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Canadiens at Islanders
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at New York Islanders

FinalTV MSG+, TSN2·NYCB Live/Nassau Coliseum

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Montréal Canadiens 2-1. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anders Lee's goal at 17:03 of the third period, which took the Islanders' chances from 52% to 92%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 3.0 to 1.9; shots on goal were MTL 34, NYI 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Carey Price stopped 36 of 38 (.947), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Thomas Greiss stopped 33 of 34 (.971), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Anders Lee (1 G), 2. Adam Pelech (1 G), 3. Thomas Greiss (33 saves, .971).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    A. Lee1 G
  2. ★★
    NYI
    A. Pelech1 G
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    T. Greiss33 saves, .971

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL0911609134
NYINYI01511419238

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. NYI
    wristxG 0.06win prob +16 pts
    0-1
    1:20
  2. MTL
    P. Byron (15), C. Folin (5)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +22 pts
    1-1
    18:10

3rd period

  1. NYI
    A. Lee(25)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +40 pts
    1-2
    17:03

Penalties

MTL 4 PIM·NYI 4 PIM

1st

  • 8:23NYIScott Mayfield · Interferencedrawn by Phillip Danault2 min
  • 10:21MTLAndrew Shaw · Holdingdrawn by Casey Cizikas2 min

2nd

  • 6:50MTLBrett Kulak · High stickingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min

3rd

  • 6:27NYIAndrew Ladd · Trippingdrawn by Phillip Danault2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalMTL goalFinal: NYI 100%

Biggest swing: Anders Lee, 3rd 17:03 — NYI 52% → 92%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.18A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.17A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.17M. Martin · On goal · xG 0.16A. Lee · Goal · xG 0.15J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.14A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.13A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.11L. Komarov · Missed · xG 0.11A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.10A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.09V. Filppula · Missed · xG 0.09M. Martin · Missed · xG 0.08A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.08J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.08M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.07A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.07A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.07V. Filppula · On goal · xG 0.07C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.06C. Clutterbuck · On goal · xG 0.06D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.06L. Komarov · Missed · xG 0.06A. Pelech · Goal · xG 0.06A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.06N. Leddy · Missed · xG 0.05D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.05J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.04C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.04J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.04C. Clutterbuck · Missed · xG 0.03D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.03N. Leddy · Missed · xG 0.03C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.03S. Mayfield · Missed · xG 0.02B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.02D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.02A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.02D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.02C. Clutterbuck · On goal · xG 0.02B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.01V. Filppula · On goal · xG 0.01B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.01N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.00S. Mayfield · Missed · xG 0.00A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.00M. Martin · On goal · xG 0.00A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI2 G · 3.0 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsNYI
1.91 G
All situations
2 G3.0
1.61 G
Even strength
2 G2.4
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 101 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL29%71%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.86 – 3.03

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsNYI
34
Shots on goal
38
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
24
Hits
31
16
Blocked shots
10
13
Giveaways
16
5
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26J. PetryD000-210.06320—24:59
17B. KulakD000-250.13122—21:44
6S. WeberD000020.12230—20:58
24P. DanaultC000-110.010105518:21
53V. MeteD000020.04110—18:10
90T. TatarL000020.21120—17:03
8J. BennD101+130.09100—16:42
13M. DomiC000-120.120004416:24
11B. GallagherR000-150.36200—16:09
65A. ShawR000-110.145126716:02
43J. WealC000+100.000004514:52
62A. LehkonenL000030.0910010014:40
41P. ByronL011000.00000—14:10
32C. FolinD011+100.01210—13:49
40J. ArmiaR000000.03200—13:38
92J. DrouinL000-120.10100—13:35
21N. ThompsonC000+110.002203312:56
15J. KotkaniemiC000040.370106712:33
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31C. Price(L)38362.9473.04+1.0459:15

Season series

MTL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).