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Panthers at Penguins
NHL

Florida Panthers at Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
1
Pittsburgh Penguins
▸5
FinalTV ATTSN-PT, FS-F·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Florida Panthers 5-1. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Bryan Rust's goal at 3:03 of the first period, which took the Penguins' chances from 66% to 79%. Expected goals were close — FLA 2.7, PIT 2.8; shots on goal were FLA 37, PIT 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. James Reimer stopped 14 of 15 (.933); Matt Murray stopped 36 of 37 (.973), 1.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Matt Murray (36 saves, .973), 2. Bryan Rust (2 G), 3. Sidney Crosby (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    M. Murray36 saves, .973
  2. ★★
    PIT
    B. Rust2 G
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    S. Crosby1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA01611407137
PITPIT210211110531

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    T. Pearson(6)
    M. Pettersson (11), P. Hornqvist (11)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    1:29
  2. PIT
    B. Rust(10)
    J. Guentzel (21), S. Crosby (33)
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +13 pts
    0-2
    3:03

2nd period

  1. PIT
    B. Rust(11)SHG
    M. Cullen (7), B. Dumoulin (11)
    wristxG 0.25win prob +10 pts
    0-3
    3:04
  2. PIT
    R. Sheahan(6)SHG
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.06win prob +5 pts
    0-4
    8:56
  3. FLA
    A. Barkov(17)
    A. Ekblad (9), E. Dadonov (19)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +1 pts
    1-4
    19:16

3rd period

  1. PIT
    S. Crosby(20)
    E. Malkin (32), M. Pettersson (12)
    tip-inxG 0.10
    1-5
    13:41

Penalties

FLA 20 PIM·PIT 20 PIM

1st

  • 7:10FLADenis Malgin · High stickingdrawn by Matt Cullen2 min
  • 18:57FLAJared McCann · Trippingdrawn by Dominik Simon2 min

2nd

  • 2:26PITDominik Simon · Hookingdrawn by Denis Malgin2 min
  • 5:18FLAJonathan Huberdeau · Trippingdrawn by Tanner Pearson2 min
  • 8:09PITJack Johnson · Interferencedrawn by Frank Vatrano2 min
  • 11:02PITSidney Crosby · Roughingdrawn by Bogdan Kiselevich2 min
  • 11:02FLABogdan Kiselevich · Roughingdrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min
  • 17:02FLAMacKenzie Weegar · Fightingdrawn by Marcus Pettersson5 min
  • 17:02PITMarcus Pettersson · Fightingdrawn by MacKenzie Weegar5 min

3rd

  • 3:28PITZachary Aston-Reese · Interferencedrawn by Frank Vatrano2 min
  • 5:49PITZachary Aston-Reese · Fightingdrawn by Colton Sceviour5 min
  • 5:49FLAColton Sceviour · Fightingdrawn by Zachary Aston-Reese5 min
  • 12:24FLAJayce Hawryluk · Roughingdrawn by Jack Johnson2 min
  • 13:13PITKris Letang · Holdingdrawn by Aaron Ekblad2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalFLA goalFinal: PIT 100%

Biggest swing: Bryan Rust, 1st 3:03 — PIT 66% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.26B. Rust · Goal · xG 0.25S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.16E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.15J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.14B. Rust · Goal · xG 0.13S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.12P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.11D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.11S. Crosby · Goal · xG 0.10Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.10P. Kessel · Missed · xG 0.09S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.09P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.09P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.07E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.07Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.07S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.07J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.07R. Sheahan · Goal · xG 0.06J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.06J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.06S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.06B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.05E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.05J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.04T. Pearson · Goal · xG 0.04B. Dumoulin · Missed · xG 0.02K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.02S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.02B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.02E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.02O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.02B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.02E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Riikola · On goal · xG 0.01B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.01S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.01E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT5 G · 2.8 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsPIT
2.71 G
All situations
5 G2.8
2.01 G
Even strength
3 G2.3
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.30 G
Shorthanded
2 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA47%53%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.66 – 2.82

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsPIT
37
Shots on goal
31
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/4
Power play
0/4
20
Penalty minutes
20
37
Hits
27
10
Blocked shots
22
10
Giveaways
12
8
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5A. EkbladD011040.24230—24:35
19M. MathesonD000-100.00300—22:37
16A. BarkovC101-240.262005521:35
52M. WeegarD000-110.01315—21:22
55B. KiselevichD000000.03112—20:00
13M. PysykD000-110.03510—19:05
95H. BorgstromC000-130.290005718:53
63E. DadonovL011-220.20000—17:47
62D. MalginC000030.0710210016:48
90J. McCannL000020.131022015:09
72F. VatranoR000-150.21110—14:29
7C. SceviourC000020.232155014:23
91J. LammikkoC000000.077005014:21
22T. BrouwerR000-130.31500—13:06
8J. HawrylukR000010.05302—10:40
3K. YandleD000-300.00000—08:32
11J. HuberdeauL000-340.41012—08:27
68M. HoffmanC000-320.12110008:11
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Reimer15141.9331.19+0.1931:04
1R. Luongo(L)16124.7501.66-2.3428:56

Season series

PIT leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).