Anaheim Ducks at St. Louis Blues
Recap
written from the game dataThe Anaheim Ducks beat the St. Louis Blues 3-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Blues led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Andrew Cogliano's goal at 14:44 of the third period, which took the Ducks' chances from 51% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 2.8 to 2.0; shots on goal were ANA 31, STL 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Ryan Miller stopped 29 of 31 (.935), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Chad Johnson stopped 28 of 31 (.903), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Andrew Cogliano (1 G), 2. Alexander Steen (1 G), 3. Vladimir Tarasenko (1 A).
Three stars
- ★A. Cogliano1 G

- ★★A. Steen1 G

- ★★★V. Tarasenko1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
1-018:21
2nd period
1-111:49
1-215:52
3rd period
2-27:16
3-214:44
Penalties
1st
- 11:30
Sam Steel · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
2nd
- 8:32
Marcus Pettersson · High stickingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min
- 13:11
Joel Edmundson · Interferencedrawn by Rickard Rakell2 min
- 14:35
Ryan Kesler · Slashingdrawn by Alex Pietrangelo2 min
3rd
- 12:45
Joel Edmundson · Trippingdrawn by Brian Gibbons2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Andrew Cogliano, 3rd 14:44 — 51% → 87%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.03 G
- All situations
- 2 G2.8
- 1.62 G
- Even strength
- 1 G2.1
- 0.31 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.7
- 0.10 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.01 – 2.77
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 31
- Shots on goal
- 31
- 35%
- Faceoffs
- 65%
- 1/2
- Power play
- 1/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 18
- Hits
- 22
- 18
- Blocked shots
- 12
- 1
- Giveaways
- 4
- 7
- Takeaways
- 10
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
