Skip to content
Rangers at Maple Leafs
NHL

New York Rangers at Toronto Maple Leafs

NHL scoreboard
New York Rangers
3
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸5
FinalTV NHLN-US, MSG·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the New York Rangers 5-3. The Maple Leafs scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Andreas Johnsson's goal at 1:37 of the third period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 52% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 4.9 to 2.1; shots on goal were NYR 28, TOR 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Alexandar Georgiev stopped 31 of 35 (.886), 0.9 goals below expected; Frederik Andersen stopped 25 of 28 (.893), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mitch Marner (2 G, 1 A), 2. Morgan Rielly (1 G, 1 A), 3. Neal Pionk (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    M. Marner2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    TOR
    M. Rielly1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    N. Pionk1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR01011028328
TORTOR115010411536

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    P. Marleau(10)
    M. Rielly (30)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    2:58

2nd period

  1. NYR
    N. Pionk(5)
    J. Vesey (10), B. Skjei (8)
    slapxG 0.01win prob +20 pts
    1-1
    15:00

3rd period

  1. TOR
    A. Johnsson(8)
    M. Marner (38), J. Tavares (16)
    wristxG 0.25win prob +24 pts
    1-2
    1:37
  2. TOR
    M. Rielly(12)
    A. Johnsson (7), F. Gauthier (5)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    5:26
  3. NYR
    K. Hayes(10)
    F. Chytil (7), N. Pionk (14)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +14 pts
    2-3
    6:34
  4. TOR
    M. Marner(11)
    J. Tavares (17), A. Johnsson (8)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    2-4
    12:53
  5. NYR
    C. Kreider(16)
    K. Hayes (19), M. Staal (6)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +8 pts
    3-4
    16:19
  6. TOR
    M. Marner(12)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.92win prob +5 pts
    3-5
    19:40

Penalties

NYR 4 PIM·TOR 4 PIM

2nd

  • 1:10TORPatrick Marleau · Holdingdrawn by Marc Staal2 min
  • 6:10NYRAdam McQuaid · Holdingdrawn by William Nylander2 min
  • 6:10NYRAdam McQuaid · Cross checkingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
  • 15:33TORJohn Tavares · Holdingdrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalNYR goalFinal: TOR 100%

Biggest swing: Andreas Johnsson, 3rd 1:37 — TOR 52% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Marner · Goal · xG 0.92P. Marleau · Missed · xG 0.90A. Johnsson · On goal · xG 0.28A. Johnsson · Goal · xG 0.25J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.19K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.17P. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.16P. Marleau · Missed · xG 0.16C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.12N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.12P. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.11N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.11M. Marner · Goal · xG 0.10N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.10A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.09C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.09A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.07J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.07A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.06P. Marleau · Goal · xG 0.06A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.06N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.06J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.05J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.05A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.05M. Rielly · Goal · xG 0.04M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.04A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.04J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.03N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.03N. Zaitsev · Missed · xG 0.03M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.03M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.03N. Zaitsev · On goal · xG 0.02T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.02M. Marincin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.02M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.02P. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.01M. Marincin · On goal · xG 0.01M. Marincin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zaitsev · On goal · xG 0.01T. Dermott · On goal · xG 0.01R. Hainsey · On goal · xG 0.01T. Dermott · On goal · xG 0.01T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.01P. Marleau · Missed · xG 0.01M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.01C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.00M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.00A. Johnsson · On goal · xG 0.00
TOR5 G · 4.9 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsTOR
2.13 G
All situations
4 G4.9
1.73 G
Even strength
4 G2.5
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 101 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR33%67%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.07 – 3.02

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsTOR
28
Shots on goal
36
37%
Faceoffs
63%
0/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
27
Hits
13
15
Blocked shots
12
9
Giveaways
14
6
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44N. PionkD112+240.07300—23:16
18M. StaalD011+120.06120—21:43
76B. SkjeiD011-230.05330—20:32
13K. HayesR112+140.180105418:38
42B. SmithD000-100.03320—18:37
90V. NamestnikovC000010.10000017:46
21B. HowdenC000000.351002717:42
89P. BuchnevichL000+100.09100—17:42
93M. ZibanejadC000-340.353104617:32
72F. ChytilC011-210.11000016:28
26J. VeseyL011010.01230—16:14
36M. ZuccarelloR000-200.01300—16:09
20C. KreiderL101040.29210—16:03
54A. McQuaidD000-310.01314—15:41
33F. ClaessonD000010.02200—13:15
16R. StromeC000-100.22000010:35
50L. AnderssonC000-110.12000010:27
24B. NievesC000-110.010102209:55
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Georgiev(L)35314.8863.08-0.9257:45

Season series

NYR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).