.02D. Cholowski · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.01D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.01N. Kronwall · On goal · xG 0.01A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.01T. Vanek · On goal · xG 0.00D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.00
DET3 G · 4.2 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsDET
3.44 G
All situations
3 G4.2
2.73 G
Even strength
2 G2.2
0.61 G
Power play
1 G2.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK36%64%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.29 – 4.21

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsDET
32
Shots on goal
39
46%
Faceoffs
54%
1/2
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
15
Hits
16
17
Blocked shots
8
14
Giveaways
13
4
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
88N. SchmidtD011+120.02112—22:32
3B. McNabbD101+110.04160—22:08
5D. EngellandD011020.04150—21:32
26P. StastnyC011020.261025618:07
15J. MerrillD000000.00010—17:53
27S. TheodoreD000+110.08120—17:43
6C. MillerD011-150.35310—17:03
67M. PaciorettyL000-130.24002—17:02
71W. KarlssonC112+230.470005716:10
89A. TuchR000010.41100—16:07
19R. SmithR011+230.29002—16:06
21C. EakinC000+100.001004714:56
24O. LindbergL000+130.17000—14:52
81J. MarchessaultR202+140.741005013:32
7V. ZykovL000+120.26200—13:23
92T. NosekL000-100.00000—12:40
41P. BellemareL000-200.000102712:26
75R. ReavesR000-100.0020010007:52
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Fleury(W)39363.9234.25+1.2560:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).