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Dallas Stars at St. Louis Blues

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Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the St. Louis Blues 4-1. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Pietrangelo's goal at 15:40 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 14% to 31%. Expected goals were close — DAL 1.8, STL 1.8; shots on goal were DAL 21, STL 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Ben Bishop stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 17 of 20 (.850), 1.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jamie Benn (3 G), 2. John Klingberg (1 G, 2 A), 3. Ben Bishop (29 saves, .967).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    J. Benn3 G
  2. ★★
    DAL
    J. Klingberg1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    B. Bishop29 saves, .967

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL2711014421
STLSTL01218010130

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    1-0
    16:52
  2. DAL
    wristxG 0.08win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    18:44

2nd period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.03win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    15:40
  2. DAL
    J. Benn(23)PPG
    wristxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    3-1
    17:11

3rd period

  1. DAL
    J. Benn(24)EN
    wristxG 0.49
    4-1
    19:31

Penalties

DAL 6 PIM·STL 2 PIM

1st

  • 7:23DALBlake Comeau · Trippingdrawn by Oskar Sundqvist2 min
  • 10:12DALBlake Comeau · Slashingdrawn by Joel Edmundson2 min

2nd

  • 1:37DALRoope Hintz · Holdingdrawn by Ryan O'Reilly2 min
  • 16:17STLMackenzie MacEachern · Roughingdrawn by Jason Dickinson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalDAL goalFinal: STL 0%

Biggest swing: Alex Pietrangelo, 2nd 15:40 — STL 14% → 31%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.22J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.20Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.12R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.10R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.08A. Steen · On goal · xG 0.07J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.07A. Steen · On goal · xG 0.07Z. Sanford · Missed · xG 0.07T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.07J. Bouwmeester · On goal · xG 0.06R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.06O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.05A. Steen · Missed · xG 0.05V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.04P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.04J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.03C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.03C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.03A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.03J. Bouwmeester · On goal · xG 0.03C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.03A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.03A. Pietrangelo · Goal · xG 0.03O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.03O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.02J. Bouwmeester · On goal · xG 0.02R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.02V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.02O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.01A. Steen · Missed · xG 0.01C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.01J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.01J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.01V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.00Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.00A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.00
STL1 G · 1.8 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsSTL
1.83 G
All situations
1 G1.8
1.22 G
Even strength
1 G1.0
0.11 G
Power play
0 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 66 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL40%60%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.35 – 1.80

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsSTL
21
Shots on goal
30
55%
Faceoffs
45%
1/1
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
24
Hits
23
13
Blocked shots
13
5
Giveaways
5
6
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23E. LindellD000010.02230—27:09
45R. PolakD000000.00120—23:00
4M. HeiskanenD000+220.03110—22:51
91T. SeguinC011+220.181007621:32
3J. KlingbergD123+230.18020—21:19
14J. BennL303+230.653002918:32
12R. FaksaC000+110.071006318:03
13M. JanmarkC011+110.14000017:36
47A. RadulovR000+110.03120—16:23
21B. LovejoyD000000.00020—15:12
15B. ComeauL011+110.2020410015:04
24R. HintzC000030.09102014:43
43V. NichushkinR000010.05300—13:34
16J. DickinsonC000000.002003310:34
90J. SpezzaC000000.000005010:08
38J. L'EsperanceR000-100.103106709:41
42T. FedunD011020.06000—09:35
25B. RitchieR000-100.04300—09:04
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30B. Bishop(W)30291.9671.82+0.8260:00

Season series

DAL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).