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Rangers at Flames
NHL

New York Rangers at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
New York Rangers
1
Calgary Flames
▸5
FinalTV ESPN+, MSG 2·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the New York Rangers 5-1. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matthew Tkachuk's goal at 2:56 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 2.3 to 1.9; shots on goal were NYR 25, CGY 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Alexandar Georgiev stopped 27 of 32 (.844), 2.6 goals below expected; David Rittich stopped 24 of 25 (.960), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Matthew Tkachuk (2 G, 3 A), 2. Michael Frolik (1 G, 1 A), 3. David Rittich (24 saves, .960).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    M. Tkachuk2 G, 3 A
  2. ★★
    CGY
    M. Frolik1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    D. Rittich24 saves, .960

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR1609010125
CGYCGY11325214532

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    J. Gaudreau(34)
    M. Tkachuk (39)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    10:00
  2. NYR
    N. Pionk(6)
    R. Strome (13)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +10 pts
    1-1
    11:10

2nd period

  1. CGY
    M. Tkachuk(31)
    M. Giordano (52), M. Frolik (15)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +16 pts
    1-2
    2:56
  2. CGY
    G. Hathaway(8)
    M. Tkachuk (40), D. Ryan (20)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    4:06

3rd period

  1. CGY
    M. Frolik(14)
    M. Tkachuk (41), N. Hanifin (25)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +5 pts
    1-4
    5:12
  2. CGY
    M. Tkachuk(32)
    M. Backlund (25)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +1 pts
    1-5
    9:49

Penalties

NYR 10 PIM·CGY 10 PIM

1st

  • 7:31CGYSam Bennett · Hookingdrawn by Brendan Smith2 min
  • 10:49NYRBrendan Smith · Slashingdrawn by Johnny Gaudreau2 min
  • 10:49CGYJohnny Gaudreau · Slashingdrawn by Brendan Smith2 min
  • 12:50NYRVladislav Namestnikov · Trippingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 15:31NYRVladislav Namestnikov · High stickingdrawn by Travis Hamonic2 min
  • 18:47NYRBrendan Lemieux · Roughingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
  • 18:47CGYGarnet Hathaway · Roughingdrawn by Brendan Lemieux2 min

2nd

  • 14:38NYRBrett Howden · Slashingdrawn by Rasmus Andersson2 min
  • 16:16CGYMikael Backlund · Trippingdrawn by Brendan Smith2 min

3rd

  • 6:42CGYMark Jankowski · Roughingdrawn by Brendan Smith2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalNYR goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Matthew Tkachuk, 2nd 2:56 — CGY 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.18M. Frolik · Goal · xG 0.15M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.15J. Gaudreau · Goal · xG 0.15D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.13S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.12D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.12E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.10S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.10M. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.09G. Hathaway · Goal · xG 0.09M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.08A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.08S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.07M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.07M. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.07D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.07J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.06M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.05M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.05M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.05J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.04M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.04M. Frolik · On goal · xG 0.03S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.03N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.03M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Czarnik · On goal · xG 0.02R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.01J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.01M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.01T. Brodie · Missed · xG 0.01M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.01M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.01M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.01M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.00D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY5 G · 2.3 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsCGY
1.91 G
All situations
5 G2.3
1.51 G
Even strength
5 G2.0
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 71 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR42%58%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.89 – 2.31

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsCGY
25
Shots on goal
32
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/3
Power play
0/3
10
Penalty minutes
10
15
Hits
15
14
Blocked shots
5
23
Giveaways
16
15
Takeaways
31

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
76B. SkjeiD000-200.00210—21:43
22K. ShattenkirkD000-100.00100—21:36
93M. ZibanejadC000-110.080105520:34
77T. DeAngeloD000-130.20200—19:22
42B. SmithD000-130.14102—18:19
16R. StromeC011+100.000005018:08
18M. StaalD000-100.00140—17:34
26J. VeseyL000-110.07000—17:05
90V. NamestnikovC000030.2001410016:49
21B. HowdenC000-130.251025016:14
44N. PionkD101-220.07120—15:43
89P. BuchnevichL000-110.01100—15:36
20C. KreiderL000-130.30000—15:11
72F. ChytilC000-140.45200014:44
17J. FastR000-300.07110—11:31
48B. LemieuxL000-100.00112—10:49
50L. AnderssonC000-300.001106010:31
23C. BrickleyL000-110.08020—08:31
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Georgiev(L)32275.8442.35-2.6560:00

Season series

CGY leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).