St. Louis Blues at Dallas Stars
Recap
written from the game dataThe Dallas Stars beat the St. Louis Blues 5-2. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jamie Benn's goal at 3:46 of the second period, which took the Stars' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 3.5 to 2.4; shots on goal were STL 45, DAL 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 79% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 20 of 24 (.833), 2.4 goals below expected; Anton Khudobin stopped 43 of 45 (.956), 1.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jamie Benn (2 G), 2. Anton Khudobin (43 saves, .956), 3. Ryan O'Reilly (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★J. Benn2 G

- ★★A. Khudobin43 saves, .956

- ★★★R. O'Reilly1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals2nd period
0-13:46
0-28:53
0-39:58
1-312:57
1-415:56
2-419:37
3rd period
2-519:16
Penalties
1st
- 11:36
Jay Bouwmeester · Hookingdrawn by Andrew Cogliano2 min
- 18:06
Jason Spezza · High stickingdrawn by Vladimir Tarasenko2 min
2nd
- 10:54
Jay Bouwmeester · Interferencedrawn by Roope Hintz2 min
- 11:48
Colton Parayko · Fightingdrawn by Brett Ritchie5 min
- 11:48
Brett Ritchie · Fightingdrawn by Colton Parayko5 min
- 11:48
Brett Ritchie · Roughingdrawn by Colton Parayko2 min
3rd
- 1:09
Joel L'Esperance · Interferencedrawn by Oskar Sundqvist2 min
- 5:29
Jaden Schwartz · Slashingdrawn by Blake Comeau2 min
- 6:48
Miro Heiskanen · High stickingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min
- 14:08
served by V. Tarasenko · Too many men on the ice2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Jamie Benn, 2nd 3:46 — 53% → 70%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.52 G
- All situations
- 4 G2.4
- 2.51 G
- Even strength
- 4 G1.4
- 0.61 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.3
- 0.30 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.37 – 1.63
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 45
- Shots on goal
- 25
- 59%
- Faceoffs
- 41%
- 1/4
- Power play
- 0/4
- 13
- Penalty minutes
- 13
- 21
- Hits
- 30
- 13
- Blocked shots
- 20
- 10
- Giveaways
- 14
- 2
- Takeaways
- 9
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
