Calgary Flames at Columbus Blue Jackets
Recap
written from the game dataThe Calgary Flames beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 9-6. The Flames came back from three goals down. The Flames led 6-5 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Noah Hanifin's goal at 13:29 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 47% to 68%. Expected goals were close — CGY 2.5, CBJ 2.4; shots on goal were CGY 28, CBJ 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Mike Smith stopped 13 of 16 (.813), 1.9 goals below expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 18 of 26 (.692), 5.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Johnny Gaudreau (2 G, 2 A), 2. Cam Atkinson (3 G), 3. Sean Monahan (2 G, 2 A).
Three stars
- ★J. Gaudreau2 G, 2 A

- ★★C. Atkinson3 G

- ★★★S. Monahan2 G, 2 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
15 goals1st period
1-06:24
1-19:47
1-215:43
1-319:42
2nd period
1-40:49
2-41:55
3-42:46
4-412:39
5-413:29
6-414:32
6-515:00
3rd period
7-52:15
8-56:29
8-68:13
9-613:11
Penalties
1st
- 0:44
served by M. Tkachuk · Too many men on the ice2 min
- 13:45
Mark Giordano · Hookingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min
2nd
- 1:50
Brandon Dubinsky · Hookingdrawn by Mark Jankowski2 min
- 11:28
Zach Werenski · Trippingdrawn by Sam Bennett2 min
- 17:02
Ryan Murray · Holdingdrawn by Johnny Gaudreau2 min
- 19:42
TJ Brodie · Hookingdrawn by Boone Jenner2 min
3rd
- 1:25
Josh Anderson · Trippingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Noah Hanifin, 2nd 13:29 — 47% → 68%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.59 G
- All situations
- 6 G2.4
- 1.66 G
- Even strength
- 5 G2.2
- 0.83 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.2
- 0.10 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.49 – 2.37
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 28
- Shots on goal
- 30
- 56%
- Faceoffs
- 44%
- 3/4
- Power play
- 1/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 8
- 11
- Hits
- 10
- 10
- Blocked shots
- 9
- 5
- Giveaways
- 10
- 7
- Takeaways
- 7
Box score
every player line
Season series
CGY leads 2-0
9@
6this game
2@
4Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
