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Islanders at Canadiens
NHL

New York Islanders at Montréal Canadiens

FinalTV MSG+, TSN2·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the New York Islanders 4-0. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. The Canadiens led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Shea Weber's goal at 1:03 of the second period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 69% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 1.8 to 1.4; shots on goal were NYI 28, MTL 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Robin Lehner stopped 12 of 12 (1.000); Carey Price stopped 28 of 28 (1.000), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Joel Armia (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jordan Weal (1 G, 1 A), 3. Carey Price (28 saves, 1.000).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    J. Armia1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MTL
    J. Weal1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    C. Price28 saves, 1.000

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI01001008028
MTLMTL11331308434

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    J. Armia(11)PPG
    J. Weal (9), J. Drouin (34)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    19:53

2nd period

  1. MTL
    Unassisted
    slapxG 0.05win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    1:03
  2. MTL
    wristxG 0.22win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    6:00
  3. MTL
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +4 pts
    0-4
    8:19

Penalties

NYI 19 PIM·MTL 11 PIM

1st

  • 6:56MTLJeff Petry · Cross checkingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min
  • 8:35MTLShea Weber · Hookingdrawn by Nick Leddy2 min
  • 17:24NYIBrock Nelson · Interferencedrawn by Tomas Tatar2 min
  • 19:31NYILeo Komarov · Trippingdrawn by Brendan Gallagher2 min

3rd

  • 15:04MTLAndrew Shaw · Interferencedrawn by Scott Mayfield2 min
  • 17:31NYIThomas Hickey · Fightingdrawn by Brendan Gallagher5 min
  • 17:31MTLBrendan Gallagher · Fightingdrawn by Thomas Hickey5 min
  • 19:14NYIMatt Martin · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalNYI goalFinal: MTL 100%

Biggest swing: Shea Weber, 2nd 1:03 — MTL 69% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Drouin · Goal · xG 0.22J. Armia · Goal · xG 0.18N. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.13A. Shaw · Missed · xG 0.10J. Weal · On goal · xG 0.09N. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.08P. Byron · On goal · xG 0.07P. Byron · On goal · xG 0.06T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.05S. Weber · Goal · xG 0.05B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.05P. Byron · On goal · xG 0.05P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.05J. Weal · Missed · xG 0.05J. Weal · Goal · xG 0.04J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.04P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.03S. Weber · Missed · xG 0.03V. Mete · On goal · xG 0.03S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.03V. Mete · Missed · xG 0.03A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.02J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.02B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.02B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.02S. Weber · Missed · xG 0.02B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.02J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.02S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.02V. Mete · Missed · xG 0.02J. Petry · Missed · xG 0.02P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.01J. Weal · On goal · xG 0.01S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.01S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.01S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.01C. Folin · On goal · xG 0.01V. Mete · Missed · xG 0.00P. Byron · On goal · xG 0.00A. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.00J. Weal · On goal · xG 0.00J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.00B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.00C. Folin · Missed · xG 0.00
MTL4 G · 1.8 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsMTL
1.40 G
All situations
4 G1.8
1.20 G
Even strength
3 G1.3
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI43%57%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.45 – 1.76

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsMTL
28
Shots on goal
34
35%
Faceoffs
65%
0/3
Power play
1/2
19
Penalty minutes
11
38
Hits
36
19
Blocked shots
17
22
Giveaways
17
3
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6R. PulockD000-230.03210—24:26
2N. LeddyD000020.16040—20:10
3A. PelechD000-230.05430—19:52
24S. MayfieldD000030.04010—19:50
25D. ToewsD000-130.10000—18:37
29B. NelsonC000-130.261122918:14
27A. LeeL000020.1520010017:00
12J. BaileyR000-110.03110—16:43
7J. EberleR000030.24110—16:37
47L. KomarovR000-210.01412—15:29
16A. LaddL000-110.03200—15:06
53C. CizikasC000000.022205814:51
13M. BarzalC000-100.001201414:12
15C. ClutterbuckR000000.12300—14:02
4T. HickeyD000-110.01115—13:36
18A. BeauvillierR000-200.00300—13:24
17M. MartinL000010.068010—12:47
11T. FritzC000-110.153101712:42
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40R. Lehner121201.0000.49+0.4931:41
1T. Greiss(L)22184.8181.27-2.7328:19

Season series

MTL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).