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Red Wings at Lightning
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
2
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸3
FinalTV FS-D, SUN·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Detroit Red Wings 3-2. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nikita Kucherov's goal at 11:56 of the first period, which took the Lightning's chances from 67% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 2.6 to 1.4; shots on goal were DET 24, TBL 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Jonathan Bernier stopped 30 of 33 (.909); Louis Domingue stopped 22 of 24 (.917), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nikita Kucherov (2 G), 2. Victor Hedman (1 A), 3. Ryan McDonagh (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    N. Kucherov2 G
  2. ★★
    TBL
    V. Hedman1 A
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    R. McDonagh1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET071918224
TBLTBL27014112333

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    R. McDonagh(8)
    E. Cernak (9), A. Cirelli (16)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    3:06
  2. TBL
    N. Kucherov(32)
    B. Point (45), V. Hedman (34)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    11:56

2nd period

  1. DET
    T. Vanek(13)PPG
    N. Kronwall (16), F. Zadina (1)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    19:56

3rd period

  1. TBL
    N. Kucherov(33)
    M. Sergachev (19), T. Johnson (18)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +11 pts
    1-3
    13:53
  2. DET
    A. Mantha(17)
    N. Kronwall (17), F. Hronek (13)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +4 pts
    2-3
    19:04

Penalties

DET 8 PIM·TBL 12 PIM

1st

  • 3:28DETDarren Helm · Trippingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min
  • 4:10TBLSteven Stamkos · Hookingdrawn by Justin Abdelkader2 min
  • 19:32TBLAlex Killorn · Holdingdrawn by Filip Hronek2 min
  • 19:52TBLSteven Stamkos · Roughingdrawn by Justin Abdelkader2 min
  • 19:52DETJustin Abdelkader · Roughingdrawn by Steven Stamkos2 min

2nd

  • 4:33DETDanny DeKeyser · Holdingdrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min
  • 9:51TBLVictor Hedman · Trippingdrawn by Andreas Athanasiou2 min
  • 12:07TBLMathieu Joseph · High stickingdrawn by Filip Zadina2 min
  • 17:58TBLVictor Hedman · Trippingdrawn by Darren Helm2 min

3rd

  • 4:09DETJustin Abdelkader · Slashingdrawn by Victor Hedman2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalDET goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Nikita Kucherov, 1st 11:56 — TBL 67% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Callahan · On goal · xG 0.20N. Kucherov · Goal · xG 0.15Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.15A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.12Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.12N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.12C. Paquette · On goal · xG 0.12E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.11A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.11N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.10L. Domingue · Missed · xG 0.09N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.09J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.09N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.09S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.08T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.07R. Callahan · On goal · xG 0.06C. Paquette · On goal · xG 0.06R. Callahan · Missed · xG 0.06O. Palat · Missed · xG 0.05N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.05N. Kucherov · Goal · xG 0.04J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.04R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.04O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.04M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.03E. Cernak · Missed · xG 0.03Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.03J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02B. Point · On goal · xG 0.02E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.02R. McDonagh · Missed · xG 0.02N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.02M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.02S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.02B. Coburn · On goal · xG 0.02J. Rutta · On goal · xG 0.02V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.01J. Rutta · On goal · xG 0.01R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.01R. McDonagh · Goal · xG 0.01V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.01V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.01V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.01E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.01V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.01B. Coburn · On goal · xG 0.01
TBL3 G · 2.6 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsTBL
1.42 G
All situations
3 G2.6
0.61 G
Even strength
3 G1.8
0.61 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET28%72%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.37 – 2.51

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsTBL
24
Shots on goal
33
41%
Faceoffs
59%
1/5
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
12
29
Hits
21
12
Blocked shots
10
5
Giveaways
4
4
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
17F. HronekD011010.01020—25:08
65D. DeKeyserD000-100.02402—21:02
55N. KronwallD022000.00100—20:51
51F. NielsenC000-140.221003620:32
59T. BertuzziL000-120.11110—17:18
26T. VanekL101030.17000—17:15
39A. ManthaR101-160.2230010016:45
83T. DaleyD000-200.00010—16:31
11F. ZadinaR011-120.171005016:26
72A. AthanasiouC000-110.061103716:16
41L. GlendeningC000010.061004816:03
52J. EricssonD000-110.01210—14:30
8J. AbdelkaderL000000.0080410014:03
43D. HelmC000000.01102013:51
27M. RasmussenC000010.18120013:14
28L. WitkowskiD000000.00340—12:31
70C. EhnC000010.071005012:25
61J. de la RoseL000010.060001711:44
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
45J. Bernier(L)33303.9092.55-0.4557:35

Season series

TBL leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).