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Blue Jackets at Flames
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Columbus Blue Jackets
2
Calgary Flames
▸4
FinalTV ESPN+, FS-O·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 4-2. The Blue Jackets scored first; the Flames answered. The Flames led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Andrew Mangiapane's goal at 19:52 of the first period, which took the Flames' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 4.2 to 3.2; shots on goal were CBJ 33, CGY 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blue Jackets win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 27 of 30 (.900), 1.1 goals below expected; David Rittich stopped 31 of 33 (.939), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. David Rittich (31 saves, .939), 2. Michael Frolik (1 G, 1 A), 3. Josh Anderson (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    D. Rittich31 saves, .939
  2. ★★
    CGY
    M. Frolik1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CBJ
    J. Anderson1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CBJCBJ19012112233
CGYCGY21411116431

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. CBJ
    Z. Werenski(11)
    A. Panarin (51)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    10:25
  2. CGY
    J. Gaudreau(35)
    D. Ryan (21), A. Czarnik (7)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    12:44
  3. CGY
    A. Mangiapane(5)
    M. Jankowski (16), A. Czarnik (8)
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    19:52

2nd period

  1. CGY
    M. Frolik(15)
    T. Brodie (24), M. Giordano (54)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    0:35

3rd period

  1. CBJ
    O. Bjorkstrand(15)PPG
    J. Anderson (18), Z. Werenski (31)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +13 pts
    2-3
    5:28
  2. CGY
    M. Tkachuk(33)EN
    M. Backlund (26), M. Frolik (16)
    wristxG 0.93win prob +5 pts
    2-4
    19:09

Penalties

CBJ 7 PIM·CGY 11 PIM

1st

  • 7:27CBJPierre-Luc Dubois · Slashingdrawn by Derek Ryan2 min

2nd

  • 1:46CGYGarnet Hathaway · Fightingdrawn by Adam McQuaid5 min
  • 1:46CBJAdam McQuaid · Fightingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway5 min
  • 14:55CGYAndrew Mangiapane · Trippingdrawn by Zach Werenski2 min

3rd

  • 4:08CGYAndrew Mangiapane · Trippingdrawn by Josh Anderson2 min
  • 10:22CGYserved by M. Tkachuk · Delaying game bench2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalCBJ goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Andrew Mangiapane, 1st 19:52 — CGY 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.93J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.85J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.58M. Frolik · Goal · xG 0.13J. Gaudreau · Goal · xG 0.12M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.11N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.09A. Quine · On goal · xG 0.08D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.08M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.08T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.07M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.07M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.07A. Quine · On goal · xG 0.06A. Czarnik · On goal · xG 0.05J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.05A. Czarnik · On goal · xG 0.05M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.04M. Jankowski · Missed · xG 0.04J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.04N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.04M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.04M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.04A. Mangiapane · Goal · xG 0.04A. Czarnik · On goal · xG 0.04A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.04M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.04J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.04D. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.04N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.03A. Czarnik · Missed · xG 0.03R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.02A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.02M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.02A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.02J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.02T. Brodie · Missed · xG 0.01R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.01O. Fantenberg · On goal · xG 0.01
CGY4 G · 4.2 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsCGY
3.22 G
All situations
3 G4.2
2.51 G
Even strength
3 G1.8
0.81 G
Power play
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ74%26%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.21 – 1.83

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsCGY
33
Shots on goal
31
39%
Faceoffs
61%
1/3
Power play
0/1
7
Penalty minutes
11
24
Hits
14
10
Blocked shots
14
10
Giveaways
28
11
Takeaways
20

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3S. JonesD000-230.16440—27:46
8Z. WerenskiD112-220.08100—24:33
13C. AtkinsonR000-130.35000—23:28
9A. PanarinL011-140.52000—23:22
58D. SavardD000-150.19420—22:37
95M. DucheneC000-120.190005021:36
18P. DuboisC000-130.551023120:14
77J. AndersonR011050.374104019:45
19R. DzingelC000020.29000017:19
4S. HarringtonD000-100.00320—16:25
38B. JennerC000-100.081002013:26
14D. KukanD000000.13010—13:26
10A. WennbergC000-120.1800010012:08
20R. NashC000-100.00100009:35
54A. McQuaidD000010.02105—09:34
28O. BjorkstrandR101-110.05000—09:20
45L. SedlakC000-100.0830010008:28
17B. DubinskyC000-100.00100006:28
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(L)30273.9001.85-1.1558:30

Season series

CGY leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).