New York Rangers at Toronto Maple Leafs
Recap
written from the game dataThe New York Rangers beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 2-1 in overtime, Ryan Strome scoring at 1:48. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Strome's goal at 1:48 of overtime, which took the Rangers' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 5.7 to 3.4; shots on goal were NYR 28, TOR 45. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 79% of the time. Alexandar Georgiev stopped 44 of 45 (.978), 4.8 goals saved above expected; Frederik Andersen stopped 26 of 28 (.929), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Ryan Strome (1 G), 2. Alexandar Georgiev (44 saves, .978), 3. Zach Hyman (1 G).
Three stars
- ★R. Strome1 G

- ★★A. Georgiev44 saves, .978

- ★★★Z. Hyman1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
3 goals3rd period
1-00:19
1-18:33
Overtime
2-11:48
Penalties
1st
- 1:49
Kasperi Kapanen · Trippingdrawn by Lias Andersson2 min
- 3:09
served by F. Chytil · Too many men on the ice2 min
- 18:42
Brett Howden · Cross checkingdrawn by Trevor Moore2 min
2nd
- 7:28
Igor Ozhiganov · Trippingdrawn by Brendan Smith2 min
- 13:11
Connor Brown · Hookingdrawn by Lias Andersson2 min
3rd
- 11:15
Marc Staal · Cross checkingdrawn by John Tavares2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Ryan Strome, OT 1:48 — 49% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.42 G
- All situations
- 1 G5.7
- 2.82 G
- Even strength
- 1 G4.5
- 0.50 G
- Power play
- 0 G1.2
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 116 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.31 – 5.58
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 28
- Shots on goal
- 45
- 40%
- Faceoffs
- 60%
- 0/3
- Power play
- 0/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 28
- Hits
- 16
- 33
- Blocked shots
- 13
- 9
- Giveaways
- 18
- 8
- Takeaways
- 6
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
