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Panthers at Penguins
NHL

Florida Panthers at Pittsburgh Penguins

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Florida Panthers
2
Pittsburgh Penguins
▸3
Final/OTTV ESPN+, ATTSN-PT·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Florida Panthers 3-2 in overtime, Jake Guentzel scoring at 2:44. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jake Guentzel's goal at 2:44 of overtime, which took the Penguins' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 2.9 to 1.7; shots on goal were FLA 34, PIT 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Roberto Luongo stopped 34 of 37 (.919); Matt Murray stopped 32 of 34 (.941). Three stars: 1. Jake Guentzel (2 G), 2. Sidney Crosby (1 G, 2 A), 3. Vincent Trocheck (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    J. Guentzel2 G
  2. ★★
    PIT
    S. Crosby1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    V. Trocheck1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
FLAFLA1911301101234
PITPIT01021201312337

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    H. Borgstrom(8)PPG
    M. Hoffman (28), A. Ekblad (17)
    snapxG 0.03win prob +9 pts
    1-0
    1:45

2nd period

  1. PIT
    J. Guentzel(32)
    J. McCann (12), S. Crosby (55)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    0:16
  2. PIT
    S. Crosby(30)PPG
    P. Kessel (45), P. Hornqvist (14)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    10:01
  3. FLA
    V. Trocheck(7)
    M. Hoffman (29), F. Vatrano (14)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +22 pts
    2-2
    17:31

Overtime

  1. PIT
    J. Guentzel(33)
    S. Crosby (56)
    backhandxG 0.15win prob +49 pts
    2-3
    2:44

Penalties

FLA 4 PIM·PIT 6 PIM

1st

  • 0:37PITEvgeni Malkin · Trippingdrawn by Aaron Ekblad2 min

2nd

  • 3:31PITErik Gudbranson · Illegal check to headdrawn by Dryden Hunt2 min
  • 9:22FLAJamie McGinn · Interferencedrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min

3rd

  • 10:43PITEvgeni Malkin · Trippingdrawn by Mike Hoffman2 min
  • 14:25FLAKeith Yandle · Holdingdrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalFLA goalFinal: PIT 100%

Biggest swing: Jake Guentzel, OT 2:44 — PIT 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.24S. Crosby · Goal · xG 0.19J. Guentzel · Goal · xG 0.15J. Guentzel · Goal · xG 0.14P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.13D. Simon · On goal · xG 0.13P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.11J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.11E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.10S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.10D. Simon · On goal · xG 0.10P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.09J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.09S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.09N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.09J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.07P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.07P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.07D. Simon · Missed · xG 0.07E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.07N. Bjugstad · Missed · xG 0.06D. Simon · On goal · xG 0.06E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.05J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.04S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.04J. Schultz · Missed · xG 0.04N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.04D. Simon · On goal · xG 0.04D. Simon · Missed · xG 0.04Z. Trotman · Missed · xG 0.03J. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.02D. Simon · On goal · xG 0.02B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.02E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.02P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.02J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Trotman · Missed · xG 0.02E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Simon · Missed · xG 0.01E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Aston-Reese · Missed · xG 0.01J. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Schultz · Missed · xG 0.01E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Simon · On goal · xG 0.00Z. Trotman · On goal · xG 0.00Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.00G. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT3 G · 2.9 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsPIT
1.72 G
All situations
3 G2.9
1.41 G
Even strength
2 G2.6
0.41 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA30%70%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.74 – 2.83

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsPIT
34
Shots on goal
37
48%
Faceoffs
52%
1/3
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
27
Hits
28
19
Blocked shots
13
10
Giveaways
11
8
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
19M. MathesonD000-210.04020—29:24
5A. EkbladD011-130.12060—28:03
16A. BarkovC000-150.141004122:24
21V. TrocheckC101+140.155205220:41
11J. HuberdeauL000-120.15010—19:45
68M. HoffmanC022+130.23200019:41
52M. WeegarD000+130.07420—18:39
63E. DadonovL000-200.12100—18:23
3K. YandleD000010.04002—17:15
72F. VatranoR011+130.32330—16:40
13M. PysykD000+120.03010—16:40
15R. SheahanC000010.151006015:28
22T. BrouwerR000020.1060010014:15
88J. McGinnL000020.06002—13:58
95H. BorgstromC101-110.03010010:53
2J. BrownD000010.02010—08:28
8J. HawrylukR000000.0020010007:37
73D. HuntL000000.00200—07:29
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1R. Luongo(O)37343.9192.88-0.1262:34

Season series

PIT leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).