Montréal Canadiens at New York Islanders
Recap
written from the game dataThe New York Islanders beat the Montréal Canadiens 2-1. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anders Lee's goal at 17:03 of the third period, which took the Islanders' chances from 52% to 92%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 3.0 to 1.9; shots on goal were MTL 34, NYI 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Carey Price stopped 36 of 38 (.947), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Thomas Greiss stopped 33 of 34 (.971), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Anders Lee (1 G), 2. Adam Pelech (1 G), 3. Thomas Greiss (33 saves, .971).
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
3 goalsPenalties
1st
- 8:23
Scott Mayfield · Interferencedrawn by Phillip Danault2 min
- 10:21
Andrew Shaw · Holdingdrawn by Casey Cizikas2 min
2nd
- 6:50
Brett Kulak · High stickingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min
3rd
- 6:27
Andrew Ladd · Trippingdrawn by Phillip Danault2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Anders Lee, 3rd 17:03 — 52% → 92%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.91 G
- All situations
- 2 G3.0
- 1.61 G
- Even strength
- 2 G2.4
- 0.20 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.6
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 101 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.86 – 3.03
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 34
- Shots on goal
- 38
- 50%
- Faceoffs
- 50%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 0/2
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 24
- Hits
- 31
- 16
- Blocked shots
- 10
- 13
- Giveaways
- 16
- 5
- Takeaways
- 10
Box score
every player line
Season series
MTL leads 2-1
4@
3SOFinal
1@
2this game
0@
4Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
