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Maple Leafs at Predators
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Toronto Maple Leafs
0
Nashville Predators
▸3
FinalTV ESPN+, FS-TN·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 3-0. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Wayne Simmonds's goal at 9:13 of the third period, which took the Predators' chances from 82% to 96%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 2.7 to 2.3; shots on goal were TOR 22, NSH 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Frederik Andersen stopped 17 of 19 (.895); Pekka Rinne stopped 22 of 22 (1.000), 2.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Pekka Rinne (22 saves, 1.000), 2. Wayne Simmonds (1 G), 3. Brian Boyle (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    P. Rinne22 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    NSH
    W. Simmonds1 G
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    B. Boyle1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TORTOR060808022
NSHNSH190229320

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    B. Boyle(18)
    C. Smith (15), R. Johansen (48)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    4:47

3rd period

  1. NSH
    W. Simmonds(17)
    R. Ellis (32), N. Bonino (16)
    slapxG 0.13win prob +13 pts
    0-2
    9:13
  2. NSH
    F. Forsberg(26)EN
    V. Arvidsson (12), R. Johansen (49)
    wristxG 0.97win prob +1 pts
    0-3
    17:51

Penalties

TOR 2 PIM·NSH 6 PIM

1st

  • 2:25TORPatrick Marleau · Hookingdrawn by Wayne Simmonds2 min
  • 8:30NSHMattias Ekholm · Holdingdrawn by William Nylander2 min
  • 11:20NSHCraig Smith · Trippingdrawn by Kasperi Kapanen2 min

2nd

  • 8:17NSHRoman Josi · Holdingdrawn by Zach Hyman2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalTOR goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Wayne Simmonds, 3rd 9:13 — NSH 82% → 96%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
F. Forsberg · Goal · xG 0.97N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.20R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.17C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.17B. Boyle · Missed · xG 0.16W. Simmonds · Goal · xG 0.12V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.11W. Simmonds · Missed · xG 0.10C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.09C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.08B. Boyle · Goal · xG 0.07F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.06V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.05R. Johansen · Missed · xG 0.05F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.04P. Subban · Missed · xG 0.04K. Turris · On goal · xG 0.03C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.03M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.03K. Turris · On goal · xG 0.03C. Sissons · Missed · xG 0.03P. Subban · Missed · xG 0.02R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.02V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.01C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.01R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH3 G · 2.7 xG · 29 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsNSH
2.30 G
All situations
2 G2.7
1.30 G
Even strength
2 G1.6
0.90 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 62 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR61%39%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.28 – 1.75

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsNSH
22
Shots on goal
20
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/3
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
6
11
Hits
18
11
Blocked shots
18
8
Giveaways
17
4
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44M. RiellyD000-200.00120—24:38
2R. HainseyD000-100.00010—23:41
8J. MuzzinD000-120.04100—22:00
91J. TavaresC000-120.481004519:29
16M. MarnerR000-260.50000—19:13
34A. MatthewsC000-130.362104018:19
29W. NylanderR000-100.060005717:34
22N. ZaitsevD000000.00120—16:58
43N. KadriC000-200.102006016:41
11Z. HymanL000-220.120106715:58
18A. JohnssonL000010.04110—15:20
12P. MarleauC000-110.080025014:54
24K. KapanenR000-130.34100—14:34
3J. HollD000000.00000—13:34
92I. OzhiganovD000-100.03000—13:07
19N. PetanC000010.07120012:09
28C. BrownR000000.00010—10:52
42T. MooreL000010.06000—10:15
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31F. Andersen(L)19172.8951.76-0.2458:44

Season series

NSH leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).