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Flames at Blue Jackets
NHL

Calgary Flames at Columbus Blue Jackets

FinalTV FS-O, SNW·Nationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 9-6. The Flames came back from three goals down. The Flames led 6-5 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Noah Hanifin's goal at 13:29 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 47% to 68%. Expected goals were close — CGY 2.5, CBJ 2.4; shots on goal were CGY 28, CBJ 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Mike Smith stopped 13 of 16 (.813), 1.9 goals below expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 18 of 26 (.692), 5.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Johnny Gaudreau (2 G, 2 A), 2. Cam Atkinson (3 G), 3. Sean Monahan (2 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    J. Gaudreau2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    CBJ
    C. Atkinson3 G
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    S. Monahan2 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY1851436928
CBJCBJ3142917630

Scoring

15 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    wristxG 0.14win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    6:24
  2. CBJ
    wristxG 0.17win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    9:47
  3. CBJ
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.09win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    15:43
  4. CBJ
    A. Panarin (21), S. Jones (10)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    19:42

2nd period

  1. CBJ
    A. Panarin (22), S. Jones (11)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +9 pts
    1-4
    0:49
  2. CGY
    S. Monahan(16)PPG
    wristxG 0.12win prob +7 pts
    2-4
    1:55
  3. CGY
    wristxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    3-4
    2:46
  4. CGY
    M. Tkachuk(13)PPG
    wristxG 0.48win prob +16 pts
    4-4
    12:39
  5. CGY
    wristxG 0.12win prob +21 pts
    5-4
    13:29
  6. CGY
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +17 pts
    6-4
    14:32
  7. CBJ
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +17 pts
    6-5
    15:00

3rd period

  1. CGY
    S. Monahan(17)PPG
    wristxG 0.15win prob +14 pts
    7-5
    2:15
  2. CGY
    wristxG 0.08win prob +6 pts
    8-5
    6:29
  3. CBJ
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +5 pts
    8-6
    8:13
  4. CGY
    wristxG 0.15win prob +3 pts
    9-6
    13:11

Penalties

CGY 6 PIM·CBJ 8 PIM

1st

  • 0:44CGYserved by M. Tkachuk · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 13:45CGYMark Giordano · Hookingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min

2nd

  • 1:50CBJBrandon Dubinsky · Hookingdrawn by Mark Jankowski2 min
  • 11:28CBJZach Werenski · Trippingdrawn by Sam Bennett2 min
  • 17:02CBJRyan Murray · Holdingdrawn by Johnny Gaudreau2 min
  • 19:42CGYTJ Brodie · Hookingdrawn by Boone Jenner2 min

3rd

  • 1:25CBJJosh Anderson · Trippingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CBJ goalCGY goalFinal: CBJ 0%

Biggest swing: Noah Hanifin, 2nd 13:29 — CGY 47% → 68%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Sedlak · On goal · xG 0.24Z. Werenski · Missed · xG 0.19L. Sedlak · On goal · xG 0.17Z. Werenski · Goal · xG 0.17B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.15A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.14S. Jones · Missed · xG 0.12N. Foligno · Goal · xG 0.11J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.11C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.10C. Atkinson · Goal · xG 0.09J. Anderson · Goal · xG 0.09O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.08R. Nash · Missed · xG 0.07A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.06A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.05P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.05C. Atkinson · Goal · xG 0.05R. Murray · On goal · xG 0.05A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.04B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.04C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.04O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.02B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.02C. Atkinson · Goal · xG 0.02N. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.01S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01D. Savard · Missed · xG 0.01J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.01M. Hannikainen · On goal · xG 0.01S. Harrington · On goal · xG 0.01R. Murray · On goal · xG 0.01S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01R. Murray · On goal · xG 0.01L. Sedlak · On goal · xG 0.00P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.00S. Harrington · On goal · xG 0.00
CBJ6 G · 2.4 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsCBJ
2.59 G
All situations
6 G2.4
1.66 G
Even strength
5 G2.2
0.83 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY52%48%CBJ

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.49 – 2.37

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsCBJ
28
Shots on goal
30
56%
Faceoffs
44%
3/4
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
11
Hits
10
10
Blocked shots
9
5
Giveaways
10
7
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5M. GiordanoD033000.05412—25:51
7T. BrodieD101+140.14002—22:20
24T. HamonicD022+220.02000—21:52
55N. HanifinD101+120.13010—21:24
11M. BacklundC011050.360004619:41
13J. GaudreauL224+340.39000—18:57
28E. LindholmC112+420.211106718:40
18J. NealL000030.0700010018:23
23S. MonahanC224+320.370007118:15
19M. TkachukL123+120.57100—18:13
88A. MangiapaneL000-100.00200—15:01
77M. JankowskiL011000.000104313:49
4R. AnderssonD000000.00010—12:54
6D. ProutD000-200.00110—11:56
10D. RyanC000-200.000106710:18
27A. CzarnikC101-120.20020010:01
93S. BennettC000-200.0001010009:57
21G. HathawayR000-200.00200—06:31
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41M. Smith(W)16133.8131.11-1.8940:00
33D. Rittich14113.7861.27-1.7320:00

Season series

CGY leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).