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Blues at Ducks
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Anaheim Ducks

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
▸5
Anaheim Ducks
4
FinalTV NBCSN·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Anaheim Ducks 5-4. The lead changed hands 3 times. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Pietrangelo's goal at 19:08 of the third period, which took the Blues' chances from 49% to 95%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 4.0 to 2.4; shots on goal were STL 33, ANA 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 23 of 27 (.852), 1.6 goals below expected; John Gibson stopped 28 of 33 (.848), 1.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Alex Pietrangelo (1 G, 1 A), 2. Troy Terry (3 A), 3. Ryan O'Reilly (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    A. Pietrangelo1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    ANA
    T. Terry3 A
  3. ★★★
    STL
    R. O'Reilly1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL213110210533
ANAANA1621318427

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    N. Ritchie(9)
    T. Terry (2), K. Holzer (2)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    5:28
  2. STL
    B. Schenn(12)PPG
    V. Tarasenko (28), R. O'Reilly (40)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +9 pts
    1-1
    8:03
  3. STL
    R. O'Reilly(25)PPG
    T. Bozak (18), A. Pietrangelo (20)
    snapxG 0.08win prob +11 pts
    2-1
    15:55

2nd period

  1. STL
    R. Thomas(6)PPG
    C. Parayko (10), P. Maroon (14)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +16 pts
    3-1
    13:53
  2. ANA
    R. Rakell(10)PPG
    T. Terry (3), C. Fowler (11)
    slapxG 0.15win prob +13 pts
    3-2
    15:39
  3. ANA
    J. Megna(1)
    S. Steel (3), J. Silfverberg (11)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +22 pts
    3-3
    17:51

3rd period

  1. ANA
    A. Henrique(14)
    J. Megna (2), T. Terry (4)
    backhandxG 0.23win prob +27 pts
    3-4
    5:07
  2. STL
    R. Thomas(7)
    C. Parayko (11), V. Tarasenko (29)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +39 pts
    4-4
    18:56
  3. STL
    A. Pietrangelo(12)
    B. Schenn (29)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +46 pts
    5-4
    19:08

Penalties

STL 8 PIM·ANA 10 PIM

1st

  • 7:50ANAJaycob Megna · Interferencedrawn by Robert Thomas2 min
  • 14:52ANAHampus Lindholm · Holdingdrawn by Vladimir Tarasenko2 min
  • 16:29STLOskar Sundqvist · Trippingdrawn by Sam Steel2 min
  • 18:52STLBrayden Schenn · Trippingdrawn by Hampus Lindholm2 min

2nd

  • 11:57ANAHampus Lindholm · Hookingdrawn by Alexander Steen2 min
  • 14:43STLJoel Edmundson · Roughingdrawn by Corey Perry2 min
  • 18:24ANARyan Kesler · Cross checkingdrawn by Ryan O'Reilly2 min

3rd

  • 12:02STLJoel Edmundson · Trippingdrawn by Carter Rowney2 min
  • 16:42ANASam Steel · Trippingdrawn by Ryan O'Reilly2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalSTL goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: Alex Pietrangelo, 3rd 19:08 — STL 49% → 95%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Henrique · Goal · xG 0.23J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.18C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.16R. Rakell · Goal · xG 0.15R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.15R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.11A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.10R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.10R. Getzlaf · Missed · xG 0.10N. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.09J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.08N. Ritchie · Goal · xG 0.08C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.08S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.07R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.07J. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.06C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.06R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.06C. Fowler · Missed · xG 0.05R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.05R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.04T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.04C. Rowney · Missed · xG 0.04R. Kesler · Missed · xG 0.03C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.03J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.03N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.02J. Megna · Goal · xG 0.02N. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.02K. Holzer · Missed · xG 0.02C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.02J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.02J. Megna · On goal · xG 0.02A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.01J. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.01C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.01R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.01C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.00R. Getzlaf · Missed · xG 0.00J. Megna · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA4 G · 2.4 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsANA
4.05 G
All situations
4 G2.4
1.92 G
Even strength
3 G1.5
1.53 G
Power play
1 G1.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL66%34%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.38 – 2.43

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsANA
33
Shots on goal
27
43%
Faceoffs
57%
3/5
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
10
33
Hits
31
17
Blocked shots
11
18
Giveaways
13
10
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27A. PietrangeloD112050.27220—24:41
90R. O'ReillyC112+140.291005924:37
55C. ParaykoD022+110.06530—24:21
91V. TarasenkoR022+230.45010—19:51
10B. SchennC112+130.41002019:32
6J. EdmundsonD000010.53324—18:55
21T. BozakC011-110.360103018:13
20A. SteenL000-200.07210—17:31
19J. BouwmeesterD000-120.13320—17:30
17J. SchwartzL000-100.09100—16:18
29V. DunnD000-110.11200—16:17
7P. MaroonL011040.28000—14:27
18R. ThomasC202030.55010014:06
70O. SundqvistC000-210.152122714:05
42M. Del ZottoD000-120.07300—13:50
49I. BarbashevL000000.00420—07:02
9S. BlaisL000010.0821010006:20
62M. MacEachernL000010.06300—06:11
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(W)27234.8522.45-1.5559:17

Season series

STL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).