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Flames at Rangers
NHL

Calgary Flames at New York Rangers

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
▸4
New York Rangers
1
FinalTV MSG, SN·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the New York Rangers 4-1. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Garnet Hathaway's goal at 12:21 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 67% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 4.5 to 1.9; shots on goal were CGY 26, NYR 45. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 85% of the time. David Rittich stopped 44 of 45 (.978), 3.5 goals saved above expected; Henrik Lundqvist stopped 22 of 26 (.846), 2.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. David Rittich (44 saves, .978), 2. Johnny Gaudreau (2 G), 3. Garnet Hathaway (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    D. Rittich44 saves, .978
  2. ★★
    CGY
    J. Gaudreau2 G
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    G. Hathaway2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY11121015426
NYRNYR012013120145

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    J. Gaudreau(4)
    S. Monahan (4)
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +15 pts
    1-0
    17:00

2nd period

  1. CGY
    G. Hathaway(1)
    M. Jankowski (2)
    tip-inxG 0.18win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    12:21
  2. CGY
    J. Gaudreau(5)
    M. Giordano (6)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +10 pts
    3-0
    14:55

3rd period

  1. NYR
    M. Zibanejad(3)PPG
    N. Pionk (4), M. Zuccarello (6)
    snapxG 0.08win prob +4 pts
    3-1
    6:41
  2. CGY
    G. Hathaway(2)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.14win prob +1 pts
    4-1
    18:07

Penalties

CGY 6 PIM·NYR 6 PIM

1st

  • 18:16CGYGarnet Hathaway · Holdingdrawn by Neal Pionk2 min
  • 19:12NYRChris Kreider · Holdingdrawn by Michael Frolik2 min
  • 19:12CGYserved by M. Tkachuk · Too many men on the icedrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min

2nd

  • 15:23NYRBrett Howden · Trippingdrawn by Dillon Dube2 min

3rd

  • 5:58CGYSam Bennett · Boardingdrawn by Brett Howden2 min
  • 18:07NYRMats Zuccarello · Slashingdrawn by Rasmus Andersson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalCGY goalFinal: NYR 0%

Biggest swing: Garnet Hathaway, 2nd 12:21 — CGY 67% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.29F. Chytil · Missed · xG 0.24F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.22J. Fast · Missed · xG 0.22N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.18C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.16V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.16V. Lettieri · On goal · xG 0.16J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.14N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.14C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.13C. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.13M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.12C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.12B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.12V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.12J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.11F. Chytil · Missed · xG 0.11C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.10K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.10F. Chytil · Missed · xG 0.09P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.08K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.08B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.08M. Zibanejad · Goal · xG 0.08P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.07K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.07M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.07V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.07K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.07M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.07M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.06J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.05V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.05J. Vesey · Missed · xG 0.05N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.05B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.04F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.04M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.04C. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.03F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.03K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.02C. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.02V. Lettieri · On goal · xG 0.02P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.02J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.01F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.01M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.01B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.01C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.01N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.01N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.01K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.00N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.00N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR1 G · 4.5 xG · 57 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsNYR
1.94 G
All situations
1 G4.5
1.74 G
Even strength
0 G4.3
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY15%85%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.92 – 4.39

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsNYR
26
Shots on goal
45
61%
Faceoffs
39%
0/2
Power play
1/2
6
Penalty minutes
6
23
Hits
31
20
Blocked shots
16
6
Giveaways
15
8
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5M. GiordanoD011+310.05220—22:35
7T. BrodieD000010.02040—21:37
55N. HanifinD000000.00320—20:07
4R. AnderssonD000+330.03100—19:32
11M. BacklundC000010.051005519:08
28E. LindholmC000+230.120005018:10
13J. GaudreauL202+240.35100—17:55
26M. StoneD000+120.03530—17:54
23S. MonahanC011+210.190007317:24
8J. VälimäkiD000+100.00050—17:00
67M. FrolikR000010.10100—16:35
19M. TkachukL000020.09300—16:28
18J. NealL000010.14000—14:05
10D. RyanC000010.010107113:36
21G. HathawayR202+220.33312—13:02
77M. JankowskiL011+200.000205710:56
29D. DubeC000+220.21100010:44
93S. BennettC000010.2220210010:29
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33D. Rittich(W)45441.9784.52+3.5260:00

Season series

CGY leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).