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Rangers at Maple Leafs
NHL

New York Rangers at Toronto Maple Leafs

Final/OTTV NHLN, MSG·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 2-1 in overtime, Ryan Strome scoring at 1:48. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Strome's goal at 1:48 of overtime, which took the Rangers' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 5.7 to 3.4; shots on goal were NYR 28, TOR 45. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 79% of the time. Alexandar Georgiev stopped 44 of 45 (.978), 4.8 goals saved above expected; Frederik Andersen stopped 26 of 28 (.929), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Ryan Strome (1 G), 2. Alexandar Georgiev (44 saves, .978), 3. Zach Hyman (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    R. Strome1 G
  2. ★★
    NYR
    A. Georgiev44 saves, .978
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    Z. Hyman1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NYRNYR011071713228
TORTOR01301012002145

Scoring

3 goals

3rd period

  1. NYR
    snapxG 0.39win prob +24 pts
    1-0
    0:19
  2. TOR
    wristxG 0.28win prob +30 pts
    1-1
    8:33

Overtime

  1. NYR
    wristxG 0.18win prob +51 pts
    2-1
    1:48

Penalties

NYR 6 PIM·TOR 6 PIM

1st

  • 1:49TORKasperi Kapanen · Trippingdrawn by Lias Andersson2 min
  • 3:09NYRserved by F. Chytil · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 18:42NYRBrett Howden · Cross checkingdrawn by Trevor Moore2 min

2nd

  • 7:28TORIgor Ozhiganov · Trippingdrawn by Brendan Smith2 min
  • 13:11TORConnor Brown · Hookingdrawn by Lias Andersson2 min

3rd

  • 11:15NYRMarc Staal · Cross checkingdrawn by John Tavares2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalNYR goalFinal: TOR 0%

Biggest swing: Ryan Strome, OT 1:48 — NYR 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Z. Hyman · Goal · xG 0.28A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.26Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.24W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.20A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.19M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.18A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.16A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.16J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.16J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.15A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.14J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.14N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.14W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.13K. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.13W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.13A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.12K. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.11M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.11N. Zaitsev · On goal · xG 0.11A. Johnsson · On goal · xG 0.10A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.10K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.10Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.09A. Johnsson · Missed · xG 0.09J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.09K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.09P. Marleau · On goal · xG 0.08N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.08C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.08W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.08N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.08A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.08A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.07J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.06A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.06N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.06F. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.06N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.06M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.06M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.05N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.05P. Marleau · On goal · xG 0.05M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.05M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.05A. Johnsson · Missed · xG 0.05M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.04A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.04J. Muzzin · On goal · xG 0.04A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.04J. Muzzin · On goal · xG 0.03A. Johnsson · Missed · xG 0.03J. Muzzin · Missed · xG 0.03J. Muzzin · On goal · xG 0.03M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.03M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.03A. Johnsson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.03J. Muzzin · Missed · xG 0.03C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.02N. Zaitsev · Missed · xG 0.02M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.02R. Hainsey · Missed · xG 0.02R. Hainsey · Missed · xG 0.02R. Hainsey · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.01K. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.01I. Ozhiganov · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.00
TOR1 G · 5.7 xG · 71 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsTOR
3.42 G
All situations
1 G5.7
2.82 G
Even strength
1 G4.5
0.50 G
Power play
0 G1.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 116 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR21%79%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.31 – 5.58

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsTOR
28
Shots on goal
45
40%
Faceoffs
60%
0/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
28
Hits
16
33
Blocked shots
13
9
Giveaways
18
8
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
93M. ZibanejadC000040.724004522:18
76B. SkjeiD011020.10420—22:01
77T. DeAngeloD000+100.00240—20:19
22K. ShattenkirkD011030.08210—20:15
44N. PionkD000000.00340—18:10
16R. StromeC101+130.290004318:07
89P. BuchnevichL101050.77320—17:18
26J. VeseyL000010.02100—17:10
58J. GilmourD000010.02070—17:00
90V. NamestnikovC000010.02120016:06
18M. StaalD000010.01222—15:54
48B. LemieuxL000010.08210—15:29
21B. HowdenC000000.070322014:50
42B. SmithD000000.11210—13:51
72F. ChytilC000000.130004413:25
24B. NievesC011+120.351303313:19
95V. LettieriC000030.51000012:31
50L. AnderssonC000010.071104311:40
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Georgiev(W)45441.9785.75+4.7561:38

Season series

NYR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).